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Toledo at Oakland: Over/Under Analysis

Saturday Dec 6, 2025 3:00 pm - Rochester, MI
Odds: Oakland by 4, Total Points: 166.5

Matchup Menu: TOL @ OAK

More Games From Dec 6, 2025

Over/Under Predictions

Pick	Model	Confidence
Under 164.5	Official TR Pick	50% odds to go under
Under 164.5	Decision Tree	50% odds to go under
Over 164.5	Similar Games	51% odds to go over

Over/Under Situational Trends

Record	TOL	OAK
Season	13-19-0	19-12-0
vs Division	0-0-0	0-0-0
vs Conference	9-12-0	12-9-0
Streak	Un 2	Ov 2
Last 5	2-3-0	2-3-0
Last 10	4-6-0	4-6-0
Home	6-7-0	9-3-0
Away	7-12-0	10-9-0

Records denote overs-unders-pushes

Toledo Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date	H/A/N	Opponent	Total	Score	Result	+/-
11/03	Home	S Alabama	151.0	74-76	Under	-1.0
11/08	Home	Marshall	161.0	73-85	Under	-3.0
11/11	Away	Wright St	159.0	81-71	Under	-7.0
11/15	Home	Detroit Mercy	158.5	90-83	Over	+14.5
11/19	Home	Youngstown St	160.5	92-75	Over	+6.5
11/24	Neutral	Troy	160.5	75-68	Under	-17.5
11/26	Neutral	Belmont	163.5	72-87	Under	-4.5
12/01	Home	Central State (OH)	--	102-58	Under	--
12/06	Away	Oakland	166.5	97-98	Over	+28.5
12/13	Away	Robert Morris	154.5	70-75	Under	-9.5
12/16	Away	Michigan St	150.5	69-92	Over	+10.5
12/20	Home	Lourdes	--	100-67	Under	--
12/30	Home	W Michigan	160.0	84-79	Over	+3.0
01/03	Away	C Michigan	158.0	78-75	Under	-5.0
01/06	Away	N Illinois	160.0	75-61	Under	-24.0
01/09	Home	Miami OH	166.0	73-87	Under	-6.0
01/13	Home	Ohio	161.5	101-85	Over	+24.5
01/16	Away	Kent St	168.0	84-87	Over	+3.0
01/20	Away	UMass	163.5	82-84	Over	+2.5
01/24	Home	Bowling Green	156.5	73-72	Under	-11.5
01/27	Away	Akron	169.5	81-91	Over	+2.5
01/31	Home	Ball St	146.5	73-55	Under	-18.5
02/03	Home	Kent St	161.5	72-75	Under	-14.5
02/07	Away	J Madison	153.0	71-73	Under	-9.0
02/11	Away	W Michigan	155.0	90-79	Over	+14.0
02/14	Away	Bowling Green	151.0	70-80	Under	-1.0
02/21	Home	E Michigan	146.5	94-75	Over	+22.5
02/24	Home	N Illinois	149.5	79-69	Under	-1.5
02/28	Away	Ohio	158.5	79-67	Under	-12.5
03/03	Away	Miami OH	162.5	72-74	Under	-16.5
03/06	Home	Buffalo	155.5	98-78	Over	+20.5
03/12	Neutral	Bowling Green	150.5	77-76	Over	+2.5
03/13	Neutral	UMass	158.5	77-67	Under	-14.5
03/14	Neutral	Akron	157.5	76-79	Under	-2.5

Oakland Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date	H/A/N	Opponent	Total	Score	Result	+/-
11/03	Away	Michigan	156.5	78-121	Over	+42.5
11/07	Away	Purdue	160.0	77-87	Over	+4.0
11/12	Away	Houston	138.5	45-78	Under	-15.5
11/15	Home	Defiance	--	113-47	Under	--
11/17	Away	UCF	162.5	83-87	Over	+7.5
11/21	Away	E Michigan	153.5	91-97	Over	+34.5
11/24	Neutral	Lamar	150.5	83-68	Over	+0.5
11/25	Away	Montana	162.5	95-87	Over	+19.5
12/03	Home	Purdue FW	162.5	101-92	Over	+30.5
12/06	Home	Toledo	166.5	98-97	Over	+28.5
12/13	Away	N Iowa	149.5	63-75	Under	-11.5
12/17	Away	N Kentucky	163.5	82-77	Under	-4.5
12/20	Neutral	Michigan St	154.5	70-79	Under	-5.5
12/29	Away	Wright St	159.5	73-88	Over	+1.5
01/01	Away	Youngstown St	157.0	85-83	Over	+11.0
01/04	Home	Robert Morris	161.5	96-73	Over	+7.5
01/09	Home	Cleveland St	169.5	97-74	Over	+1.5
01/11	Home	Wright St	161.5	84-94	Over	+16.5
01/15	Away	Milwaukee	167.0	73-60	Under	-34.0
01/18	Away	Green Bay	154.0	88-63	Under	-3.0
01/21	Home	IU Indy	176.5	85-103	Over	+11.5
01/24	Away	Detroit Mercy	167.0	95-87	Over	+15.0
01/28	Away	Purdue FW	164.5	74-65	Under	-25.5
02/01	Home	N Kentucky	166.5	76-65	Under	-25.5
02/04	Away	Cleveland St	170.0	78-91	Under	-1.0
02/12	Home	Youngstown St	156.0	82-86	Over	+12.0
02/15	Away	Robert Morris	156.0	69-93	Over	+6.0
02/20	Home	Green Bay	154.5	68-73	Under	-13.5
02/22	Home	Milwaukee	160.5	81-70	Under	-9.5
02/25	Away	IU Indy	168.5	86-74	Under	-8.5
02/28	Home	Detroit Mercy	160.5	89-95	Over	+23.5
03/04	Home	N Kentucky	162.5	84-85	Over	+6.5