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Memphis at Mississippi St: Over/Under Analysis

Saturday Dec 20, 2025 4:00 pm - Starkville, MS
Odds: Mississippi State by 3.5, Total Points: 153.5

Matchup Menu: MEM @ MSST

More Games From Dec 20, 2025

Over/Under Predictions

Pick	Model	Confidence
Over 153.5	Official TR Pick	52% odds to go over
Over 153.5	Similar Games	59% odds to go over
Over 153.5	Decision Tree	52% odds to go over

Over/Under Situational Trends

Record	MEM	MSST
Season	16-16-0	16-16-0
vs Division	0-0-0	0-0-0
vs Conference	10-9-0	9-10-0
Streak	Un 1	Un 1
Last 5	3-2-0	2-3-0
Last 10	5-5-0	5-5-0
Home	8-8-0	5-11-0
Away	8-8-0	11-5-0

Records denote overs-unders-pushes

Memphis Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date	H/A/N	Opponent	Total	Score	Result	+/-
11/08	Home	San Francisco	157.0	76-70	Under	-11.0
11/11	Away	Mississippi	151.5	77-83	Over	+8.5
11/16	Home	UNLV	164.0	78-92	Over	+6.0
11/20	Neutral	Purdue	156.5	71-80	Under	-5.5
11/21	Neutral	Wake Forest	160.5	68-69	Under	-23.5
11/26	Home	S Illinois	156.5	74-58	Under	-24.5
12/03	Home	New Orleans	149.5	86-70	Over	+6.5
12/06	Home	Baylor	158.5	78-71	Under	-9.5
12/13	Away	Louisville	162.5	73-99	Over	+9.5
12/17	Home	Vanderbilt	159.5	70-77	Under	-12.5
12/20	Away	Mississippi St	153.5	66-71	Under	-16.5
12/22	Home	Alabama St	151.5	88-67	Over	+3.5
12/31	Home	N Texas	137.5	57-48	Under	-32.5
01/03	Away	Rice	145.0	76-70	Over	+1.0
01/11	Away	Florida Atlantic	152.5	78-89	Over	+14.5
01/14	Home	Temple	144.5	55-53	Under	-36.5
01/18	Home	UTSA	147.5	95-69	Over	+16.5
01/21	Away	Tulsa	154.0	66-83	Under	-5.0
01/24	Away	Wichita St	142.5	59-74	Under	-9.5
01/29	Home	Florida Atlantic	152.5	92-65	Over	+4.5
02/01	Home	Tulane	151.0	76-78	Over	+3.0
02/05	Away	UAB	155.0	90-80	Over	+15.0
02/08	Home	Charlotte	145.0	77-54	Under	-14.0
02/12	Away	N Texas	138.0	69-76	Over	+7.0
02/14	Away	Utah St	154.5	75-99	Over	+19.5
02/19	Away	S Florida	163.0	66-87	Under	-10.0
02/22	Home	UAB	152.5	67-78	Under	-7.5
02/26	Home	Wichita St	149.5	82-88	Over	+20.5
03/01	Away	E Carolina	153.5	68-84	Under	-1.5
03/05	Home	S Florida	163.5	89-96	Over	+21.5
03/08	Away	Tulane	153.5	96-95	Over	+37.5
03/11	Neutral	Tulane	151.5	69-81	Under	-1.5

Mississippi St Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date	H/A/N	Opponent	Total	Score	Result	+/-
11/05	Home	N Alabama	151.0	86-62	Under	-3.0
11/10	Neutral	Iowa St	149.0	80-96	Over	+27.0
11/15	Home	SE Louisiana	150.5	75-68	Under	-7.5
11/20	Neutral	Kansas St	165.0	77-98	Over	+10.0
11/21	Neutral	New Mexico	150.5	78-80	Over	+7.5
11/24	Home	New Orleans	161.0	81-78	Under	-2.0
11/28	Home	SMU	162.5	81-87	Over	+5.5
12/03	Away	Georgia Tech	150.5	85-73	Over	+7.5
12/07	Neutral	San Francisco	151.0	62-65	Under	-24.0
12/13	Neutral	Utah	152.5	82-74	Over	+3.5
12/16	Home	LIU	152.5	87-83	Over	+17.5
12/20	Home	Memphis	153.5	71-66	Under	-16.5
12/29	Home	Alabama St	154.0	94-56	Under	-4.0
01/03	Away	Texas	157.5	101-98	Over	+41.5
01/07	Home	Oklahoma	159.0	72-53	Under	-34.0
01/10	Away	Kentucky	152.5	68-92	Over	+7.5
01/13	Home	Alabama	171.5	82-97	Over	+7.5
01/17	Home	Mississippi	148.0	67-68	Under	-13.0
01/21	Away	Texas A&M	163.5	68-88	Under	-7.5
01/24	Home	Vanderbilt	160.5	56-88	Under	-16.5
01/28	Away	LSU	154.5	80-66	Under	-8.5
01/31	Away	Missouri	149.5	79-84	Over	+13.5
02/07	Home	Arkansas	164.0	68-88	Under	-8.0
02/11	Home	Tennessee	147.5	64-73	Under	-10.5
02/14	Away	Mississippi	144.0	90-78	Over	+24.0
02/18	Home	Auburn	155.5	91-85	Over	+20.5
02/21	Away	South Carolina	151.5	89-97	Over	+34.5
02/25	Away	Alabama	176.5	75-100	Under	-1.5
02/28	Home	Missouri	155.5	64-88	Under	-3.5
03/03	Away	Florida	161.5	74-108	Over	+20.5
03/07	Home	Georgia	167.5	96-102	Over	+30.5
03/11	Neutral	Auburn	160.5	61-79	Under	-20.5