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Tarleton St at SMU: Over/Under Analysis

Monday Nov 3, 2025 8:00 pm - Dallas, TX
Odds: SMU by 21.5, Total Points: 145

Matchup Menu: TST @ SMU

More Games From Nov 3, 2025

Over/Under Predictions

Pick	Model	Confidence
Over 145.0	Official TR Pick	52% odds to go over
Over 145.0	Decision Tree	52% odds to go over
Under 145.0	Similar Games	55% odds to go under

Over/Under Situational Trends

Record	TST	SMU
Season	15-13-0	21-12-1
vs Division	0-0-0	0-0-0
vs Conference	9-10-0	12-7-1
Streak	Ov 1	Ov 1
Last 5	4-1-0	3-2-0
Last 10	5-5-0	6-3-1
Home	6-6-0	10-8-0
Away	9-7-0	11-4-1

Records denote overs-unders-pushes

Tarleton St Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date	H/A/N	Opponent	Total	Score	Result	+/-
11/03	Away	SMU	145.0	76-96	Over	+27.0
11/05	Away	LSU	149.5	60-96	Over	+6.5
11/08	Home	Texas A&M-CC	142.0	85-77	Over	+20.0
11/11	Home	Merrimack	142.5	76-62	Under	-4.5
11/14	Away	Baylor	149.5	81-94	Over	+25.5
11/17	Home	Angelo State	--	77-54	Under	--
11/20	Away	Rice	145.5	90-74	Over	+18.5
11/28	Home	Midwestern St.	--	67-57	Under	--
12/01	Away	Cincinnati	143.0	58-76	Under	-9.0
12/03	Home	Howard Payne	--	119-54	Under	--
12/07	Home	Cameron	--	93-63	Under	--
12/16	Away	Miss Valley St	142.5	88-64	Over	+9.5
12/19	Home	Florida A&M	145.5	78-54	Under	-13.5
12/29	Away	UT Arlington	136.5	69-63	Under	-4.5
01/01	Home	Utah Valley	144.0	85-91	Over	+32.0
01/03	Home	Cal Baptist	148.0	81-76	Over	+9.0
01/08	Home	Abl Christian	140.5	80-84	Over	+23.5
01/15	Away	S Utah	151.0	105-106	Over	+60.0
01/17	Away	Utah Tech	151.0	71-75	Under	-5.0
01/21	Away	UT Arlington	142.5	64-71	Under	-7.5
01/29	Home	Utah Valley	154.5	55-83	Under	-16.5
01/31	Home	Utah Tech	149.5	59-65	Under	-25.5
02/05	Away	Cal Baptist	139.5	55-56	Under	-28.5
02/07	Away	S Utah	148.0	62-59	Under	-27.0
02/14	Away	Abl Christian	136.0	59-73	Under	-4.0
02/16	Home	Abl Christian	134.0	65-62	Under	-7.0
02/19	Home	S Utah	145.0	78-74	Over	+7.0
02/21	Home	Utah Tech	140.5	72-80	Over	+11.5
02/26	Away	Utah Valley	141.5	72-79	Over	+9.5
02/28	Away	Cal Baptist	138.5	67-82	Over	+10.5
03/05	Home	UT Arlington	136.5	60-65	Under	-11.5
03/11	Neutral	Abl Christian	133.5	78-84	Over	+28.5

SMU Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date	H/A/N	Opponent	Total	Score	Result	+/-
11/03	Home	Tarleton St	145.0	96-76	Over	+27.0
11/06	Home	Texas A&M-CC	160.5	69-58	Under	-33.5
11/11	Home	Murray St	164.5	102-91	Over	+28.5
11/15	Home	Butler	164.0	87-85	Over	+8.0
11/18	Home	AR-Pine Bluff	168.5	106-60	Under	-2.5
11/21	Home	Arkansas St	172.5	100-69	Under	-3.5
11/24	Home	Radford	165.5	89-72	Under	-4.5
11/28	Away	Mississippi St	162.5	87-81	Over	+5.5
12/03	Away	Vanderbilt	165.5	69-88	Under	-8.5
12/07	Neutral	Texas A&M	164.0	93-80	Over	+9.0
12/13	Neutral	LSU	158.5	77-89	Over	+7.5
12/21	Home	C Arkansas	157.0	99-82	Over	+24.0
12/28	Home	CS Fullerton	170.5	110-63	Over	+2.5
01/03	Home	North Carolina	155.5	97-83	Over	+24.5
01/07	Away	Clemson	149.5	70-74	Under	-5.5
01/10	Away	Duke	156.0	75-82	Over	+1.0
01/14	Home	Virginia Tech	156.5	77-76	Under	-3.5
01/17	Home	Virginia	153.0	68-72	Under	-13.0
01/20	Away	Wake Forest	157.5	91-79	Over	+12.5
01/24	Home	Florida St	164.5	83-80	Under	-1.5
01/31	Away	Louisville	161.5	74-88	Over	+0.5
02/03	Home	NC State	159.5	83-84	Over	+7.5
02/07	Away	Pittsburgh	147.5	86-67	Over	+5.5
02/10	Home	Notre Dame	154.0	89-81	Over	+16.0
02/14	Away	Syracuse	157.0	78-79	Push	0.0
02/17	Home	Louisville	168.0	95-85	Over	+12.0
02/21	Home	Boston College	150.5	94-70	Over	+13.5
02/25	Away	California	163.5	69-73	Under	-21.5
02/28	Away	Stanford	155.5	75-95	Over	+14.5
03/04	Home	Miami	156.5	69-77	Under	-10.5
03/07	Away	Florida St	158.5	78-91	Over	+10.5
03/10	Neutral	Syracuse	154.5	86-69	Over	+0.5
03/11	Neutral	Louisville	164.5	58-62	Under	-44.5
03/18	Neutral	Miami OH	161.5	79-89	Over	+6.5