New York at Minnesota: Box Score Simulation

Friday Sep 18, 2026 7:30 pm - Minneapolis, MN
Odds: Minnesota by 6.5, Total Points: 178.5

Matchup Menu: NYL @ MIN

More Games From Sep 18, 2026

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring NYL MIN
Points 86.6 93.0
Total Points   179.6
Points From 2-Pointers 37.5 48.6
Points From 3-Pointers 33.0 31.2
Points From Free Throws 16.0 13.2
Shooting NYL MIN
Field Goals Made 29.8 34.7
Field Goals Attempted 67.9 73.1
Field Goal % 43.9% 47.4%
2 Pointers Made 18.8 24.3
2 Pointers Attempted 36.2 47.8
2 Point Shooting % 51.9% 50.9%
3 Pointers Made 11.0 10.4
3 Pointers Attempted 31.7 25.3
3 Point Shooting % 34.7% 41.0%
Free Throws Made 16.0 13.2
Free Throws Attempted 18.8 16.3
Free Throw % 85.3% 81.5%
Ball Control NYL MIN
Rebounds 41.0 38.0
Rebounds - Defensive 29.9 28.1
Rebounds - Offensive 11.1 9.8
Turnovers 14.4 10.0
Blocked Shots 3.3 4.1
Steals 5.1 7.5
Fouls 13.8 16.7

Playing Style Advantage: New York

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats NYL MIN
Total Possessions 83.0
Effective Scoring Chances 79.6 82.8
% of Possessions with NYL MIN
2 Point Attempt 37.8% 50.7%
3 Point Attempt 33.1% 26.9%
Player Fouled 20.1% 16.6%
Turnover 17.4% 12.1%
Opponent Steal 9.0% 6.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken NYL MIN
Shot Blocked 5.7% 4.9%
Offensive Rebound 28.2% 24.7%