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LSU at Texas: Point Spread Analysis

Tuesday Feb 17, 2026 9:00 pm - Austin, TX
Odds: Texas by 10.5, Total Points: 150.5

ATS Predictions

Pick Model Confidence
LSU +10.5 Official TR Pick LSU 50% odds to cover
LSU +10.5 Power Rating Model LSU 66% odds to cover
LSU +10.5 Decision Tree LSU 50% odds to cover
LSU +10.5 Predictive Ratings LSU 58% odds to cover
Texas -10.5 Similar Games Texas 52% odds to cover

ATS Situational Trends

Record LSU adv TEX
Season 18-14-0 20-15-0
vs Division 0-0-0 0-0-0
vs Conference 11-8-0 9-10-0
Streak W1 W4
Last 5 2-3-0 4-1-0
Last 10 5-5-0 5-5-0
Home 7-10-0 8-9-0
Away 11-4-0 12-6-0

LSU Detailed ATS Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Line Result +/-
11/05 Home Tarleton St -15.0 W by 36 +21.0
11/10 Home New Orleans -19.5 W by 35 +15.5
11/13 Home Florida Intl -21.5 W by 17 -4.5
11/18 Home Alcorn St -32.5 W by 26 -6.5
11/21 Home Omaha -21.0 W by 26 +5.0
11/28 Neutral Drake -11.5 W by 9 -2.5
11/29 Neutral DePaul -5.5 W by 33 +27.5
12/03 Away Boston College -7.0 W by 9 +2.0
12/07 Neutral Texas Tech +5.5 L by 24 -18.5
12/13 Neutral SMU -1.5 W by 12 +10.5
12/19 Home SE Louisiana -24.5 W by 13 -11.5
12/22 Home Prairie View -29.5 W by 14 -15.5
12/29 Home Southern Miss -21.5 W by 28 +6.5
01/03 Away Texas A&M +5.5 L by 3 +2.5
01/06 Home South Carolina -7.5 L by 10 -17.5
01/10 Away Vanderbilt +13.5 L by 11 +2.5
01/14 Home Kentucky +3.5 L by 1 +2.5
01/17 Home Missouri -1.0 W by 8 +7.0
01/20 Away Florida +15.5 L by 18 -2.5
01/24 Away Arkansas +10.5 L by 4 +6.5
01/28 Home Mississippi St -7.0 L by 14 -21.0
01/31 Away South Carolina -2.5 W by 5 +2.5
02/07 Home Georgia +1.5 L by 12 -10.5
02/10 Home Arkansas +4.5 L by 29 -24.5
02/14 Away Tennessee +14.5 L by 10 +4.5
02/17 Away Texas +10.5 L by 3 +7.5
02/21 Home Alabama +7.5 L by 7 +0.5
02/25 Away Mississippi +2.5 W by 7 +9.5
02/28 Home Oklahoma -1.5 L by 16 -17.5
03/03 Away Auburn +10.5 L by 14 -3.5
03/07 Home Texas A&M +2.5 L by 3 -0.5
03/11 Neutral Kentucky +8.5 L by 5 +3.5

Texas Detailed ATS Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Line Result +/-
11/04 Neutral Duke +10.5 L by 15 -4.5
11/08 Home Lafayette -25.5 W by 37 +11.5
11/12 Home F Dickinson -31.5 W by 35 +3.5
11/15 Home Kansas City -31.5 W by 16 -15.5
11/18 Home Rider -30.5 W by 34 +3.5
11/24 Neutral Arizona St -7.5 L by 1 -8.5
11/25 Neutral Chaminade -- W by 41 --
11/26 Neutral NC State +1.0 W by 5 +6.0
12/03 Home Virginia -3.0 L by 19 -22.0
12/08 Home Southern -22.0 W by 26 +4.0
12/12 Away UConn +11.5 L by 8 +3.5
12/16 Home Le Moyne -29.5 W by 42 +12.5
12/22 Home Maryland ES -33.0 W by 23 -10.0
01/03 Home Mississippi St -10.0 L by 3 -13.0
01/06 Away Tennessee +11.5 L by 14 -2.5
01/10 Away Alabama +11.5 W by 4 +15.5
01/14 Home Vanderbilt +4.0 W by 16 +20.0
01/17 Home Texas A&M -4.5 L by 4 -8.5
01/21 Away Kentucky +6.5 L by 5 +1.5
01/24 Home Georgia -3.5 W by 20 +16.5
01/28 Away Auburn +6.5 L by 6 +0.5
01/31 Away Oklahoma -1.5 W by 10 +8.5
02/03 Home South Carolina -13.0 W by 9 -4.0
02/07 Home Mississippi -9.5 W by 11 +1.5
02/14 Away Missouri +2.5 W by 17 +19.5
02/17 Home LSU -10.5 W by 3 -7.5
02/21 Away Georgia +2.5 L by 11 -8.5
02/25 Home Florida +7.5 L by 13 -5.5
02/28 Away Texas A&M +2.5 W by 6 +8.5
03/04 Away Arkansas +6.5 L by 20 -13.5
03/07 Home Oklahoma -6.5 L by 3 -9.5
03/11 Neutral Mississippi -5.5 L by 10 -15.5
03/17 Neutral NC State +1.5 W by 2 +3.5
03/19 Neutral BYU +2.5 W by 8 +10.5
03/21 Neutral Gonzaga +6.5 W by 6 +12.5
03/26 Neutral Purdue +8.5 L by 2 +6.5