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Tarleton St at SMU: Point Spread Analysis

Monday Nov 3, 2025 8:00 pm - Dallas, TX
Odds: SMU by 21.5, Total Points: 145

Matchup Menu: TST @ SMU

More Games From Nov 3, 2025

ATS Predictions

Pick Model Confidence
Tarleton St +21.5 Official TR Pick Tarleton St 51% odds to cover
Tarleton St +21.5 Power Rating Model Tarleton St 78% odds to cover
Tarleton St +21.5 Decision Tree Tarleton St 51% odds to cover
SMU -21.5 Similar Games SMU 51% odds to cover
SMU -21.5 Predictive Ratings SMU 51% odds to cover

ATS Situational Trends

Record TST adv SMU
Season 14-14-0 14-19-1
vs Division 0-0-0 0-0-0
vs Conference 6-13-0 8-11-1
Streak L3 L1
Last 5 1-4-0 2-3-0
Last 10 4-6-0 4-6-0
Home 5-7-0 7-11-0
Away 9-7-0 7-8-1

Tarleton St Detailed ATS Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Line Result +/-
11/03 Away SMU +21.5 L by 20 +1.5
11/05 Away LSU +15.0 L by 36 -21.0
11/08 Home Texas A&M-CC -3.5 W by 8 +4.5
11/11 Home Merrimack -5.0 W by 14 +9.0
11/14 Away Baylor +23.5 L by 13 +10.5
11/17 Home Angelo State -- W by 23 --
11/20 Away Rice +5.0 W by 16 +21.0
11/28 Home Midwestern St. -- W by 10 --
12/01 Away Cincinnati +25.0 L by 18 +7.0
12/03 Home Howard Payne -- W by 65 --
12/07 Home Cameron -- W by 30 --
12/16 Away Miss Valley St -17.0 W by 24 +7.0
12/19 Home Florida A&M -14.5 W by 24 +9.5
12/29 Away UT Arlington +2.5 W by 6 +8.5
01/01 Home Utah Valley +5.5 L by 6 -0.5
01/03 Home Cal Baptist (Pick) W by 5 +5.0
01/08 Home Abl Christian -4.5 L by 4 -8.5
01/15 Away S Utah -3.5 L by 1 -4.5
01/17 Away Utah Tech +3.5 L by 4 -0.5
01/21 Away UT Arlington +2.5 L by 7 -4.5
01/29 Home Utah Valley +6.0 L by 28 -22.0
01/31 Home Utah Tech -1.5 L by 6 -7.5
02/05 Away Cal Baptist +10.0 L by 1 +9.0
02/07 Away S Utah -1.0 W by 3 +2.0
02/14 Away Abl Christian +3.0 L by 14 -11.0
02/16 Home Abl Christian -1.0 W by 3 +2.0
02/19 Home S Utah -5.0 W by 4 -1.0
02/21 Home Utah Tech -1.5 L by 8 -9.5
02/26 Away Utah Valley +17.5 L by 7 +10.5
02/28 Away Cal Baptist +8.5 L by 15 -6.5
03/05 Home UT Arlington -1.5 L by 5 -6.5
03/11 Neutral Abl Christian +1.5 L by 6 -4.5

SMU Detailed ATS Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Line Result +/-
11/03 Home Tarleton St -21.5 W by 20 -1.5
11/06 Home Texas A&M-CC -23.5 W by 11 -12.5
11/11 Home Murray St -9.5 W by 11 +1.5
11/15 Home Butler -7.5 W by 2 -5.5
11/18 Home AR-Pine Bluff -34.5 W by 46 +11.5
11/21 Home Arkansas St -14.5 W by 31 +16.5
11/24 Home Radford -25.0 W by 17 -8.0
11/28 Away Mississippi St +1.0 W by 6 +7.0
12/03 Away Vanderbilt +10.5 L by 19 -8.5
12/07 Neutral Texas A&M +1.5 W by 13 +14.5
12/13 Neutral LSU +1.5 L by 12 -10.5
12/21 Home C Arkansas -24.5 W by 17 -7.5
12/28 Home CS Fullerton -22.0 W by 47 +25.0
01/03 Home North Carolina -1.0 W by 14 +13.0
01/07 Away Clemson +4.0 L by 4 0.0
01/10 Away Duke +16.0 L by 7 +9.0
01/14 Home Virginia Tech -9.0 W by 1 -8.0
01/17 Home Virginia +2.0 L by 4 -2.0
01/20 Away Wake Forest +1.5 W by 12 +13.5
01/24 Home Florida St -12.0 W by 3 -9.0
01/31 Away Louisville +9.5 L by 14 -4.5
02/03 Home NC State (Pick) L by 1 -1.0
02/07 Away Pittsburgh -4.0 W by 19 +15.0
02/10 Home Notre Dame -10.5 W by 8 -2.5
02/14 Away Syracuse -1.5 L by 1 -2.5
02/17 Home Louisville +4.0 W by 10 +14.0
02/21 Home Boston College -15.5 W by 24 +8.5
02/25 Away California -3.5 L by 4 -7.5
02/28 Away Stanford -1.5 L by 20 -21.5
03/04 Home Miami -1.5 L by 8 -9.5
03/07 Away Florida St +1.5 L by 13 -11.5
03/10 Neutral Syracuse -3.5 W by 17 +13.5
03/11 Neutral Louisville +6.5 L by 4 +2.5
03/18 Neutral Miami OH -7.5 L by 10 -17.5