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Florida St at Florida: Point Spread Analysis

Tuesday Nov 11, 2025 7:00 pm - Gainesville, FL
Odds: Florida by 18, Total Points: 180.5

Matchup Menu: FSU @ FLA

More Games From Nov 11, 2025

ATS Predictions

Pick Model Confidence
Florida -17.0 Official TR Pick Florida 53% odds to cover
Florida -17.0 Decision Tree Florida 53% odds to cover
Florida St +17.0 Power Rating Model Florida St 77% odds to cover
Florida St +17.0 Similar Games Florida St 60% odds to cover
Florida St +17.0 Predictive Ratings Florida St 61% odds to cover

ATS Situational Trends

Record FSU adv FLA
Season 19-13-1 18-17-0
vs Division 0-0-0 0-0-0
vs Conference 12-7-1 14-6-0
Streak W3 L1
Last 5 4-1-0 2-3-0
Last 10 7-3-0 6-4-0
Home 10-6-1 7-8-0
Away 9-7-0 11-9-0

Florida St Detailed ATS Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Line Result +/-
11/04 Home Alcorn St -27.0 W by 32 +5.0
11/07 Home Alabama St -25.0 W by 37 +12.0
11/11 Away Florida +18.0 L by 2 +16.0
11/18 Home UT Martin -20.0 W by 14 -6.0
11/21 Home Georgia So -18.5 W by 26 +7.5
11/25 Home CS Bakersfield -25.0 W by 30 +5.0
11/28 Neutral Texas A&M -1.5 L by 36 -37.5
12/02 Home Georgia -1.0 L by 34 -35.0
12/06 Neutral Houston +13.0 L by 15 -2.0
12/13 Neutral UMass -13.0 L by 8 -21.0
12/16 Away Dayton +7.0 L by 28 -21.0
12/19 Home Miss Valley St -39.5 W by 47 +7.5
12/22 Home Jacksonville -23.5 W by 24 +0.5
12/30 Away North Carolina +12.0 L by 13 -1.0
01/03 Home Duke +16.5 L by 4 +12.5
01/10 Home NC State +4.5 L by 44 -39.5
01/13 Away Syracuse +5.0 L by 8 -3.0
01/17 Home Wake Forest +1.0 L by 1 0.0
01/20 Away Miami +11.0 W by 2 +13.0
01/24 Away SMU +12.0 L by 3 +9.0
01/28 Home California -3.5 W by 2 -1.5
01/31 Home Stanford -3.5 W by 8 +4.5
02/07 Away Notre Dame +1.0 W by 3 +4.0
02/10 Home Virginia +8.0 L by 3 +5.0
02/14 Away Virginia Tech +5.0 W by 23 +28.0
02/17 Home Boston College -12.0 W by 8 -4.0
02/21 Away Clemson +8.5 W by 5 +13.5
02/24 Home Miami +2.5 L by 10 -7.5
02/28 Away Georgia Tech -5.5 W by 9 +3.5
03/04 Away Pittsburgh -1.5 W by 1 -0.5
03/07 Home SMU -1.5 W by 13 +11.5
03/11 Neutral California -2.5 W by 6 +3.5
03/12 Neutral Duke +16.5 L by 1 +15.5

Florida Detailed ATS Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Line Result +/-
11/03 Neutral Arizona -3.5 L by 6 -9.5
11/06 Home N Florida -43.0 W by 40 -3.0
11/11 Home Florida St -18.0 W by 2 -16.0
11/16 Neutral Miami -11.0 W by 14 +3.0
11/21 Home Merrimack -36.5 W by 35 -1.5
11/27 Neutral TCU -11.0 L by 4 -15.0
11/28 Neutral Providence -13.5 W by 12 -1.5
12/02 Away Duke +9.5 L by 1 +8.5
12/09 Neutral UConn +3.5 L by 4 -0.5
12/13 Neutral G Washington -13.5 W by 10 -3.5
12/17 Home St Francis PA -44.5 W by 41 -3.5
12/21 Home Colgate -27.5 W by 30 +2.5
12/29 Home Dartmouth -35.5 W by 22 -13.5
01/03 Away Missouri -7.5 L by 2 -9.5
01/06 Home Georgia -9.5 W by 15 +5.5
01/10 Home Tennessee -4.5 W by 24 +19.5
01/13 Away Oklahoma -7.5 W by 17 +9.5
01/17 Away Vanderbilt -1.5 W by 4 +2.5
01/20 Home LSU -15.5 W by 18 +2.5
01/24 Home Auburn -11.5 L by 9 -20.5
01/28 Away South Carolina -13.5 W by 47 +33.5
02/01 Home Alabama -9.0 W by 23 +14.0
02/07 Away Texas A&M -5.0 W by 19 +14.0
02/11 Away Georgia -9.5 W by 20 +10.5
02/14 Home Kentucky -13.0 W by 9 -4.0
02/17 Home South Carolina -23.5 W by 14 -9.5
02/21 Away Mississippi -13.5 W by 19 +5.5
02/25 Away Texas -7.5 W by 13 +5.5
02/28 Home Arkansas -9.5 W by 34 +24.5
03/03 Home Mississippi St -20.5 W by 34 +13.5
03/07 Away Kentucky -5.5 W by 7 +1.5
03/13 Neutral Kentucky -10.5 W by 8 -2.5
03/14 Neutral Vanderbilt -7.5 L by 17 -24.5
03/20 Neutral Prairie View -35.5 W by 59 +23.5
03/22 Neutral Iowa -10.5 L by 1 -11.5