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Arkansas St at Troy: Point Spread Analysis

Saturday Jan 17, 2026 4:30 pm - Troy, AL
Odds: Troy by 3.5, Total Points: 166

Matchup Menu: ARST @ TROY

More Games From Jan 17, 2026

ATS Predictions

Pick Model Confidence
Troy -3.5 Official TR Pick Troy 52% odds to cover
Troy -3.5 Decision Tree Troy 52% odds to cover
Troy -3.5 Predictive Ratings Troy 59% odds to cover
Arkansas St +3.5 Power Rating Model Arkansas St 54% odds to cover
Arkansas St +3.5 Similar Games Arkansas St 53% odds to cover

ATS Situational Trends

Record ARST adv TROY
Season 15-15-0 17-15-0
vs Division 0-0-0 0-0-0
vs Conference 7-12-0 11-9-0
Streak L1 L1
Last 5 2-3-0 3-2-0
Last 10 4-6-0 4-6-0
Home 7-6-0 7-4-0
Away 8-9-0 10-11-0

Arkansas St Detailed ATS Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Line Result +/-
11/03 Away Ohio +3.5 W by 4 +7.5
11/07 Away SF Austin (Pick) L by 25 -25.0
11/11 Away Missouri St +2.5 W by 1 +3.5
11/15 Home Christian Brothers -- W by 28 --
11/19 Away Saint Mary's +20.5 L by 13 +7.5
11/21 Away SMU +14.5 L by 31 -16.5
11/24 Home Jacksonville St -4.5 W by 11 +6.5
11/28 Home N Dakota St -3.0 W by 5 +2.0
12/02 Home UT Arlington -5.5 W by 20 +14.5
12/06 Away Little Rock -9.5 W by 12 +2.5
12/13 Away Rice -3.5 L by 1 -4.5
12/17 Away Texas St -5.0 W by 19 +14.0
12/20 Away Southern Miss -2.0 W by 7 +5.0
12/30 Home Arkansas Tech -- W by 44 --
01/03 Home J Madison -10.0 L by 4 -14.0
01/07 Home Troy -4.5 W by 12 +7.5
01/10 Home Texas St -11.5 W by 1 -10.5
01/15 Away S Alabama -4.0 L by 4 -8.0
01/17 Away Troy +3.5 L by 25 -21.5
01/22 Away Georgia So -1.5 W by 17 +15.5
01/24 Away Georgia St -4.5 L by 1 -5.5
01/28 Home Old Dominion -9.5 L by 4 -13.5
01/31 Home Marshall -4.5 L by 9 -13.5
02/04 Away Coastal Car -4.5 W by 4 -0.5
02/07 Home Bowling Green -2.5 W by 37 +34.5
02/11 Home UL Monroe -18.5 W by 33 +14.5
02/14 Home S Alabama -7.5 L by 4 -11.5
02/19 Away Louisiana -8.5 W by 17 +8.5
02/21 Away UL Monroe -15.5 W by 8 -7.5
02/24 Home Southern Miss -9.5 W by 5 -4.5
02/27 Home Louisiana -13.5 W by 23 +9.5
03/05 Neutral Georgia So -7.5 L by 3 -10.5

Troy Detailed ATS Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Line Result +/-
11/03 Away Kent St +3.5 W by 6 +9.5
11/07 Away Furman +2.5 W by 3 +5.5
11/11 Home Pensacola Christian College -- W by 65 --
11/14 Away Loyola Mymt +4.5 L by 11 -6.5
11/16 Away CS Northridge -4.0 L by 9 -13.0
11/18 Away San Diego St +14.5 W by 1 +15.5
11/20 Away USC +17.5 L by 1 +16.5
11/24 Neutral Toledo -2.5 L by 7 -9.5
11/26 Neutral St Francis PA -21.5 W by 10 -11.5
12/01 Home W Georgia -17.5 L by 4 -21.5
12/06 Home La Grange -- W by 54 --
12/14 Away UAB +5.5 W by 1 +6.5
12/20 Home Marshall -4.5 W by 7 +2.5
12/31 Home Texas St -8.5 W by 20 +11.5
01/03 Home S Alabama -9.5 W by 10 +0.5
01/07 Away Arkansas St +4.5 L by 12 -7.5
01/10 Away Louisiana -9.5 W by 20 +10.5
01/14 Home Southern Miss -9.0 W by 26 +17.0
01/17 Home Arkansas St -3.5 W by 25 +21.5
01/21 Away Old Dominion -6.5 W by 6 -0.5
01/24 Away Georgia So -4.5 W by 5 +0.5
01/29 Home J Madison -9.5 L by 9 -18.5
01/31 Home App State -8.5 L by 22 -30.5
02/04 Away Georgia St -5.5 W by 11 +5.5
02/07 Home Akron +3.5 W by 10 +13.5
02/11 Away Texas St -5.0 L by 12 -17.0
02/14 Away Southern Miss -5.0 L by 4 -9.0
02/18 Away UL Monroe -16.0 W by 1 -15.0
02/21 Away S Alabama -1.5 L by 11 -12.5
02/24 Home Louisiana -11.5 W by 19 +7.5
02/27 Home UL Monroe -18.5 W by 15 -3.5
03/08 Neutral Southern Miss -5.5 W by 8 +2.5
03/09 Neutral Georgia So -4.5 W by 16 +11.5
03/19 Neutral Nebraska +13.5 L by 29 -15.5