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Troy at Arkansas St: Recap
Wednesday Jan 7, 2026 8:00 pm -
Jonesboro, AR
Odds:
Arkansas State by 4.5,
Total Points:
160
Matchup Menu: TROY @ ARST
| Game Winner Pick | Confidence | Projection | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arkansas St | TROY | 36.6% | ||
| ARST | 63.4% | |||
| ATS Pick | Confidence | Projection | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TROY +4.5 | TROY | 51.3% | ||
| ARST | 48.7% | |||
| Totals Pick | Confidence | Projection | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 160.0 | Over | 52.2% | ||
| Under | 47.8% | |||
| Money Line Value Pick | Confidence | Projection | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lay Off | TROY | -1.1% | ||
| ARST | -2.1% | |||
| Final Score Projection | Vegas Implied | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|
| TROY | 78.4 | 77.8 | 74 |
| ARST | 82.6 | 82.2 | 86 |
Offensive Stat Comparison
| Stat | TROY | ARST |
|---|---|---|
| Points/Game | 77.3 | 81.8 |
| Avg Score Margin | +2.8 | +3.7 |
| Assists/Game | 15.0 | 15.3 |
| Total Rebounds/Gm | 37.4 | 41.8 |
| Effective FG % | 51.5% | 51.7% |
| Off Rebound % | 32.6% | 37.8% |
| FTA/FGA | 0.362 | 0.391 |
| Turnover % | 14.7% | 16.6% |
Defensive Stat Comparison
| Stat | TROY | ARST |
|---|---|---|
| Opp Points/Game | 74.5 | 78.0 |
| Opp Effective FG % | 50.2% | 50.3% |
| Off Rebounds/Gm | 10.3 | 12.8 |
| Def Rebounds/Gm | 23.4 | 26.3 |
| Blocks/Game | 3.3 | 2.8 |
| Steals/Game | 7.2 | 7.2 |
| Personal Fouls/Gm | 16.6 | 18.9 |