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Villanova at Xavier: Point Spread Analysis

Tuesday Feb 17, 2026 6:30 pm - Cincinnati, OH
Odds: Villanova by 4, Total Points: 152

ATS Predictions

Pick Model Confidence
Villanova -4.0 Official TR Pick Villanova 52% odds to cover
Villanova -4.0 Power Rating Model Villanova 54% odds to cover
Villanova -4.0 Similar Games Villanova 66% odds to cover
Villanova -4.0 Decision Tree Villanova 52% odds to cover
Villanova -4.0 Predictive Ratings Villanova 52% odds to cover

ATS Situational Trends

Record VILL adv XAV
Season 19-14-0 15-17-0
vs Division 0-0-0 0-0-0
vs Conference 11-10-0 11-11-0
Streak L2 L1
Last 5 2-3-0 2-3-0
Last 10 3-7-0 5-5-0
Home 9-8-0 9-9-0
Away 10-6-0 6-8-0

Villanova Detailed ATS Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Line Result +/-
11/03 Neutral BYU +9.0 L by 5 +4.0
11/08 Home Queens -18.0 W by 20 +2.0
11/11 Home Sacred Heart -19.5 W by 34 +14.5
11/15 Home Duquesne -10.5 W by 10 -0.5
11/19 Away La Salle -12.5 W by 15 +2.5
11/25 Home Old Dominion -21.5 W by 14 -7.5
12/01 Home Temple -14.0 W by 18 +4.0
12/06 Home Penn -18.5 W by 27 +8.5
12/09 Away Michigan +18.0 L by 28 -10.0
12/13 Home Pittsburgh -10.0 W by 18 +8.0
12/19 Neutral Wisconsin +3.5 W by 10 +13.5
12/23 Away Seton Hall (Pick) W by 8 +8.0
12/31 Home DePaul -12.5 W by 5 -7.5
01/03 Away Butler +3.0 W by 18 +21.0
01/07 Home Creighton -4.5 L by 4 -8.5
01/10 Away Marquette -3.5 W by 3 -0.5
01/13 Away Providence -2.5 W by 6 +3.5
01/17 Home St John's +2.5 L by 7 -4.5
01/21 Home Georgetown -8.5 W by 15 +6.5
01/24 Away UConn +11.0 L by 8 +3.0
01/30 Home Providence -9.0 W by 14 +5.0
02/04 Home Seton Hall -5.0 W by 12 +7.0
02/07 Away Georgetown -3.0 W by 7 +4.0
02/10 Home Marquette -9.5 W by 3 -6.5
02/14 Away Creighton -2.0 W by 11 +9.0
02/17 Away Xavier -4.0 W by 3 -1.0
02/21 Home UConn +3.5 L by 10 -6.5
02/25 Home Butler -10.5 W by 9 -1.5
02/28 Away St John's +7.5 L by 32 -24.5
03/04 Away DePaul -1.5 W by 19 +17.5
03/07 Home Xavier -11.5 W by 13 +1.5
03/12 Neutral Georgetown -7.5 L by 14 -21.5
03/20 Neutral Utah St +1.5 L by 10 -8.5

Xavier Detailed ATS Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Line Result +/-
11/03 Home Marist -13.0 W by 4 -9.0
11/06 Home Le Moyne -25.0 W by 5 -20.0
11/10 Home Santa Clara -3.0 L by 19 -22.0
11/14 Away Iowa +15.0 L by 19 -4.0
11/18 Home Old Dominion -10.5 W by 30 +19.5
11/21 Neutral Georgia +10.5 L by 1 +9.5
11/23 Neutral West Virginia +5.5 W by 10 +15.5
11/28 Home Texas A&M-CC -13.0 W by 21 +8.0
12/01 Home St Francis PA -27.5 W by 22 -5.5
12/05 Home Cincinnati +1.0 W by 5 +6.0
12/12 Home Missouri St -18.5 W by 18 -0.5
12/17 Home Creighton -2.5 L by 41 -43.5
12/20 Away Georgetown +4.5 W by 3 +7.5
12/31 Home UConn +11.5 L by 23 -11.5
01/03 Away DePaul +2.5 L by 9 -6.5
01/07 Away Marquette +5.5 L by 1 +4.5
01/10 Home Providence (Pick) W by 13 +13.0
01/14 Home Butler +1.5 W by 14 +15.5
01/21 Away Creighton +8.0 L by 1 +7.0
01/24 Home St John's +8.5 L by 5 +3.5
01/28 Away Seton Hall +5.5 L by 18 -12.5
01/31 Home DePaul -4.5 W by 2 -2.5
02/03 Away UConn +17.0 L by 32 -15.0
02/09 Away St John's +16.0 L by 5 +11.0
02/14 Home Marquette -2.0 W by 8 +6.0
02/17 Home Villanova +4.0 L by 3 +1.0
02/21 Away Butler +4.0 L by 5 -1.0
02/25 Away Providence +4.5 L by 10 -5.5
02/28 Home Georgetown -4.5 W by 7 +2.5
03/03 Home Seton Hall +1.5 L by 9 -7.5
03/07 Away Villanova +11.5 L by 13 -1.5
03/11 Neutral Marquette +4.5 W by 2 +6.5
03/12 Neutral UConn +17.5 L by 25 -7.5