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Memphis at Mississippi St: Point Spread Analysis

Saturday Dec 20, 2025 4:00 pm - Starkville, MS
Odds: Mississippi State by 3.5, Total Points: 153.5

Matchup Menu: MEM @ MSST

More Games From Dec 20, 2025

ATS Predictions

Pick Model Confidence
Memphis +4.0 Official TR Pick Memphis 50% odds to cover
Memphis +4.0 Power Rating Model Memphis 71% odds to cover
Memphis +4.0 Decision Tree Memphis 50% odds to cover
Memphis +4.0 Predictive Ratings Memphis 52% odds to cover
Mississippi St -4.0 Similar Games Mississippi St 51% odds to cover

ATS Situational Trends

Record MEM adv MSST
Season 14-18-0 10-22-0
vs Division 0-0-0 0-0-0
vs Conference 5-14-0 6-13-0
Streak L2 L6
Last 5 1-4-0 0-5-0
Last 10 2-8-0 2-8-0
Home 10-6-0 4-12-0
Away 4-12-0 6-10-0

Memphis Detailed ATS Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Line Result +/-
11/08 Home San Francisco -2.0 W by 6 +4.0
11/11 Away Mississippi +9.5 L by 6 +3.5
11/16 Home UNLV -9.5 L by 14 -23.5
11/20 Neutral Purdue +15.0 L by 9 +6.0
11/21 Neutral Wake Forest +2.5 L by 1 +1.5
11/26 Home S Illinois -10.5 W by 16 +5.5
12/03 Home New Orleans -14.5 W by 16 +1.5
12/06 Home Baylor +3.0 W by 7 +10.0
12/13 Away Louisville +16.5 L by 26 -9.5
12/17 Home Vanderbilt +9.0 L by 7 +2.0
12/20 Away Mississippi St +3.5 L by 5 -1.5
12/22 Home Alabama St -20.5 W by 21 +0.5
12/31 Home N Texas -10.0 W by 9 -1.0
01/03 Away Rice -7.5 W by 6 -1.5
01/11 Away Florida Atlantic +1.5 L by 11 -9.5
01/14 Home Temple -8.0 W by 2 -6.0
01/18 Home UTSA -20.0 W by 26 +6.0
01/21 Away Tulsa +5.5 L by 17 -11.5
01/24 Away Wichita St +3.5 L by 15 -11.5
01/29 Home Florida Atlantic -3.0 W by 27 +24.0
02/01 Home Tulane -9.5 L by 2 -11.5
02/05 Away UAB +1.5 W by 10 +11.5
02/08 Home Charlotte -10.0 W by 23 +13.0
02/12 Away N Texas -2.0 L by 7 -9.0
02/14 Away Utah St +14.0 L by 24 -10.0
02/19 Away S Florida +9.0 L by 21 -12.0
02/22 Home UAB -6.5 L by 11 -17.5
02/26 Home Wichita St -1.5 L by 6 -7.5
03/01 Away E Carolina -4.5 L by 16 -20.5
03/05 Home S Florida +7.5 L by 7 +0.5
03/08 Away Tulane -2.5 W by 1 -1.5
03/11 Neutral Tulane -4.5 L by 12 -16.5

Mississippi St Detailed ATS Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Line Result +/-
11/05 Home N Alabama -24.5 W by 24 -0.5
11/10 Neutral Iowa St +5.0 L by 16 -11.0
11/15 Home SE Louisiana -27.5 W by 7 -20.5
11/20 Neutral Kansas St -2.0 L by 21 -23.0
11/21 Neutral New Mexico -6.5 L by 2 -8.5
11/24 Home New Orleans -24.0 W by 3 -21.0
11/28 Home SMU -1.0 L by 6 -7.0
12/03 Away Georgia Tech -1.5 W by 12 +10.5
12/07 Neutral San Francisco -4.5 L by 3 -7.5
12/13 Neutral Utah -2.5 W by 8 +5.5
12/16 Home LIU -16.5 W by 4 -12.5
12/20 Home Memphis -3.5 W by 5 +1.5
12/29 Home Alabama St -17.5 W by 38 +20.5
01/03 Away Texas +10.0 W by 3 +13.0
01/07 Home Oklahoma -1.0 W by 19 +18.0
01/10 Away Kentucky +10.5 L by 24 -13.5
01/13 Home Alabama +4.5 L by 15 -10.5
01/17 Home Mississippi -4.0 L by 1 -5.0
01/21 Away Texas A&M +8.5 L by 20 -11.5
01/24 Home Vanderbilt +7.5 L by 32 -24.5
01/28 Away LSU +7.0 W by 14 +21.0
01/31 Away Missouri +6.5 L by 5 +1.5
02/07 Home Arkansas +6.0 L by 20 -14.0
02/11 Home Tennessee +7.0 L by 9 -2.0
02/14 Away Mississippi +3.5 W by 12 +15.5
02/18 Home Auburn +5.5 W by 6 +11.5
02/21 Away South Carolina +1.0 L by 8 -7.0
02/25 Away Alabama +12.5 L by 25 -12.5
02/28 Home Missouri +1.5 L by 24 -22.5
03/03 Away Florida +20.5 L by 34 -13.5
03/07 Home Georgia +5.5 L by 6 -0.5
03/11 Neutral Auburn +8.5 L by 18 -9.5