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Tennessee at Mississippi St: Over/Under Analysis

Wednesday Feb 11, 2026 9:00 pm - Starkville, MS
Odds: Tennessee by 7, Total Points: 147.5

Matchup Menu: TENN @ MSST

More Games From Feb 11, 2026

Over/Under Predictions

Pick	Model	Confidence
Under 147.5	Official TR Pick	52% odds to go under
Under 147.5	Similar Games	57% odds to go under
Under 147.5	Decision Tree	52% odds to go under

Over/Under Situational Trends

Record	TENN	MSST
Season	18-19-0	16-16-0
vs Division	0-0-0	0-0-0
vs Conference	9-11-0	9-10-0
Streak	Ov 1	Un 1
Last 5	2-3-0	2-3-0
Last 10	3-7-0	5-5-0
Home	10-7-0	5-11-0
Away	8-12-0	11-5-0

Records denote overs-unders-pushes

Tennessee Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date	H/A/N	Opponent	Total	Score	Result	+/-
11/03	Home	Mercer	143.0	76-61	Under	-6.0
11/08	Home	N Kentucky	138.0	95-56	Over	+13.0
11/12	Home	N Florida	155.5	99-66	Over	+9.5
11/17	Home	Rice	143.5	91-66	Over	+13.5
11/20	Home	Tennessee St	157.5	89-60	Under	-8.5
11/24	Neutral	Rutgers	142.5	85-60	Over	+2.5
11/25	Neutral	Houston	136.0	76-73	Over	+13.0
11/26	Neutral	Kansas	140.5	76-81	Over	+16.5
12/02	Away	Syracuse	147.0	60-62	Under	-25.0
12/06	Neutral	Illinois	149.5	62-75	Under	-12.5
12/16	Home	Louisville	156.5	83-62	Under	-11.5
12/21	Home	Gardner-Webb	152.5	94-52	Under	-6.5
12/30	Home	S Carolina St	147.5	105-54	Over	+11.5
01/03	Away	Arkansas	158.5	75-86	Over	+2.5
01/06	Home	Texas	153.0	85-71	Over	+3.0
01/10	Away	Florida	151.5	67-91	Over	+6.5
01/13	Home	Texas A&M	159.5	87-82	Over	+9.5
01/17	Home	Kentucky	145.0	78-80	Over	+13.0
01/24	Away	Alabama	167.5	79-73	Under	-15.5
01/28	Away	Georgia	159.0	86-85	Over	+12.0
01/31	Home	Auburn	148.0	77-69	Under	-2.0
02/03	Home	Mississippi	140.5	84-66	Over	+9.5
02/07	Away	Kentucky	146.0	71-74	Under	-1.0
02/11	Away	Mississippi St	147.5	73-64	Under	-10.5
02/14	Home	LSU	143.5	73-63	Under	-7.5
02/18	Home	Oklahoma	150.0	89-66	Over	+5.0
02/21	Away	Vanderbilt	150.5	69-65	Under	-16.5
02/24	Away	Missouri	144.5	69-73	Under	-2.5
02/28	Home	Alabama	162.5	69-71	Under	-22.5
03/03	Away	South Carolina	141.5	78-59	Under	-4.5
03/07	Home	Vanderbilt	146.5	82-86	Over	+21.5
03/12	Neutral	Auburn	145.5	72-62	Under	-11.5
03/13	Neutral	Vanderbilt	147.5	68-75	Under	-4.5
03/20	Neutral	Miami OH	148.5	78-56	Under	-14.5
03/22	Neutral	Virginia	137.5	79-72	Over	+13.5
03/27	Neutral	Iowa St	140.5	76-62	Under	-2.5
03/29	Neutral	Michigan	146.5	62-95	Over	+10.5

Mississippi St Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date	H/A/N	Opponent	Total	Score	Result	+/-
11/05	Home	N Alabama	151.0	86-62	Under	-3.0
11/10	Neutral	Iowa St	149.0	80-96	Over	+27.0
11/15	Home	SE Louisiana	150.5	75-68	Under	-7.5
11/20	Neutral	Kansas St	165.0	77-98	Over	+10.0
11/21	Neutral	New Mexico	150.5	78-80	Over	+7.5
11/24	Home	New Orleans	161.0	81-78	Under	-2.0
11/28	Home	SMU	162.5	81-87	Over	+5.5
12/03	Away	Georgia Tech	150.5	85-73	Over	+7.5
12/07	Neutral	San Francisco	151.0	62-65	Under	-24.0
12/13	Neutral	Utah	152.5	82-74	Over	+3.5
12/16	Home	LIU	152.5	87-83	Over	+17.5
12/20	Home	Memphis	153.5	71-66	Under	-16.5
12/29	Home	Alabama St	154.0	94-56	Under	-4.0
01/03	Away	Texas	157.5	101-98	Over	+41.5
01/07	Home	Oklahoma	159.0	72-53	Under	-34.0
01/10	Away	Kentucky	152.5	68-92	Over	+7.5
01/13	Home	Alabama	171.5	82-97	Over	+7.5
01/17	Home	Mississippi	148.0	67-68	Under	-13.0
01/21	Away	Texas A&M	163.5	68-88	Under	-7.5
01/24	Home	Vanderbilt	160.5	56-88	Under	-16.5
01/28	Away	LSU	154.5	80-66	Under	-8.5
01/31	Away	Missouri	149.5	79-84	Over	+13.5
02/07	Home	Arkansas	164.0	68-88	Under	-8.0
02/11	Home	Tennessee	147.5	64-73	Under	-10.5
02/14	Away	Mississippi	144.0	90-78	Over	+24.0
02/18	Home	Auburn	155.5	91-85	Over	+20.5
02/21	Away	South Carolina	151.5	89-97	Over	+34.5
02/25	Away	Alabama	176.5	75-100	Under	-1.5
02/28	Home	Missouri	155.5	64-88	Under	-3.5
03/03	Away	Florida	161.5	74-108	Over	+20.5
03/07	Home	Georgia	167.5	96-102	Over	+30.5
03/11	Neutral	Auburn	160.5	61-79	Under	-20.5