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Davidson at Dayton: Recap

Sunday Feb 15, 2026 4:00 pm - Dayton, OH
Odds: Dayton by 5, Total Points: 140.5

Game Winner Pick Confidence Projection
Dayton DAV 32.1%
DAY 67.9%
ATS Pick Confidence Projection
DAY -5.0 DAV 48.5%
DAY 51.5%
Totals Pick Confidence Projection
Under 139.0 Over 47.3%
Under 52.7%
Money Line Value Pick Confidence Projection
Lay Off DAV -1.8%
DAY -2.3%
Final Score Projection Vegas Implied Actual
DAV 66.3 67.0 59
DAY 71.6 72.0 70

Offensive Stat Comparison

Stat DAV DAY
Points/Game 69.9 74.1
Avg Score Margin +1.3 +4.8
Assists/Game 13.4 14.2
Total Rebounds/Gm 32.6 32.9
Effective FG % 52.6% 51.6%
Off Rebound % 26.5% 25.0%
FTA/FGA 0.310 0.462
Turnover % 13.8% 14.9%

Defensive Stat Comparison

Stat DAV DAY
Opp Points/Game 68.5 69.3
Opp Effective FG % 50.6% 51.0%
Off Rebounds/Gm 8.4 7.6
Def Rebounds/Gm 21.2 22.7
Blocks/Game 4.1 3.9
Steals/Game 6.4 8.2
Personal Fouls/Gm 17.0 16.7