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Kentucky vs. Gonzaga: Over/Under Analysis

Friday Dec 5, 2025 7:00 pm - Nashville, TN
Odds: Gonzaga by 5, Total Points: 159.5

Matchup Menu: GONZ @ UK

More Games From Dec 5, 2025

Over/Under Predictions

Pick	Model	Confidence
Under 159.5	Official TR Pick	50% odds to go under
Under 159.5	Decision Tree	50% odds to go under
Over 159.5	Similar Games	60% odds to go over

Over/Under Situational Trends

Record	UK	GONZ
Season	18-18-0	10-25-0
vs Division	0-0-0	0-0-0
vs Conference	11-10-0	4-16-0
Streak	Un 1	Un 8
Last 5	3-2-0	0-5-0
Last 10	5-5-0	1-9-0
Home	10-9-0	3-11-0
Away	8-9-0	7-14-0

Records denote overs-unders-pushes

Kentucky Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date	H/A/N	Opponent	Total	Score	Result	+/-
11/04	Home	Nicholls	157.0	77-51	Under	-29.0
11/07	Home	Valparaiso	157.0	107-59	Over	+9.0
11/11	Away	Louisville	173.0	88-96	Over	+11.0
11/14	Home	E Illinois	148.5	99-53	Over	+3.5
11/18	Neutral	Michigan St	153.0	66-83	Under	-4.0
11/21	Home	Loyola MD	160.0	88-46	Under	-26.0
11/26	Home	Tenn Tech	157.5	104-54	Over	+0.5
12/02	Home	North Carolina	163.5	64-67	Under	-32.5
12/05	Home	Gonzaga	159.5	59-94	Under	-6.5
12/09	Home	NC Central	148.5	103-67	Over	+21.5
12/13	Home	Indiana	156.0	72-60	Under	-24.0
12/20	Neutral	St John's	154.0	78-66	Under	-10.0
12/23	Home	Bellarmine	152.5	99-85	Over	+31.5
01/03	Away	Alabama	174.0	74-89	Under	-11.0
01/07	Home	Missouri	151.0	68-73	Under	-10.0
01/10	Home	Mississippi St	152.5	92-68	Over	+7.5
01/14	Away	LSU	151.5	75-74	Under	-2.5
01/17	Away	Tennessee	145.0	80-78	Over	+13.0
01/21	Home	Texas	151.5	85-80	Over	+13.5
01/24	Home	Mississippi	145.5	72-63	Under	-10.5
01/27	Away	Vanderbilt	154.0	55-80	Under	-19.0
01/31	Away	Arkansas	161.5	85-77	Over	+0.5
02/04	Home	Oklahoma	152.5	94-78	Over	+19.5
02/07	Home	Tennessee	146.0	74-71	Under	-1.0
02/14	Away	Florida	155.0	83-92	Over	+20.0
02/17	Home	Georgia	161.5	78-86	Over	+2.5
02/21	Away	Auburn	153.5	74-75	Under	-4.5
02/24	Away	South Carolina	151.5	72-63	Under	-16.5
02/28	Home	Vanderbilt	157.5	91-77	Over	+10.5
03/03	Away	Texas A&M	162.5	85-96	Over	+18.5
03/07	Home	Florida	162.5	77-84	Under	-1.5
03/11	Neutral	LSU	151.5	87-82	Over	+17.5
03/12	Neutral	Missouri	148.5	78-72	Over	+1.5
03/13	Neutral	Florida	160.5	63-71	Under	-26.5
03/20	Neutral	Santa Clara	157.5	89-84	Over	+15.5
03/22	Neutral	Iowa St	146.5	63-82	Under	-1.5

Gonzaga Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date	H/A/N	Opponent	Total	Score	Result	+/-
11/03	Home	Texas So	157.5	98-43	Under	-16.5
11/08	Neutral	Oklahoma	167.0	83-68	Under	-16.0
11/11	Home	Creighton	165.5	90-63	Under	-12.5
11/14	Away	Arizona St	158.5	77-65	Under	-16.5
11/17	Home	S Utah	160.0	122-50	Over	+12.0
11/24	Neutral	Alabama	178.5	95-85	Over	+1.5
11/25	Neutral	Maryland	157.0	100-61	Over	+4.0
11/26	Neutral	Michigan	165.5	61-101	Under	-3.5
12/05	Away	Kentucky	159.5	94-59	Under	-6.5
12/07	Home	N Florida	167.5	109-58	Under	-0.5
12/13	Neutral	UCLA	147.0	82-72	Over	+7.0
12/17	Home	Campbell	160.5	98-70	Over	+7.5
12/21	Neutral	Oregon	155.5	91-82	Over	+17.5
12/28	Away	Pepperdine	152.5	96-56	Under	-0.5
12/30	Away	San Diego	160.5	99-93	Over	+31.5
01/02	Home	Seattle	155.5	80-72	Under	-3.5
01/04	Home	Loyola Mymt	154.5	82-47	Under	-25.5
01/08	Home	Santa Clara	164.0	89-77	Over	+2.0
01/15	Away	Washington St	155.5	86-65	Under	-4.5
01/17	Away	Seattle	151.0	71-50	Under	-30.0
01/21	Home	Pepperdine	150.5	84-60	Under	-6.5
01/24	Home	San Francisco	149.5	68-66	Under	-15.5
01/31	Home	Saint Mary's	144.5	73-65	Under	-6.5
02/04	Away	Portland	153.0	80-87	Over	+14.0
02/07	Away	Oregon St	147.5	81-61	Under	-5.5
02/10	Home	Washington St	156.0	83-53	Under	-20.0
02/14	Away	Santa Clara	158.0	94-86	Over	+22.0
02/18	Away	San Francisco	148.5	80-59	Under	-9.5
02/21	Home	Pacific	144.5	71-62	Under	-11.5
02/25	Home	Portland	150.5	89-48	Under	-13.5
02/28	Away	Saint Mary's	143.5	59-70	Under	-14.5
03/09	Neutral	Oregon St	144.5	65-56	Under	-23.5
03/10	Neutral	Santa Clara	157.5	79-68	Under	-10.5
03/19	Neutral	Kennesaw St	152.5	73-64	Under	-15.5
03/21	Neutral	Texas	146.5	68-74	Under	-4.5