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Michigan St at Purdue: Point Spread Analysis

Thursday Feb 26, 2026 8:00 pm - West Lafayette, IN
Odds: Purdue by 6.5, Total Points: 143.5

Matchup Menu: MSU @ PUR

More Games From Feb 26, 2026

ATS Predictions

Pick Model Confidence
Purdue -6.5 Official TR Pick Purdue 53% odds to cover
Purdue -6.5 Decision Tree Purdue 54% odds to cover
Michigan St +6.5 Power Rating Model Michigan St 69% odds to cover
Michigan St +6.5 Similar Games Michigan St 54% odds to cover
Michigan St +6.5 Predictive Ratings Michigan St 50% odds to cover

ATS Situational Trends

Record MSU adv PUR
Season 17-16-2 17-22-0
vs Division 0-0-0 0-0-0
vs Conference 11-9-1 9-15-0
Streak L1 L2
Last 5 3-2-0 3-2-0
Last 10 6-4-0 4-6-0
Home 7-9-1 5-12-0
Away 10-7-1 12-10-0

Michigan St Detailed ATS Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Line Result +/-
11/03 Home Colgate -22.0 W by 11 -11.0
11/08 Home Arkansas -2.5 W by 3 +0.5
11/13 Home San Jose St -24.5 W by 19 -5.5
11/18 Neutral Kentucky +3.5 W by 17 +20.5
11/21 Home Detroit Mercy -30.5 W by 28 -2.5
11/25 Neutral E Carolina -20.0 W by 33 +13.0
11/27 Neutral North Carolina -1.0 W by 16 +15.0
12/02 Home Iowa -4.5 W by 19 +14.5
12/06 Home Duke +1.0 L by 6 -5.0
12/13 Away Penn St -12.5 W by 4 -8.5
12/16 Home Toledo -23.0 W by 23 0.0
12/20 Neutral Oakland -20.0 W by 9 -11.0
12/29 Home Cornell -23.5 W by 17 -6.5
01/02 Away Nebraska +2.0 L by 2 0.0
01/05 Home USC -12.0 W by 29 +17.0
01/08 Home Northwestern -13.0 W by 10 -3.0
01/13 Home Indiana -6.5 W by 21 +14.5
01/17 Away Washington -3.5 W by 17 +13.5
01/20 Away Oregon -10.0 W by 16 +6.0
01/24 Home Maryland -18.5 W by 43 +24.5
01/27 Away Rutgers -14.5 W by 9 -5.5
01/30 Home Michigan +2.5 L by 12 -9.5
02/04 Away Minnesota -8.5 L by 3 -11.5
02/07 Home Illinois -1.0 W by 3 +2.0
02/13 Away Wisconsin -2.0 L by 21 -23.0
02/17 Home UCLA -8.0 W by 23 +15.0
02/22 Home Ohio St -10.5 W by 6 -4.5
02/26 Away Purdue +6.5 W by 2 +8.5
03/01 Away Indiana -2.5 W by 13 +10.5
03/05 Home Rutgers -19.5 W by 4 -15.5
03/08 Away Michigan +10.5 L by 10 +0.5
03/13 Neutral UCLA -5.5 L by 4 -9.5
03/19 Neutral N Dakota St -15.5 W by 25 +9.5
03/21 Neutral Louisville -5.5 W by 8 +2.5
03/27 Neutral UConn +2.5 L by 4 -1.5

Purdue Detailed ATS Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Line Result +/-
11/04 Home Evansville -34.0 W by 31 -3.0
11/07 Home Oakland -32.0 W by 10 -22.0
11/13 Away Alabama +3.0 W by 7 +10.0
11/16 Home Akron -18.5 W by 18 -0.5
11/20 Neutral Memphis -15.0 W by 9 -6.0
11/21 Neutral Texas Tech -2.5 W by 30 +27.5
11/28 Home E Illinois -40.5 W by 47 +6.5
12/02 Away Rutgers -13.5 W by 16 +2.5
12/06 Home Iowa St -4.0 L by 23 -27.0
12/10 Home Minnesota -20.0 W by 28 +8.0
12/13 Home Marquette -17.0 W by 20 +3.0
12/20 Neutral Auburn -7.5 W by 28 +20.5
12/29 Home Kent St -24.0 W by 41 +17.0
01/03 Away Wisconsin -5.5 W by 16 +10.5
01/07 Home Washington -16.5 W by 8 -8.5
01/10 Home Penn St -22.5 W by 8 -14.5
01/14 Home Iowa -10.5 W by 7 -3.5
01/17 Away USC -9.0 W by 5 -4.0
01/20 Away UCLA -5.5 L by 2 -7.5
01/24 Home Illinois -5.5 L by 6 -11.5
01/27 Away Indiana -4.5 L by 5 -9.5
02/01 Away Maryland -14.5 W by 30 +15.5
02/07 Home Oregon -18.5 W by 4 -14.5
02/10 Away Nebraska +2.0 W by 3 +5.0
02/14 Away Iowa -1.0 W by 21 +20.0
02/17 Home Michigan +2.5 L by 11 -8.5
02/20 Home Indiana -11.0 W by 29 +18.0
02/26 Home Michigan St -6.5 L by 2 -8.5
03/01 Away Ohio St -6.5 L by 8 -14.5
03/04 Away Northwestern -11.5 W by 4 -7.5
03/07 Home Wisconsin -9.5 L by 4 -13.5
03/12 Neutral Northwestern -13.5 W by 13 -0.5
03/13 Neutral Nebraska -4.5 W by 16 +11.5
03/14 Neutral UCLA -7.5 W by 7 -0.5
03/15 Neutral Michigan +4.5 W by 8 +12.5
03/20 Neutral Queens -25.5 W by 33 +7.5
03/22 Neutral Miami -7.5 W by 10 +2.5
03/26 Neutral Texas -8.5 W by 2 -6.5
03/28 Neutral Arizona +5.5 L by 15 -9.5