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Illinois St at Valparaiso: Over/Under Analysis

Wednesday Jan 7, 2026 8:00 pm - Valparaiso, IN
Odds: Illinois State by 6.5, Total Points: 138.5

Matchup Menu: ILST @ VALP

More Games From Jan 7, 2026

Over/Under Predictions

Pick	Model	Confidence
Over 138.5	Official TR Pick	51% odds to go over
Over 138.5	Similar Games	55% odds to go over
Over 138.5	Decision Tree	51% odds to go over

Over/Under Situational Trends

Record	ILST	VALP
Season	15-20-0	17-15-0
vs Division	0-0-0	0-0-0
vs Conference	8-13-0	12-10-0
Streak	Ov 1	Ov 1
Last 5	2-3-0	2-3-0
Last 10	4-6-0	6-4-0
Home	6-9-0	6-10-0
Away	9-11-0	11-5-0

Records denote overs-unders-pushes

Illinois St Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date	H/A/N	Opponent	Total	Score	Result	+/-
11/06	Away	Ohio	161.0	68-72	Under	-21.0
11/09	Home	Cornell	166.0	76-65	Under	-25.0
11/14	Neutral	USC	154.5	67-87	Under	-0.5
11/16	Away	Long Beach St	142.5	82-80	Over	+19.5
11/20	Home	Rockford	--	93-48	Under	--
11/23	Home	Coastal Car	143.0	94-42	Under	-7.0
11/27	Neutral	Charlotte	140.0	79-69	Over	+8.0
11/28	Neutral	Furman	145.5	72-65	Under	-8.5
12/03	Home	E Kentucky	154.5	89-78	Over	+12.5
12/06	Home	Chicago St	145.0	95-53	Over	+3.0
12/13	Neutral	Utah St	148.0	78-83	Over	+13.0
12/18	Away	S Illinois	153.5	75-68	Under	-10.5
12/21	Home	Indiana St	152.5	85-65	Under	-2.5
12/29	Away	Drake	145.5	73-56	Under	-16.5
01/01	Home	Evansville	144.0	73-47	Under	-24.0
01/07	Away	Valparaiso	138.5	71-77	Over	+9.5
01/10	Home	Illinois Chicago	141.0	59-63	Under	-19.0
01/14	Away	Indiana St	149.0	89-94	Over	+34.0
01/17	Home	Bradley	147.5	88-62	Over	+2.5
01/21	Home	N Iowa	132.0	59-54	Under	-19.0
01/24	Away	Belmont	150.5	69-80	Under	-1.5
01/28	Away	Murray St	158.5	70-65	Under	-23.5
02/03	Home	S Illinois	141.5	50-54	Under	-37.5
02/06	Home	Drake	145.5	86-76	Over	+16.5
02/09	Away	Evansville	138.0	80-88	Over	+30.0
02/12	Home	Valparaiso	138.5	86-64	Over	+11.5
02/15	Away	Illinois Chicago	140.0	56-83	Under	-1.0
02/18	Home	Murray St	158.0	78-61	Under	-19.0
02/21	Away	Bradley	144.5	60-74	Under	-10.5
02/25	Away	N Iowa	132.5	71-69	Over	+7.5
03/01	Home	Belmont	150.5	81-74	Over	+4.5
03/06	Neutral	N Iowa	130.5	52-74	Under	-4.5
03/18	Home	Kent St	153.5	79-58	Under	-16.5
03/22	Away	Wake Forest	152.5	78-75	Over	+0.5
03/25	Away	Dayton	140.5	61-55	Under	-24.5
04/02	Neutral	Auburn	149.5	66-88	Over	+4.5

Valparaiso Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date	H/A/N	Opponent	Total	Score	Result	+/-
11/04	Home	E Illinois	144.5	66-63	Under	-15.5
11/07	Away	Kentucky	157.0	59-107	Over	+9.0
11/12	Home	Nicholls	143.5	68-63	Under	-12.5
11/16	Home	Bryant	143.5	68-50	Under	-25.5
11/19	Away	Cleveland St	158.5	90-75	Over	+6.5
11/26	Home	S Indiana	150.5	56-64	Under	-30.5
11/29	Home	W Michigan	146.5	84-55	Under	-7.5
12/02	Away	Marquette	146.5	72-75	Over	+0.5
12/06	Home	Calumet	--	98-58	Under	--
12/13	Home	NC Wilmington	137.0	70-73	Over	+6.0
12/16	Away	Northwestern	146.0	70-86	Over	+10.0
12/21	Home	Murray St	155.0	79-85	Over	+9.0
12/29	Away	N Iowa	131.5	48-58	Under	-25.5
01/01	Away	S Illinois	146.5	70-75	Under	-1.5
01/04	Home	Illinois Chicago	144.5	66-59	Under	-19.5
01/07	Home	Illinois St	138.5	77-71	Over	+9.5
01/10	Away	Murray St	152.5	79-92	Over	+18.5
01/13	Away	Belmont	147.0	74-78	Over	+5.0
01/17	Home	N Iowa	130.5	54-44	Under	-32.5
01/21	Home	S Illinois	142.5	69-63	Under	-10.5
01/28	Home	Belmont	145.5	77-78	Over	+9.5
01/31	Away	Indiana St	145.5	76-72	Over	+2.5
02/03	Away	Bradley	144.5	65-72	Under	-7.5
02/06	Home	Evansville	136.0	70-63	Under	-3.0
02/09	Away	Drake	144.5	81-76	Over	+12.5
02/12	Away	Illinois St	138.5	64-86	Over	+11.5
02/15	Home	Indiana St	144.0	76-75	Over	+7.0
02/18	Home	Bradley	144.0	79-72	Over	+7.0
02/21	Away	Illinois Chicago	138.5	71-67	Under	-0.5
02/25	Home	Drake	146.5	74-71	Under	-1.5
02/28	Away	Evansville	138.5	79-80	Over	+20.5
03/05	Neutral	Indiana St	140.5	63-62	Under	-15.5
03/06	Neutral	Bradley	139.5	84-90	Over	+34.5