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Florida St at Florida: Over/Under Analysis
Tuesday Nov 11, 2025 7:00 pm -
Gainesville, FL
Odds:
Florida by 18,
Total Points:
180.5
Matchup Menu: FSU @ FLA
Over/Under Predictions
| Pick | Model | Confidence |
|---|---|---|
| Under 180.0 | Official TR Pick | 52% odds to go under |
| Under 180.0 | Decision Tree | 52% odds to go under |
| Over 180.5 | Similar Games | 51% odds to go over |
Over/Under Situational Trends
| Record | FSU | FLA |
|---|---|---|
| Season | 17-16-0 | 14-20-1 |
| vs Division | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 |
| vs Conference | 12-8-0 | 8-11-1 |
| Streak | Ov 4 | Un 1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1-0 | 2-3-0 |
| Last 10 | 7-3-0 | 5-5-0 |
| Home | 8-9-0 | 6-8-1 |
| Away | 9-7-0 | 8-12-0 |
Records denote overs-unders-pushes
Florida St Detailed Over/Under Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Total | Score | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/04 | Home | Alcorn St | 157.0 | 108-76 | Over | +27.0 |
| 11/07 | Home | Alabama St | 166.5 | 101-64 | Under | -1.5 |
| 11/11 | Away | Florida | 180.5 | 76-78 | Under | -26.5 |
| 11/18 | Home | UT Martin | 165.0 | 87-73 | Under | -5.0 |
| 11/21 | Home | Georgia So | 175.5 | 98-72 | Under | -5.5 |
| 11/25 | Home | CS Bakersfield | 159.5 | 89-59 | Under | -11.5 |
| 11/28 | Neutral | Texas A&M | 175.0 | 59-95 | Under | -21.0 |
| 12/02 | Home | Georgia | 176.5 | 73-107 | Over | +3.5 |
| 12/06 | Neutral | Houston | 148.5 | 67-82 | Over | +0.5 |
| 12/13 | Neutral | UMass | 165.5 | 95-103 | Over | +32.5 |
| 12/16 | Away | Dayton | 163.0 | 69-97 | Over | +3.0 |
| 12/19 | Home | Miss Valley St | 164.5 | 96-49 | Under | -19.5 |
| 12/22 | Home | Jacksonville | 160.0 | 87-63 | Under | -10.0 |
| 12/30 | Away | North Carolina | 166.5 | 66-79 | Under | -21.5 |
| 01/03 | Home | Duke | 163.0 | 87-91 | Over | +15.0 |
| 01/10 | Home | NC State | 160.0 | 69-113 | Over | +22.0 |
| 01/13 | Away | Syracuse | 160.5 | 86-94 | Over | +19.5 |
| 01/17 | Home | Wake Forest | 168.5 | 68-69 | Under | -31.5 |
| 01/20 | Away | Miami | 163.5 | 65-63 | Under | -35.5 |
| 01/24 | Away | SMU | 164.5 | 80-83 | Under | -1.5 |
| 01/28 | Home | California | 157.5 | 63-61 | Under | -33.5 |
| 01/31 | Home | Stanford | 150.5 | 88-80 | Over | +17.5 |
| 02/07 | Away | Notre Dame | 153.0 | 82-79 | Over | +8.0 |
| 02/10 | Home | Virginia | 156.0 | 58-61 | Under | -37.0 |
| 02/14 | Away | Virginia Tech | 156.5 | 92-69 | Over | +4.5 |
| 02/17 | Home | Boston College | 148.0 | 80-72 | Over | +4.0 |
| 02/21 | Away | Clemson | 143.5 | 70-65 | Under | -8.5 |
| 02/24 | Home | Miami | 153.5 | 73-83 | Over | +2.5 |
| 02/28 | Away | Georgia Tech | 158.5 | 80-71 | Under | -7.5 |
| 03/04 | Away | Pittsburgh | 144.5 | 75-74 | Over | +4.5 |
| 03/07 | Home | SMU | 158.5 | 91-78 | Over | +10.5 |
| 03/11 | Neutral | California | 154.5 | 95-89 | Over | +29.5 |
| 03/12 | Neutral | Duke | 150.5 | 79-80 | Over | +8.5 |
Florida Detailed Over/Under Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Total | Score | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/03 | Neutral | Arizona | 163.5 | 87-93 | Over | +16.5 |
| 11/06 | Home | N Florida | 169.0 | 104-64 | Under | -1.0 |
| 11/11 | Home | Florida St | 180.5 | 78-76 | Under | -26.5 |
| 11/16 | Neutral | Miami | 171.5 | 82-68 | Under | -21.5 |
| 11/21 | Home | Merrimack | 158.5 | 80-45 | Under | -33.5 |
| 11/27 | Neutral | TCU | 155.5 | 80-84 | Over | +8.5 |
| 11/28 | Neutral | Providence | 168.5 | 90-78 | Under | -0.5 |
| 12/02 | Away | Duke | 157.5 | 66-67 | Under | -24.5 |
| 12/09 | Neutral | UConn | 145.5 | 73-77 | Over | +4.5 |
| 12/13 | Neutral | G Washington | 163.0 | 80-70 | Under | -13.0 |
| 12/17 | Home | St Francis PA | 156.5 | 102-61 | Over | +6.5 |
| 12/21 | Home | Colgate | 156.5 | 90-60 | Under | -6.5 |
| 12/29 | Home | Dartmouth | 160.5 | 94-72 | Over | +5.5 |
| 01/03 | Away | Missouri | 154.5 | 74-76 | Under | -4.5 |
| 01/06 | Home | Georgia | 173.0 | 92-77 | Under | -4.0 |
| 01/10 | Home | Tennessee | 151.5 | 91-67 | Over | +6.5 |
| 01/13 | Away | Oklahoma | 157.5 | 96-79 | Over | +17.5 |
| 01/17 | Away | Vanderbilt | 165.0 | 98-94 | Over | +27.0 |
| 01/20 | Home | LSU | 158.5 | 79-61 | Under | -18.5 |
| 01/24 | Home | Auburn | 162.5 | 67-76 | Under | -19.5 |
| 01/28 | Away | South Carolina | 152.0 | 95-48 | Under | -9.0 |
| 02/01 | Home | Alabama | 177.0 | 100-77 | Push | 0.0 |
| 02/07 | Away | Texas A&M | 167.0 | 86-67 | Under | -14.0 |
| 02/11 | Away | Georgia | 165.0 | 86-66 | Under | -13.0 |
| 02/14 | Home | Kentucky | 155.0 | 92-83 | Over | +20.0 |
| 02/17 | Home | South Carolina | 154.5 | 76-62 | Under | -16.5 |
| 02/21 | Away | Mississippi | 151.0 | 94-75 | Over | +18.0 |
| 02/25 | Away | Texas | 158.5 | 84-71 | Under | -3.5 |
| 02/28 | Home | Arkansas | 168.5 | 111-77 | Over | +19.5 |
| 03/03 | Home | Mississippi St | 161.5 | 108-74 | Over | +20.5 |
| 03/07 | Away | Kentucky | 162.5 | 84-77 | Under | -1.5 |
| 03/13 | Neutral | Kentucky | 160.5 | 71-63 | Under | -26.5 |
| 03/14 | Neutral | Vanderbilt | 161.5 | 74-91 | Over | +3.5 |
| 03/20 | Neutral | Prairie View | 152.5 | 114-55 | Over | +16.5 |
| 03/22 | Neutral | Iowa | 145.5 | 72-73 | Under | -0.5 |