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NC Wilmington at Valparaiso: Point Spread Analysis

Saturday Dec 13, 2025 3:00 pm - Valparaiso, IN
Odds: UNC Wilmington by 3, Total Points: 137

Matchup Menu: UNCW @ VALP

More Games From Dec 13, 2025

ATS Predictions

Pick Model Confidence
NC Wilmington -4.5 Official TR Pick NC Wilmington 51% odds to cover
NC Wilmington -4.5 Decision Tree NC Wilmington 52% odds to cover
Valparaiso +4.5 Power Rating Model Valparaiso 55% odds to cover
Valparaiso +4.5 Similar Games Valparaiso 62% odds to cover
Valparaiso +4.5 Predictive Ratings Valparaiso 50% odds to cover

ATS Situational Trends

Record UNCW adv VALP
Season 16-14-2 18-13-1
vs Division 0-0-0 0-0-0
vs Conference 10-8-1 13-9-0
Streak L1 L3
Last 5 2-3-0 2-3-0
Last 10 7-3-0 4-6-0
Home 8-8-1 10-5-1
Away 8-6-1 8-8-0

NC Wilmington Detailed ATS Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Line Result +/-
11/03 Home Mount Olive -- W by 29 --
11/10 Away Kent St +3.0 L by 9 -6.0
11/15 Home SC Upstate -15.0 W by 13 -2.0
11/18 Home E Carolina -6.5 W by 25 +18.5
11/21 Away Radford -4.5 W by 8 +3.5
11/26 Home SE Louisiana -11.5 W by 13 +1.5
11/28 Home Navy -8.5 W by 30 +21.5
11/29 Home Gardner-Webb -19.0 W by 26 +7.0
12/03 Home Marshall -8.5 W by 1 -7.5
12/06 Away Louisiana -12.5 W by 7 -5.5
12/13 Away Valparaiso -3.0 W by 3 0.0
12/20 Home Howard -16.0 L by 1 -17.0
12/27 Home Columbia College (SC) -- W by 44 --
12/29 Away NC A&T -10.5 W by 9 -1.5
12/31 Home Drexel -12.0 W by 12 0.0
01/03 Home Hampton -13.0 W by 4 -9.0
01/08 Away Northeastern -4.5 W by 9 +4.5
01/10 Away Stony Brook -7.0 W by 4 -3.0
01/17 Home Campbell -6.0 W by 3 -3.0
01/22 Away William & Mary +2.5 L by 7 -4.5
01/24 Away Hampton -3.0 W by 8 +5.0
01/29 Away Towson +1.0 W by 9 +10.0
02/05 Home William & Mary -4.5 L by 7 -11.5
02/09 Away Charleston +1.0 W by 12 +13.0
02/12 Home Elon -8.5 W by 11 +2.5
02/14 Home Hofstra -2.5 W by 4 +1.5
02/19 Home Monmouth -8.0 W by 10 +2.0
02/21 Away Campbell -2.5 W by 5 +2.5
02/26 Home NC A&T -13.5 W by 23 +9.5
03/01 Home Charleston -5.5 L by 3 -8.5
03/03 Away Elon -4.5 W by 19 +14.5
03/08 Neutral Campbell -6.5 L by 15 -21.5
03/17 Away Yale +4.5 W by 1 +5.5
03/21 Home Dayton +3.5 L by 19 -15.5

Valparaiso Detailed ATS Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Line Result +/-
11/04 Home E Illinois -6.0 W by 3 -3.0
11/07 Away Kentucky +32.0 L by 48 -16.0
11/12 Home Nicholls -2.5 W by 5 +2.5
11/16 Home Bryant -6.5 W by 18 +11.5
11/19 Away Cleveland St +2.5 W by 15 +17.5
11/26 Home S Indiana -9.5 L by 8 -17.5
11/29 Home W Michigan -5.0 W by 29 +24.0
12/02 Away Marquette +17.5 L by 3 +14.5
12/06 Home Calumet -- W by 40 --
12/13 Home NC Wilmington +3.0 L by 3 0.0
12/16 Away Northwestern +14.5 L by 16 -1.5
12/21 Home Murray St +5.0 L by 6 -1.0
12/29 Away N Iowa +8.5 L by 10 -1.5
01/01 Away S Illinois +7.5 L by 5 +2.5
01/04 Home Illinois Chicago -2.5 W by 7 +4.5
01/07 Home Illinois St +6.5 W by 6 +12.5
01/10 Away Murray St +12.5 L by 13 -0.5
01/13 Away Belmont +11.5 L by 4 +7.5
01/17 Home N Iowa +2.0 W by 10 +12.0
01/21 Home S Illinois -2.5 W by 6 +3.5
01/28 Home Belmont +5.5 L by 1 +4.5
01/31 Away Indiana St +2.0 W by 4 +6.0
02/03 Away Bradley +7.5 L by 7 +0.5
02/06 Home Evansville -9.0 W by 7 -2.0
02/09 Away Drake +4.0 W by 5 +9.0
02/12 Away Illinois St +9.0 L by 22 -13.0
02/15 Home Indiana St -4.5 W by 1 -3.5
02/18 Home Bradley +2.5 W by 7 +9.5
02/21 Away Illinois Chicago +7.5 W by 4 +11.5
02/25 Home Drake -2.5 W by 3 +0.5
02/28 Away Evansville -5.5 L by 1 -6.5
03/05 Neutral Indiana St -2.5 W by 1 -1.5
03/06 Neutral Bradley +5.5 L by 6 -0.5