This section is showing information that is up to date as of the end of the 2025-26 NCAA Basketball season. To join our email list and get notified when we launch the 2026-27 NCAA Basketball section, register for a free account.

Michigan St at Purdue: Over/Under Analysis

Thursday Feb 26, 2026 8:00 pm - West Lafayette, IN
Odds: Purdue by 6.5, Total Points: 143.5

Matchup Menu: MSU @ PUR

More Games From Feb 26, 2026

Over/Under Predictions

Pick	Model	Confidence
Under 144.5	Official TR Pick	55% odds to go under
Under 144.5	Decision Tree	55% odds to go under
Over 144.5	Similar Games	55% odds to go over

Over/Under Situational Trends

Record	MSU	PUR
Season	16-19-0	21-18-0
vs Division	0-0-0	0-0-0
vs Conference	11-10-0	14-10-0
Streak	Un 2	Un 1
Last 5	3-2-0	4-1-0
Last 10	6-4-0	6-4-0
Home	7-10-0	12-5-0
Away	9-9-0	9-13-0

Records denote overs-unders-pushes

Michigan St Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date	H/A/N	Opponent	Total	Score	Result	+/-
11/03	Home	Colgate	144.5	80-69	Over	+4.5
11/08	Home	Arkansas	155.5	69-66	Under	-20.5
11/13	Home	San Jose St	143.0	79-60	Under	-4.0
11/18	Neutral	Kentucky	153.0	83-66	Under	-4.0
11/21	Home	Detroit Mercy	152.5	84-56	Under	-12.5
11/25	Neutral	E Carolina	142.0	89-56	Over	+3.0
11/27	Neutral	North Carolina	152.5	74-58	Under	-20.5
12/02	Home	Iowa	134.0	71-52	Under	-11.0
12/06	Home	Duke	141.5	60-66	Under	-15.5
12/13	Away	Penn St	145.0	76-72	Over	+3.0
12/16	Home	Toledo	150.5	92-69	Over	+10.5
12/20	Neutral	Oakland	154.5	79-70	Under	-5.5
12/29	Home	Cornell	160.5	114-97	Over	+50.5
01/02	Away	Nebraska	146.5	56-58	Under	-32.5
01/05	Home	USC	150.5	80-51	Under	-19.5
01/08	Home	Northwestern	144.0	76-66	Under	-2.0
01/13	Home	Indiana	145.5	81-60	Under	-4.5
01/17	Away	Washington	146.0	80-63	Under	-3.0
01/20	Away	Oregon	140.0	68-52	Under	-20.0
01/24	Home	Maryland	139.5	91-48	Under	-0.5
01/27	Away	Rutgers	139.0	88-79	Over	+28.0
01/30	Home	Michigan	150.5	71-83	Over	+3.5
02/04	Away	Minnesota	134.5	73-76	Over	+14.5
02/07	Home	Illinois	143.5	85-82	Over	+23.5
02/13	Away	Wisconsin	148.0	71-92	Over	+15.0
02/17	Home	UCLA	139.5	82-59	Over	+1.5
02/22	Home	Ohio St	146.5	66-60	Under	-20.5
02/26	Away	Purdue	143.5	76-74	Over	+6.5
03/01	Away	Indiana	144.5	77-64	Under	-3.5
03/05	Home	Rutgers	141.5	91-87	Over	+36.5
03/08	Away	Michigan	152.5	80-90	Over	+17.5
03/13	Neutral	UCLA	141.5	84-88	Over	+30.5
03/19	Neutral	N Dakota St	143.5	92-67	Over	+15.5
03/21	Neutral	Louisville	151.5	77-69	Under	-5.5
03/27	Neutral	UConn	136.5	63-67	Under	-6.5

Purdue Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date	H/A/N	Opponent	Total	Score	Result	+/-
11/04	Home	Evansville	149.0	82-51	Under	-16.0
11/07	Home	Oakland	160.0	87-77	Over	+4.0
11/13	Away	Alabama	172.5	87-80	Under	-5.5
11/16	Home	Akron	164.0	97-79	Over	+12.0
11/20	Neutral	Memphis	156.5	80-71	Under	-5.5
11/21	Neutral	Texas Tech	154.0	86-56	Under	-12.0
11/28	Home	E Illinois	141.5	109-62	Over	+29.5
12/02	Away	Rutgers	146.5	81-65	Under	-0.5
12/06	Home	Iowa St	154.5	58-81	Under	-15.5
12/10	Home	Minnesota	143.0	85-57	Under	-1.0
12/13	Home	Marquette	154.5	79-59	Under	-16.5
12/20	Neutral	Auburn	152.0	88-60	Under	-4.0
12/29	Home	Kent St	155.5	101-60	Over	+5.5
01/03	Away	Wisconsin	153.5	89-73	Over	+8.5
01/07	Home	Washington	153.5	81-73	Over	+0.5
01/10	Home	Penn St	152.5	93-85	Over	+25.5
01/14	Home	Iowa	145.5	79-72	Over	+5.5
01/17	Away	USC	155.5	69-64	Under	-22.5
01/20	Away	UCLA	147.5	67-69	Under	-11.5
01/24	Home	Illinois	154.5	82-88	Over	+15.5
01/27	Away	Indiana	150.5	67-72	Under	-11.5
02/01	Away	Maryland	148.5	93-63	Over	+7.5
02/07	Home	Oregon	143.5	68-64	Under	-11.5
02/10	Away	Nebraska	146.0	80-77	Over	+11.0
02/14	Away	Iowa	142.5	78-57	Under	-7.5
02/17	Home	Michigan	157.0	80-91	Over	+14.0
02/20	Home	Indiana	149.5	93-64	Over	+7.5
02/26	Home	Michigan St	143.5	74-76	Over	+6.5
03/01	Away	Ohio St	150.5	74-82	Over	+5.5
03/04	Away	Northwestern	145.5	70-66	Under	-9.5
03/07	Home	Wisconsin	154.5	93-97	Over	+35.5
03/12	Neutral	Northwestern	139.5	81-68	Over	+9.5
03/13	Neutral	Nebraska	145.5	74-58	Under	-13.5
03/14	Neutral	UCLA	143.5	73-66	Under	-4.5
03/15	Neutral	Michigan	149.5	80-72	Over	+2.5
03/20	Neutral	Queens	159.5	104-71	Over	+15.5
03/22	Neutral	Miami	147.5	79-69	Over	+0.5
03/26	Neutral	Texas	145.5	79-77	Over	+10.5
03/28	Neutral	Arizona	152.5	64-79	Under	-9.5