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Miami OH at Toledo: Point Spread Analysis

Friday Jan 9, 2026 6:00 pm - Toledo, OH
Odds: Toledo by 1, Total Points: 166

Matchup Menu: M-OH @ TOL

More Games From Jan 9, 2026

ATS Predictions

Pick Model Confidence
Toledo -1.0 Official TR Pick Toledo 51% odds to cover
Toledo -1.0 Similar Games Toledo 55% odds to cover
Toledo -1.0 Decision Tree Toledo 51% odds to cover
Miami OH +1.0 Power Rating Model Miami OH 72% odds to cover
Miami OH +1.0 Predictive Ratings Miami OH 62% odds to cover

ATS Situational Trends

Record M-OH adv TOL
Season 20-10-0 18-13-1
vs Division 0-0-0 0-0-0
vs Conference 11-7-0 14-7-0
Streak L1 W2
Last 5 1-3-0 4-1-0
Last 10 5-4-0 7-3-0
Home 8-5-0 6-7-0
Away 12-5-0 12-6-1

Miami OH Detailed ATS Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Line Result +/-
11/03 Home Old Dominion -7.5 W by 15 +7.5
11/07 Home Trinity Christian -- W by 80 --
11/15 Away Air Force -10.5 W by 15 +4.5
11/20 Home Mercyhurst -15.5 W by 5 -10.5
11/23 Home AR-Pine Bluff -23.0 W by 27 +4.0
11/26 Neutral NC Greensboro -10.5 W by 11 +0.5
12/02 Home Indiana East -- W by 44 --
12/06 Home Maine -18.0 W by 32 +14.0
12/10 Away NC Asheville -6.5 W by 3 -3.5
12/13 Away E Kentucky -5.5 W by 10 +4.5
12/16 Away Wright St -1.5 W by 7 +5.5
12/20 Away Ball St -7.5 W by 9 +1.5
12/22 Home Milligan -- W by 54 --
12/30 Away Bowling Green +6.5 W by 10 +16.5
01/03 Home Akron +4.5 W by 3 +7.5
01/06 Home W Michigan -14.5 W by 11 -3.5
01/09 Away Toledo +1.0 W by 14 +15.0
01/13 Home C Michigan -15.5 W by 39 +23.5
01/17 Home Buffalo -10.5 W by 3 -7.5
01/20 Away Kent St +1.5 W by 6 +7.5
01/27 Home UMass -9.5 W by 2 -7.5
01/31 Home N Illinois -16.5 W by 24 +7.5
02/03 Away Buffalo -4.5 W by 2 -2.5
02/07 Away Marshall -1.5 W by 16 +14.5
02/13 Home Ohio -8.0 W by 16 +8.0
02/17 Away UMass -3.5 W by 9 +5.5
02/20 Home Bowling Green -7.5 W by 14 +6.5
02/24 Away E Michigan -8.5 W by 10 +1.5
02/27 Away W Michigan -11.5 W by 2 -9.5
03/03 Home Toledo -7.5 W by 2 -5.5
03/06 Away Ohio -4.5 W by 2 -2.5
03/12 Neutral UMass -6.5 L by 4 -10.5
03/18 Neutral SMU +7.5 W by 10 +17.5
03/20 Neutral Tennessee +12.5 L by 22 -9.5

Toledo Detailed ATS Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Line Result +/-
11/03 Home S Alabama -3.0 L by 2 -5.0
11/08 Home Marshall -2.5 L by 12 -14.5
11/11 Away Wright St +5.5 W by 10 +15.5
11/15 Home Detroit Mercy -10.0 W by 7 -3.0
11/19 Home Youngstown St -1.0 W by 17 +16.0
11/24 Neutral Troy +2.5 W by 7 +9.5
11/26 Neutral Belmont +4.5 L by 15 -10.5
12/01 Home Central State (OH) -- W by 44 --
12/06 Away Oakland +4.0 L by 1 +3.0
12/13 Away Robert Morris (Pick) L by 5 -5.0
12/16 Away Michigan St +23.0 L by 23 0.0
12/20 Home Lourdes -- W by 33 --
12/30 Home W Michigan -10.5 W by 5 -5.5
01/03 Away C Michigan -7.5 W by 3 -4.5
01/06 Away N Illinois -8.0 W by 14 +6.0
01/09 Home Miami OH -1.0 L by 14 -15.0
01/13 Home Ohio -2.0 W by 16 +14.0
01/16 Away Kent St +5.5 L by 3 +2.5
01/20 Away UMass +2.5 L by 2 +0.5
01/24 Home Bowling Green +1.5 W by 1 +2.5
01/27 Away Akron +12.5 L by 10 +2.5
01/31 Home Ball St -8.5 W by 18 +9.5
02/03 Home Kent St (Pick) L by 3 -3.0
02/07 Away J Madison -1.0 L by 2 -3.0
02/11 Away W Michigan -6.0 W by 11 +5.0
02/14 Away Bowling Green +4.0 L by 10 -6.0
02/21 Home E Michigan -8.5 W by 19 +10.5
02/24 Home N Illinois -12.5 W by 10 -2.5
02/28 Away Ohio +1.5 W by 12 +13.5
03/03 Away Miami OH +7.5 L by 2 +5.5
03/06 Home Buffalo -5.5 W by 20 +14.5
03/12 Neutral Bowling Green -1.5 W by 1 -0.5
03/13 Neutral UMass -2.5 W by 10 +7.5
03/14 Neutral Akron +7.5 L by 3 +4.5