Atlanta at Connecticut: Box Score Simulation

Thursday Aug 13, 2026 7:00 pm - Uncasville, CT
Odds: N/A, Total Points: N/A

Matchup Menu: ATL @ CON

More Games From Aug 13, 2026

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring ATL CON
Points 88.4 81.5
Total Points   169.9
Points From 2-Pointers 43.2 51.1
Points From 3-Pointers 21.8 15.0
Points From Free Throws 23.3 15.4
Shooting ATL CON
Field Goals Made 28.9 30.5
Field Goals Attempted 65.4 62.2
Field Goal % 44.2% 49.1%
2 Pointers Made 21.6 25.5
2 Pointers Attempted 42.6 46.2
2 Point Shooting % 50.8% 55.2%
3 Pointers Made 7.3 5.0
3 Pointers Attempted 22.8 15.9
3 Point Shooting % 32.0% 31.4%
Free Throws Made 23.3 15.4
Free Throws Attempted 29.9 22.0
Free Throw % 77.9% 70.0%
Ball Control ATL CON
Rebounds 39.7 35.4
Rebounds - Defensive 27.2 27.3
Rebounds - Offensive 12.5 8.1
Turnovers 13.9 17.1
Blocked Shots 3.5 5.5
Steals 9.3 7.0
Fouls 18.5 22.2

Playing Style Advantage: Connecticut

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats ATL CON
Total Possessions 84.8
Effective Scoring Chances 83.4 75.8
% of Possessions with ATL CON
2 Point Attempt 42.8% 49.0%
3 Point Attempt 22.9% 16.9%
Player Fouled 26.2% 21.8%
Turnover 16.4% 20.2%
Opponent Steal 8.2% 10.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken ATL CON
Shot Blocked 9.1% 5.5%
Offensive Rebound 31.4% 23.1%