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Merrimack at Tarleton St: Point Spread Analysis

Tuesday Nov 11, 2025 8:00 pm - Stephenville, TX
Odds: Tarleton State by 5, Total Points: 142.5

Matchup Menu: MW @ TST

More Games From Nov 11, 2025

ATS Predictions

Pick Model Confidence
Tarleton St -5.0 Official TR Pick Tarleton St 51% odds to cover
Tarleton St -5.0 Similar Games Tarleton St 51% odds to cover
Tarleton St -5.0 Decision Tree Tarleton St 51% odds to cover
Merrimack +5.0 Power Rating Model Merrimack 62% odds to cover
Merrimack +5.0 Predictive Ratings Merrimack 55% odds to cover

ATS Situational Trends

Record MW adv TST
Season 19-14-1 14-14-0
vs Division 0-0-0 0-0-0
vs Conference 14-8-1 6-13-0
Streak L2 L3
Last 5 1-4-0 1-4-0
Last 10 5-5-0 4-6-0
Home 8-2-1 5-7-0
Away 11-12-0 9-7-0

Merrimack Detailed ATS Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Line Result +/-
11/03 Neutral S Dakota St +6.5 L by 9 -2.5
11/06 Away Auburn +23.5 L by 38 -14.5
11/11 Away Tarleton St +5.0 L by 14 -9.0
11/15 Away Boston U +2.5 W by 12 +14.5
11/19 Home Maine -6.5 W by 7 +0.5
11/21 Away Florida +36.5 L by 35 +1.5
11/28 Away Penn +2.5 L by 12 -9.5
11/29 Neutral Hofstra +5.0 L by 20 -15.0
11/30 Neutral La Salle +2.5 W by 6 +8.5
12/04 Home Rider -9.5 W by 2 -7.5
12/07 Home Fairfield -3.5 W by 11 +7.5
12/10 Away Princeton +2.0 W by 3 +5.0
12/14 Away Vermont +6.5 L by 7 -0.5
12/29 Away Sacred Heart +1.5 W by 8 +9.5
01/02 Home Mt St Mary's -3.5 W by 10 +6.5
01/04 Home Manhattan -7.0 W by 7 0.0
01/09 Away Siena +5.5 W by 4 +9.5
01/11 Away Saint Peter's +1.5 L by 13 -11.5
01/17 Home Quinnipiac +1.5 W by 12 +13.5
01/19 Away Marist +6.5 W by 13 +19.5
01/22 Away Iona -1.0 L by 1 -2.0
01/24 Home Saint Peter's -3.5 W by 8 +4.5
02/01 Home Sacred Heart -6.0 W by 17 +11.0
02/05 Away Mt St Mary's -1.5 W by 17 +15.5
02/07 Away Rider -8.0 W by 26 +18.0
02/12 Home Marist -2.5 W by 25 +22.5
02/15 Away Quinnipiac +3.5 W by 7 +10.5
02/20 Home Siena -2.0 W by 7 +5.0
02/22 Home Iona -6.5 W by 2 -4.5
02/27 Away Canisius -8.5 L by 5 -13.5
03/01 Away Niagara -7.5 W by 7 -0.5
03/06 Neutral Sacred Heart -6.5 W by 22 +15.5
03/08 Neutral Marist -2.5 W by 1 -1.5
03/10 Neutral Siena -1.5 L by 10 -11.5

Tarleton St Detailed ATS Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Line Result +/-
11/03 Away SMU +21.5 L by 20 +1.5
11/05 Away LSU +15.0 L by 36 -21.0
11/08 Home Texas A&M-CC -3.5 W by 8 +4.5
11/11 Home Merrimack -5.0 W by 14 +9.0
11/14 Away Baylor +23.5 L by 13 +10.5
11/17 Home Angelo State -- W by 23 --
11/20 Away Rice +5.0 W by 16 +21.0
11/28 Home Midwestern St. -- W by 10 --
12/01 Away Cincinnati +25.0 L by 18 +7.0
12/03 Home Howard Payne -- W by 65 --
12/07 Home Cameron -- W by 30 --
12/16 Away Miss Valley St -17.0 W by 24 +7.0
12/19 Home Florida A&M -14.5 W by 24 +9.5
12/29 Away UT Arlington +2.5 W by 6 +8.5
01/01 Home Utah Valley +5.5 L by 6 -0.5
01/03 Home Cal Baptist (Pick) W by 5 +5.0
01/08 Home Abl Christian -4.5 L by 4 -8.5
01/15 Away S Utah -3.5 L by 1 -4.5
01/17 Away Utah Tech +3.5 L by 4 -0.5
01/21 Away UT Arlington +2.5 L by 7 -4.5
01/29 Home Utah Valley +6.0 L by 28 -22.0
01/31 Home Utah Tech -1.5 L by 6 -7.5
02/05 Away Cal Baptist +10.0 L by 1 +9.0
02/07 Away S Utah -1.0 W by 3 +2.0
02/14 Away Abl Christian +3.0 L by 14 -11.0
02/16 Home Abl Christian -1.0 W by 3 +2.0
02/19 Home S Utah -5.0 W by 4 -1.0
02/21 Home Utah Tech -1.5 L by 8 -9.5
02/26 Away Utah Valley +17.5 L by 7 +10.5
02/28 Away Cal Baptist +8.5 L by 15 -6.5
03/05 Home UT Arlington -1.5 L by 5 -6.5
03/11 Neutral Abl Christian +1.5 L by 6 -4.5