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Tennessee at Mississippi St: Point Spread Analysis

Wednesday Feb 11, 2026 9:00 pm - Starkville, MS
Odds: Tennessee by 7, Total Points: 147.5

Matchup Menu: TENN @ MSST

More Games From Feb 11, 2026

ATS Predictions

Pick Model Confidence
Tennessee -7.0 Official TR Pick Tennessee 51% odds to cover
Tennessee -7.0 Power Rating Model Tennessee 51% odds to cover
Tennessee -7.0 Similar Games Tennessee 60% odds to cover
Tennessee -7.0 Decision Tree Tennessee 51% odds to cover
Tennessee -7.0 Predictive Ratings Tennessee 54% odds to cover

ATS Situational Trends

Record TENN adv MSST
Season 17-19-1 10-22-0
vs Division 0-0-0 0-0-0
vs Conference 9-10-1 6-13-0
Streak L1 L6
Last 5 3-2-0 0-5-0
Last 10 5-5-0 2-8-0
Home 7-10-0 4-12-0
Away 10-9-1 6-10-0

Tennessee Detailed ATS Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Line Result +/-
11/03 Home Mercer -28.0 W by 15 -13.0
11/08 Home N Kentucky -27.0 W by 39 +12.0
11/12 Home N Florida -41.0 W by 33 -8.0
11/17 Home Rice -26.0 W by 25 -1.0
11/20 Home Tennessee St -32.0 W by 29 -3.0
11/24 Neutral Rutgers -15.0 W by 25 +10.0
11/25 Neutral Houston +3.0 W by 3 +6.0
11/26 Neutral Kansas -7.0 L by 5 -12.0
12/02 Away Syracuse -8.5 L by 2 -10.5
12/06 Neutral Illinois -1.5 L by 13 -14.5
12/16 Home Louisville -4.5 W by 21 +16.5
12/21 Home Gardner-Webb -42.5 W by 42 -0.5
12/30 Home S Carolina St -44.0 W by 51 +7.0
01/03 Away Arkansas -1.5 L by 11 -12.5
01/06 Home Texas -11.5 W by 14 +2.5
01/10 Away Florida +4.5 L by 24 -19.5
01/13 Home Texas A&M -11.0 W by 5 -6.0
01/17 Home Kentucky -6.0 L by 2 -8.0
01/24 Away Alabama +4.0 W by 6 +10.0
01/28 Away Georgia -1.0 W by 1 0.0
01/31 Home Auburn -5.5 W by 8 +2.5
02/03 Home Mississippi -13.0 W by 18 +5.0
02/07 Away Kentucky (Pick) L by 3 -3.0
02/11 Away Mississippi St -7.0 W by 9 +2.0
02/14 Home LSU -14.5 W by 10 -4.5
02/18 Home Oklahoma -11.5 W by 23 +11.5
02/21 Away Vanderbilt +3.5 W by 4 +7.5
02/24 Away Missouri -3.5 L by 4 -7.5
02/28 Home Alabama -4.5 L by 2 -6.5
03/03 Away South Carolina -10.5 W by 19 +8.5
03/07 Home Vanderbilt -3.5 L by 4 -7.5
03/12 Neutral Auburn -5.5 W by 10 +4.5
03/13 Neutral Vanderbilt -3.5 L by 7 -10.5
03/20 Neutral Miami OH -12.5 W by 22 +9.5
03/22 Neutral Virginia -1.5 W by 7 +5.5
03/27 Neutral Iowa St +2.5 W by 14 +16.5
03/29 Neutral Michigan +8.5 L by 33 -24.5

Mississippi St Detailed ATS Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Line Result +/-
11/05 Home N Alabama -24.5 W by 24 -0.5
11/10 Neutral Iowa St +5.0 L by 16 -11.0
11/15 Home SE Louisiana -27.5 W by 7 -20.5
11/20 Neutral Kansas St -2.0 L by 21 -23.0
11/21 Neutral New Mexico -6.5 L by 2 -8.5
11/24 Home New Orleans -24.0 W by 3 -21.0
11/28 Home SMU -1.0 L by 6 -7.0
12/03 Away Georgia Tech -1.5 W by 12 +10.5
12/07 Neutral San Francisco -4.5 L by 3 -7.5
12/13 Neutral Utah -2.5 W by 8 +5.5
12/16 Home LIU -16.5 W by 4 -12.5
12/20 Home Memphis -3.5 W by 5 +1.5
12/29 Home Alabama St -17.5 W by 38 +20.5
01/03 Away Texas +10.0 W by 3 +13.0
01/07 Home Oklahoma -1.0 W by 19 +18.0
01/10 Away Kentucky +10.5 L by 24 -13.5
01/13 Home Alabama +4.5 L by 15 -10.5
01/17 Home Mississippi -4.0 L by 1 -5.0
01/21 Away Texas A&M +8.5 L by 20 -11.5
01/24 Home Vanderbilt +7.5 L by 32 -24.5
01/28 Away LSU +7.0 W by 14 +21.0
01/31 Away Missouri +6.5 L by 5 +1.5
02/07 Home Arkansas +6.0 L by 20 -14.0
02/11 Home Tennessee +7.0 L by 9 -2.0
02/14 Away Mississippi +3.5 W by 12 +15.5
02/18 Home Auburn +5.5 W by 6 +11.5
02/21 Away South Carolina +1.0 L by 8 -7.0
02/25 Away Alabama +12.5 L by 25 -12.5
02/28 Home Missouri +1.5 L by 24 -22.5
03/03 Away Florida +20.5 L by 34 -13.5
03/07 Home Georgia +5.5 L by 6 -0.5
03/11 Neutral Auburn +8.5 L by 18 -9.5