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Toledo at Oakland: Point Spread Analysis

Saturday Dec 6, 2025 3:00 pm - Rochester, MI
Odds: Oakland by 4, Total Points: 166.5

Matchup Menu: TOL @ OAK

More Games From Dec 6, 2025

ATS Predictions

Pick Model Confidence
Oakland -4.0 Official TR Pick Oakland 51% odds to cover
Oakland -4.0 Power Rating Model Oakland 64% odds to cover
Oakland -4.0 Decision Tree Oakland 51% odds to cover
Oakland -4.0 Predictive Ratings Oakland 53% odds to cover
Toledo +4.0 Similar Games Toledo 60% odds to cover

ATS Situational Trends

Record TOL adv OAK
Season 18-13-1 17-14-0
vs Division 0-0-0 0-0-0
vs Conference 14-7-0 12-9-0
Streak W2 L2
Last 5 4-1-0 2-3-0
Last 10 7-3-0 4-6-0
Home 6-7-0 5-7-0
Away 12-6-1 12-7-0

Toledo Detailed ATS Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Line Result +/-
11/03 Home S Alabama -3.0 L by 2 -5.0
11/08 Home Marshall -2.5 L by 12 -14.5
11/11 Away Wright St +5.5 W by 10 +15.5
11/15 Home Detroit Mercy -10.0 W by 7 -3.0
11/19 Home Youngstown St -1.0 W by 17 +16.0
11/24 Neutral Troy +2.5 W by 7 +9.5
11/26 Neutral Belmont +4.5 L by 15 -10.5
12/01 Home Central State (OH) -- W by 44 --
12/06 Away Oakland +4.0 L by 1 +3.0
12/13 Away Robert Morris (Pick) L by 5 -5.0
12/16 Away Michigan St +23.0 L by 23 0.0
12/20 Home Lourdes -- W by 33 --
12/30 Home W Michigan -10.5 W by 5 -5.5
01/03 Away C Michigan -7.5 W by 3 -4.5
01/06 Away N Illinois -8.0 W by 14 +6.0
01/09 Home Miami OH -1.0 L by 14 -15.0
01/13 Home Ohio -2.0 W by 16 +14.0
01/16 Away Kent St +5.5 L by 3 +2.5
01/20 Away UMass +2.5 L by 2 +0.5
01/24 Home Bowling Green +1.5 W by 1 +2.5
01/27 Away Akron +12.5 L by 10 +2.5
01/31 Home Ball St -8.5 W by 18 +9.5
02/03 Home Kent St (Pick) L by 3 -3.0
02/07 Away J Madison -1.0 L by 2 -3.0
02/11 Away W Michigan -6.0 W by 11 +5.0
02/14 Away Bowling Green +4.0 L by 10 -6.0
02/21 Home E Michigan -8.5 W by 19 +10.5
02/24 Home N Illinois -12.5 W by 10 -2.5
02/28 Away Ohio +1.5 W by 12 +13.5
03/03 Away Miami OH +7.5 L by 2 +5.5
03/06 Home Buffalo -5.5 W by 20 +14.5
03/12 Neutral Bowling Green -1.5 W by 1 -0.5
03/13 Neutral UMass -2.5 W by 10 +7.5
03/14 Neutral Akron +7.5 L by 3 +4.5

Oakland Detailed ATS Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Line Result +/-
11/03 Away Michigan +24.5 L by 43 -18.5
11/07 Away Purdue +32.0 L by 10 +22.0
11/12 Away Houston +30.5 L by 33 -2.5
11/15 Home Defiance -- W by 66 --
11/17 Away UCF +13.5 L by 4 +9.5
11/21 Away E Michigan +1.0 L by 6 -5.0
11/24 Neutral Lamar -4.0 W by 15 +11.0
11/25 Away Montana +4.5 W by 8 +12.5
12/03 Home Purdue FW -5.5 W by 9 +3.5
12/06 Home Toledo -4.0 W by 1 -3.0
12/13 Away N Iowa +8.5 L by 12 -3.5
12/17 Away N Kentucky +4.0 W by 5 +9.0
12/20 Neutral Michigan St +20.0 L by 9 +11.0
12/29 Away Wright St +3.5 L by 15 -11.5
01/01 Away Youngstown St +1.5 W by 2 +3.5
01/04 Home Robert Morris -2.0 W by 23 +21.0
01/09 Home Cleveland St -15.5 W by 23 +7.5
01/11 Home Wright St -5.0 L by 10 -15.0
01/15 Away Milwaukee -2.5 W by 13 +10.5
01/18 Away Green Bay -4.0 W by 25 +21.0
01/21 Home IU Indy -15.0 L by 18 -33.0
01/24 Away Detroit Mercy -6.5 W by 8 +1.5
01/28 Away Purdue FW -1.5 W by 9 +7.5
02/01 Home N Kentucky -3.5 W by 11 +7.5
02/04 Away Cleveland St -8.0 L by 13 -21.0
02/12 Home Youngstown St -4.5 L by 4 -8.5
02/15 Away Robert Morris +2.0 L by 24 -22.0
02/20 Home Green Bay -7.0 L by 5 -12.0
02/22 Home Milwaukee -5.5 W by 11 +5.5
02/25 Away IU Indy -5.5 W by 12 +6.5
02/28 Home Detroit Mercy -8.5 L by 6 -14.5
03/04 Home N Kentucky -1.5 L by 1 -2.5