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Illinois St at Valparaiso: Point Spread Analysis

Wednesday Jan 7, 2026 8:00 pm - Valparaiso, IN
Odds: Illinois State by 6.5, Total Points: 138.5

Matchup Menu: ILST @ VALP

More Games From Jan 7, 2026

ATS Predictions

Pick Model Confidence
Illinois St -7.0 Official TR Pick Illinois St 52% odds to cover
Illinois St -7.0 Decision Tree Illinois St 52% odds to cover
Illinois St -7.0 Predictive Ratings Illinois St 52% odds to cover
Valparaiso +7.0 Power Rating Model Valparaiso 52% odds to cover
Valparaiso +7.0 Similar Games Valparaiso 50% odds to cover

ATS Situational Trends

Record ILST adv VALP
Season 20-15-0 18-13-1
vs Division 0-0-0 0-0-0
vs Conference 11-10-0 13-9-0
Streak L1 L3
Last 5 3-2-0 2-3-0
Last 10 6-4-0 4-6-0
Home 11-4-0 10-5-1
Away 9-11-0 8-8-0

Illinois St Detailed ATS Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Line Result +/-
11/06 Away Ohio +1.0 L by 4 -3.0
11/09 Home Cornell -7.5 W by 11 +3.5
11/14 Neutral USC +15.5 L by 20 -4.5
11/16 Away Long Beach St -8.5 W by 2 -6.5
11/20 Home Rockford -- W by 45 --
11/23 Home Coastal Car -10.0 W by 52 +42.0
11/27 Neutral Charlotte -5.5 W by 10 +4.5
11/28 Neutral Furman -3.0 W by 7 +4.0
12/03 Home E Kentucky -13.5 W by 11 -2.5
12/06 Home Chicago St -20.5 W by 42 +21.5
12/13 Neutral Utah St +8.5 L by 5 +3.5
12/18 Away S Illinois +1.5 W by 7 +8.5
12/21 Home Indiana St -13.0 W by 20 +7.0
12/29 Away Drake -4.5 W by 17 +12.5
01/01 Home Evansville -12.0 W by 26 +14.0
01/07 Away Valparaiso -6.5 L by 6 -12.5
01/10 Home Illinois Chicago -10.5 L by 4 -14.5
01/14 Away Indiana St -6.5 L by 5 -11.5
01/17 Home Bradley -5.5 W by 26 +20.5
01/21 Home N Iowa -6.5 W by 5 -1.5
01/24 Away Belmont +5.5 L by 11 -5.5
01/28 Away Murray St +2.5 W by 5 +7.5
02/03 Home S Illinois -8.5 L by 4 -12.5
02/06 Home Drake -9.0 W by 10 +1.0
02/09 Away Evansville -10.5 L by 8 -18.5
02/12 Home Valparaiso -9.0 W by 22 +13.0
02/15 Away Illinois Chicago (Pick) L by 27 -27.0
02/18 Home Murray St -2.0 W by 17 +15.0
02/21 Away Bradley +3.5 L by 14 -10.5
02/25 Away N Iowa +4.5 W by 2 +6.5
03/01 Home Belmont +1.5 W by 7 +8.5
03/06 Neutral N Iowa +1.5 L by 22 -20.5
03/18 Home Kent St -4.5 W by 21 +16.5
03/22 Away Wake Forest +8.5 W by 3 +11.5
03/25 Away Dayton +7.5 W by 6 +13.5
04/02 Neutral Auburn +8.5 L by 22 -13.5

Valparaiso Detailed ATS Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Line Result +/-
11/04 Home E Illinois -6.0 W by 3 -3.0
11/07 Away Kentucky +32.0 L by 48 -16.0
11/12 Home Nicholls -2.5 W by 5 +2.5
11/16 Home Bryant -6.5 W by 18 +11.5
11/19 Away Cleveland St +2.5 W by 15 +17.5
11/26 Home S Indiana -9.5 L by 8 -17.5
11/29 Home W Michigan -5.0 W by 29 +24.0
12/02 Away Marquette +17.5 L by 3 +14.5
12/06 Home Calumet -- W by 40 --
12/13 Home NC Wilmington +3.0 L by 3 0.0
12/16 Away Northwestern +14.5 L by 16 -1.5
12/21 Home Murray St +5.0 L by 6 -1.0
12/29 Away N Iowa +8.5 L by 10 -1.5
01/01 Away S Illinois +7.5 L by 5 +2.5
01/04 Home Illinois Chicago -2.5 W by 7 +4.5
01/07 Home Illinois St +6.5 W by 6 +12.5
01/10 Away Murray St +12.5 L by 13 -0.5
01/13 Away Belmont +11.5 L by 4 +7.5
01/17 Home N Iowa +2.0 W by 10 +12.0
01/21 Home S Illinois -2.5 W by 6 +3.5
01/28 Home Belmont +5.5 L by 1 +4.5
01/31 Away Indiana St +2.0 W by 4 +6.0
02/03 Away Bradley +7.5 L by 7 +0.5
02/06 Home Evansville -9.0 W by 7 -2.0
02/09 Away Drake +4.0 W by 5 +9.0
02/12 Away Illinois St +9.0 L by 22 -13.0
02/15 Home Indiana St -4.5 W by 1 -3.5
02/18 Home Bradley +2.5 W by 7 +9.5
02/21 Away Illinois Chicago +7.5 W by 4 +11.5
02/25 Home Drake -2.5 W by 3 +0.5
02/28 Away Evansville -5.5 L by 1 -6.5
03/05 Neutral Indiana St -2.5 W by 1 -1.5
03/06 Neutral Bradley +5.5 L by 6 -0.5