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Davidson at Dayton: Over/Under Analysis

Sunday Feb 15, 2026 4:00 pm - Dayton, OH
Odds: Dayton by 5, Total Points: 140.5

Over/Under Predictions

Pick Model Confidence
Under 139.0 Official TR Pick 53% odds to go under
Under 139.0 Decision Tree 53% odds to go under
Over 139.0 Similar Games 69% odds to go over

Over/Under Situational Trends

Record DAV DAY
Season 14-18-0 13-24-0
vs Division 0-0-0 0-0-0
vs Conference 7-13-0 5-16-0
Streak Ov 1 Un 1
Last 5 2-3-0 2-3-0
Last 10 3-7-0 2-8-0
Home 9-7-0 4-14-0
Away 5-11-0 9-10-0

Records denote overs-unders-pushes

Davidson Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Total Score Result +/-
11/03 Home DeSales -- 97-63 Under --
11/07 Home Washington St 153.5 85-69 Over +0.5
11/11 Away Charlotte 143.0 62-55 Under -26.0
11/15 Home Bowling Green 144.5 91-87 Over +33.5
11/21 Neutral Boston College 140.5 59-49 Under -32.5
11/23 Neutral Utah St 149.5 60-94 Over +4.5
11/28 Home NC A&T 145.5 90-74 Over +18.5
12/04 Home The Citadel 137.5 79-63 Over +4.5
12/07 Home Saint Mary's 137.5 61-70 Under -6.5
12/13 Home Mercyhurst 132.5 80-47 Under -5.5
12/18 Home Temple 141.0 63-68 Under -10.0
12/22 Away Kansas 139.5 61-90 Over +11.5
12/30 Home Duquesne 150.5 83-89 Over +21.5
01/03 Away Saint Joseph's 139.5 62-56 Under -21.5
01/07 Away Loyola Chi 136.5 79-64 Over +6.5
01/10 Home Rhode Island 135.5 45-70 Under -20.5
01/14 Away G Washington 150.5 84-79 Over +12.5
01/21 Home Fordham 133.5 68-63 Under -2.5
01/24 Home VCU 148.5 69-75 Under -4.5
01/28 Away George Mason 135.5 52-60 Under -23.5
01/31 Away Richmond 139.5 79-54 Under -6.5
02/03 Home Saint Louis 151.0 82-91 Over +22.0
02/06 Home Loyola Chi 140.5 84-64 Over +7.5
02/09 Home Mid-Atlantic Christian -- 114-53 Under --
02/15 Away Dayton 140.5 59-70 Under -11.5
02/18 Home Richmond 142.0 65-63 Under -14.0
02/21 Away Fordham 131.0 59-63 Under -9.0
02/25 Away Duquesne 142.5 67-56 Under -19.5
03/01 Home La Salle 132.5 71-64 Over +2.5
03/04 Home Saint Joseph's 136.5 67-70 Over +0.5
03/07 Away St Bonaventure 141.5 68-63 Under -10.5
03/12 Neutral Loyola Chi 132.5 64-59 Under -9.5
03/13 Neutral Saint Joseph's 133.5 58-70 Under -5.5
03/17 Away Oklahoma St 154.5 80-84 Over +9.5

Dayton Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Total Score Result +/-
11/03 Home Canisius 142.0 88-48 Under -6.0
11/08 Home UMBC 154.5 77-71 Under -6.5
11/11 Away Cincinnati 148.5 62-74 Under -12.5
11/15 Home Bethune 148.5 91-82 Over +24.5
11/19 Away Marquette 151.5 77-71 Under -3.5
11/22 Home NC Central 148.5 74-55 Under -19.5
11/27 Neutral Georgetown 145.0 84-79 Over +18.0
11/28 Neutral BYU 150.5 79-83 Over +11.5
12/02 Home E Tennessee St 140.5 88-71 Over +18.5
12/06 Neutral Virginia 147.5 73-86 Over +11.5
12/13 Home N Florida 159.5 84-61 Under -14.5
12/16 Home Florida St 163.0 97-69 Over +3.0
12/20 Home Liberty 142.5 61-64 Under -17.5
12/31 Home Fordham 140.5 63-56 Under -21.5
01/03 Away Loyola Chi 142.0 70-68 Under -4.0
01/06 Home G Washington 154.0 79-72 Under -3.0
01/13 Away Duquesne 152.5 71-65 Under -16.5
01/16 Home Loyola Chi 142.5 78-51 Under -13.5
01/21 Away La Salle 137.5 64-67 Under -6.5
01/24 Away Saint Joseph's 139.5 74-81 Over +15.5
01/27 Home Rhode Island 139.0 76-81 Over +18.0
01/30 Away Saint Louis 152.5 71-102 Over +20.5
02/03 Home St Bonaventure 145.0 72-70 Under -3.0
02/06 Away VCU 147.5 73-99 Over +24.5
02/15 Home Davidson 140.5 70-59 Under -11.5
02/18 Away George Mason 137.0 82-67 Over +12.0
02/21 Home Duquesne 148.5 78-66 Under -4.5
02/24 Home Saint Louis 157.5 77-62 Under -18.5
02/27 Away G Washington 152.5 68-66 Under -18.5
03/03 Away Richmond 144.5 65-60 Under -19.5
03/06 Home VCU 145.5 62-68 Under -15.5
03/13 Neutral St Bonaventure 142.5 68-63 Under -11.5
03/14 Neutral Saint Louis 145.5 70-69 Under -6.5
03/15 Neutral VCU 138.5 62-70 Under -6.5
03/18 Away Bradley 140.5 80-66 Over +5.5
03/21 Away NC Wilmington 139.5 80-61 Over +1.5
03/25 Home Illinois St 140.5 55-61 Under -24.5