Tarleton St at SMU: Point Spread Line Movement

Monday Nov 3, 2025 8:00 pm - Dallas, TX
Odds: SMU by 21.5, Total Points: 145

Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines

Since the start of the 2020-2021 NCAA Basketball season there have been 482 games where the closing line favored the home team by 20.5 to 22.5 points. In these games:

• The team like SMU won the game 470 times (97.5%).
• The team like Tarleton State won the game 12 times (2.5%).
• The team like Tarleton State did better against the spread, going 245-232-5 (51.4% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.2 points.

Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement

Since the start of the 2022-2023 NCAA Basketball season there have been 2980 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 1 points more than the opening line.

In these games, the team like Tarleton State did better against the spread, going 1482-1443-55 (50.7% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.1 points.

Spread History

The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.