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NC Wilmington at Valparaiso: Over/Under Analysis

Saturday Dec 13, 2025 3:00 pm - Valparaiso, IN
Odds: UNC Wilmington by 3, Total Points: 137

Matchup Menu: UNCW @ VALP

More Games From Dec 13, 2025

Over/Under Predictions

Pick	Model	Confidence
Over 134.5	Official TR Pick	53% odds to go over
Over 134.5	Decision Tree	53% odds to go over
Under 134.5	Similar Games	51% odds to go under

Over/Under Situational Trends

Record	UNCW	VALP
Season	18-14-0	17-15-0
vs Division	0-0-0	0-0-0
vs Conference	11-8-0	12-10-0
Streak	Ov 1	Ov 1
Last 5	3-2-0	2-3-0
Last 10	5-5-0	6-4-0
Home	8-9-0	6-10-0
Away	10-5-0	11-5-0

Records denote overs-unders-pushes

NC Wilmington Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date	H/A/N	Opponent	Total	Score	Result	+/-
11/03	Home	Mount Olive	--	106-77	Under	--
11/10	Away	Kent St	156.5	77-86	Over	+6.5
11/15	Home	SC Upstate	155.5	73-60	Under	-22.5
11/18	Home	E Carolina	145.5	85-60	Under	-0.5
11/21	Away	Radford	151.5	81-73	Over	+2.5
11/26	Home	SE Louisiana	137.5	70-57	Under	-10.5
11/28	Home	Navy	138.5	87-57	Over	+5.5
11/29	Home	Gardner-Webb	147.0	88-62	Over	+3.0
12/03	Home	Marshall	150.5	70-69	Under	-11.5
12/06	Away	Louisiana	130.5	70-63	Over	+2.5
12/13	Away	Valparaiso	137.0	73-70	Over	+6.0
12/20	Home	Howard	141.5	66-67	Under	-8.5
12/27	Home	Columbia College (SC)	--	100-56	Under	--
12/29	Away	NC A&T	146.5	87-78	Over	+18.5
12/31	Home	Drexel	138.5	65-53	Under	-20.5
01/03	Home	Hampton	140.5	49-45	Under	-46.5
01/08	Away	Northeastern	142.5	87-78	Over	+22.5
01/10	Away	Stony Brook	133.5	75-71	Over	+12.5
01/17	Home	Campbell	150.0	78-75	Over	+3.0
01/22	Away	William & Mary	157.0	70-77	Under	-10.0
01/24	Away	Hampton	137.5	75-67	Over	+4.5
01/29	Away	Towson	135.0	82-73	Over	+20.0
02/05	Home	William & Mary	157.5	78-85	Over	+5.5
02/09	Away	Charleston	149.5	76-64	Under	-9.5
02/12	Home	Elon	151.0	65-54	Under	-32.0
02/14	Home	Hofstra	138.0	70-66	Under	-2.0
02/19	Home	Monmouth	144.5	79-69	Over	+3.5
02/21	Away	Campbell	150.5	73-68	Under	-9.5
02/26	Home	NC A&T	146.5	88-65	Over	+6.5
03/01	Home	Charleston	147.5	76-79	Over	+7.5
03/03	Away	Elon	145.5	76-57	Under	-12.5
03/08	Neutral	Campbell	149.5	70-85	Over	+5.5
03/17	Away	Yale	148.5	68-67	Under	-13.5
03/21	Home	Dayton	139.5	61-80	Over	+1.5

Valparaiso Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date	H/A/N	Opponent	Total	Score	Result	+/-
11/04	Home	E Illinois	144.5	66-63	Under	-15.5
11/07	Away	Kentucky	157.0	59-107	Over	+9.0
11/12	Home	Nicholls	143.5	68-63	Under	-12.5
11/16	Home	Bryant	143.5	68-50	Under	-25.5
11/19	Away	Cleveland St	158.5	90-75	Over	+6.5
11/26	Home	S Indiana	150.5	56-64	Under	-30.5
11/29	Home	W Michigan	146.5	84-55	Under	-7.5
12/02	Away	Marquette	146.5	72-75	Over	+0.5
12/06	Home	Calumet	--	98-58	Under	--
12/13	Home	NC Wilmington	137.0	70-73	Over	+6.0
12/16	Away	Northwestern	146.0	70-86	Over	+10.0
12/21	Home	Murray St	155.0	79-85	Over	+9.0
12/29	Away	N Iowa	131.5	48-58	Under	-25.5
01/01	Away	S Illinois	146.5	70-75	Under	-1.5
01/04	Home	Illinois Chicago	144.5	66-59	Under	-19.5
01/07	Home	Illinois St	138.5	77-71	Over	+9.5
01/10	Away	Murray St	152.5	79-92	Over	+18.5
01/13	Away	Belmont	147.0	74-78	Over	+5.0
01/17	Home	N Iowa	130.5	54-44	Under	-32.5
01/21	Home	S Illinois	142.5	69-63	Under	-10.5
01/28	Home	Belmont	145.5	77-78	Over	+9.5
01/31	Away	Indiana St	145.5	76-72	Over	+2.5
02/03	Away	Bradley	144.5	65-72	Under	-7.5
02/06	Home	Evansville	136.0	70-63	Under	-3.0
02/09	Away	Drake	144.5	81-76	Over	+12.5
02/12	Away	Illinois St	138.5	64-86	Over	+11.5
02/15	Home	Indiana St	144.0	76-75	Over	+7.0
02/18	Home	Bradley	144.0	79-72	Over	+7.0
02/21	Away	Illinois Chicago	138.5	71-67	Under	-0.5
02/25	Home	Drake	146.5	74-71	Under	-1.5
02/28	Away	Evansville	138.5	79-80	Over	+20.5
03/05	Neutral	Indiana St	140.5	63-62	Under	-15.5
03/06	Neutral	Bradley	139.5	84-90	Over	+34.5