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Miami OH at Toledo: Over/Under Analysis

Friday Jan 9, 2026 6:00 pm - Toledo, OH
Odds: Toledo by 1, Total Points: 166

Matchup Menu: M-OH @ TOL

More Games From Jan 9, 2026

Over/Under Predictions

Pick	Model	Confidence
Under 165.0	Official TR Pick	55% odds to go under
Under 165.0	Similar Games	52% odds to go under
Under 165.0	Decision Tree	55% odds to go under

Over/Under Situational Trends

Record	M-OH	TOL
Season	20-11-0	13-19-0
vs Division	0-0-0	0-0-0
vs Conference	11-8-0	9-12-0
Streak	Un 1	Un 2
Last 5	3-2-0	2-3-0
Last 10	5-5-0	4-6-0
Home	10-3-0	6-7-0
Away	10-8-0	7-12-0

Records denote overs-unders-pushes

Miami OH Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date	H/A/N	Opponent	Total	Score	Result	+/-
11/03	Home	Old Dominion	151.0	87-72	Over	+8.0
11/07	Home	Trinity Christian	--	129-49	Under	--
11/15	Away	Air Force	143.5	76-61	Under	-6.5
11/20	Home	Mercyhurst	139.0	76-71	Over	+8.0
11/23	Home	AR-Pine Bluff	160.0	111-84	Over	+35.0
11/26	Neutral	NC Greensboro	150.5	82-71	Over	+2.5
12/02	Home	Indiana East	--	109-65	Under	--
12/06	Home	Maine	140.0	93-61	Over	+14.0
12/10	Away	NC Asheville	152.5	90-87	Over	+24.5
12/13	Away	E Kentucky	159.0	79-69	Under	-11.0
12/16	Away	Wright St	149.5	83-76	Over	+9.5
12/20	Away	Ball St	148.0	86-77	Over	+15.0
12/22	Home	Milligan	--	135-81	Under	--
12/30	Away	Bowling Green	150.5	93-83	Over	+25.5
01/03	Home	Akron	177.0	76-73	Under	-28.0
01/06	Home	W Michigan	160.0	87-76	Over	+3.0
01/09	Away	Toledo	166.0	87-73	Under	-6.0
01/13	Home	C Michigan	159.5	100-61	Over	+1.5
01/17	Home	Buffalo	162.5	105-102	Over	+44.5
01/20	Away	Kent St	167.5	107-101	Over	+40.5
01/27	Home	UMass	164.5	86-84	Over	+5.5
01/31	Home	N Illinois	156.5	85-61	Under	-10.5
02/03	Away	Buffalo	164.5	73-71	Under	-20.5
02/07	Away	Marshall	163.5	90-74	Over	+0.5
02/13	Home	Ohio	163.5	90-74	Over	+0.5
02/17	Away	UMass	164.0	86-77	Under	-1.0
02/20	Home	Bowling Green	154.0	91-77	Over	+14.0
02/24	Away	E Michigan	151.5	74-64	Under	-13.5
02/27	Away	W Michigan	161.5	69-67	Under	-25.5
03/03	Home	Toledo	162.5	74-72	Under	-16.5
03/06	Away	Ohio	159.5	110-108	Over	+58.5
03/12	Neutral	UMass	160.5	83-87	Over	+9.5
03/18	Neutral	SMU	161.5	89-79	Over	+6.5
03/20	Neutral	Tennessee	148.5	56-78	Under	-14.5

Toledo Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date	H/A/N	Opponent	Total	Score	Result	+/-
11/03	Home	S Alabama	151.0	74-76	Under	-1.0
11/08	Home	Marshall	161.0	73-85	Under	-3.0
11/11	Away	Wright St	159.0	81-71	Under	-7.0
11/15	Home	Detroit Mercy	158.5	90-83	Over	+14.5
11/19	Home	Youngstown St	160.5	92-75	Over	+6.5
11/24	Neutral	Troy	160.5	75-68	Under	-17.5
11/26	Neutral	Belmont	163.5	72-87	Under	-4.5
12/01	Home	Central State (OH)	--	102-58	Under	--
12/06	Away	Oakland	166.5	97-98	Over	+28.5
12/13	Away	Robert Morris	154.5	70-75	Under	-9.5
12/16	Away	Michigan St	150.5	69-92	Over	+10.5
12/20	Home	Lourdes	--	100-67	Under	--
12/30	Home	W Michigan	160.0	84-79	Over	+3.0
01/03	Away	C Michigan	158.0	78-75	Under	-5.0
01/06	Away	N Illinois	160.0	75-61	Under	-24.0
01/09	Home	Miami OH	166.0	73-87	Under	-6.0
01/13	Home	Ohio	161.5	101-85	Over	+24.5
01/16	Away	Kent St	168.0	84-87	Over	+3.0
01/20	Away	UMass	163.5	82-84	Over	+2.5
01/24	Home	Bowling Green	156.5	73-72	Under	-11.5
01/27	Away	Akron	169.5	81-91	Over	+2.5
01/31	Home	Ball St	146.5	73-55	Under	-18.5
02/03	Home	Kent St	161.5	72-75	Under	-14.5
02/07	Away	J Madison	153.0	71-73	Under	-9.0
02/11	Away	W Michigan	155.0	90-79	Over	+14.0
02/14	Away	Bowling Green	151.0	70-80	Under	-1.0
02/21	Home	E Michigan	146.5	94-75	Over	+22.5
02/24	Home	N Illinois	149.5	79-69	Under	-1.5
02/28	Away	Ohio	158.5	79-67	Under	-12.5
03/03	Away	Miami OH	162.5	72-74	Under	-16.5
03/06	Home	Buffalo	155.5	98-78	Over	+20.5
03/12	Neutral	Bowling Green	150.5	77-76	Over	+2.5
03/13	Neutral	UMass	158.5	77-67	Under	-14.5
03/14	Neutral	Akron	157.5	76-79	Under	-2.5