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S Alabama at E Tennessee St: Recap

Friday Dec 5, 2025 7:00 pm - Johnson City, TN
Odds: East Tennessee State by 6.5, Total Points: 143.5

Game Winner Pick Confidence Projection
E Tennessee St USA 23.2%
ETSU 76.8%
ATS Pick Confidence Projection
ETSU -7.5 USA 47.4%
ETSU 52.6%
Totals Pick Confidence Projection
Over 143.5 Over 50.7%
Under 49.3%
Money Line Value Pick Confidence Projection
ETSU -285 USA -7.1%
ETSU +2.8%
Final Score Projection Vegas Implied Actual
USA 67.8 68.0 65
ETSU 76.0 75.5 91

Offensive Stat Comparison

Stat USA ETSU
Points/Game 73.2 76.8
Avg Score Margin +1.9 +6.7
Assists/Game 11.9 13.9
Total Rebounds/Gm 34.5 32.9
Effective FG % 52.6% 55.3%
Off Rebound % 21.9% 27.2%
FTA/FGA 0.385 0.350
Turnover % 11.5% 13.3%

Defensive Stat Comparison

Stat USA ETSU
Opp Points/Game 71.3 70.1
Opp Effective FG % 50.1% 51.0%
Off Rebounds/Gm 6.8 8.0
Def Rebounds/Gm 23.7 21.8
Blocks/Game 2.2 3.3
Steals/Game 7.9 8.6
Personal Fouls/Gm 13.1 16.8