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Arkansas St at Troy: Over/Under Analysis

Saturday Jan 17, 2026 4:30 pm - Troy, AL
Odds: Troy by 3.5, Total Points: 166

Matchup Menu: ARST @ TROY

More Games From Jan 17, 2026

Over/Under Predictions

Pick	Model	Confidence
Over 166.5	Official TR Pick	51% odds to go over
Over 166.5	Similar Games	64% odds to go over
Over 166.5	Decision Tree	51% odds to go over

Over/Under Situational Trends

Record	ARST	TROY
Season	15-14-1	14-16-2
vs Division	0-0-0	0-0-0
vs Conference	10-8-1	8-10-2
Streak	Un 2	Un 2
Last 5	2-3-0	2-3-0
Last 10	4-6-0	2-7-1
Home	5-7-1	5-6-0
Away	10-7-0	9-10-2

Records denote overs-unders-pushes

Arkansas St Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date	H/A/N	Opponent	Total	Score	Result	+/-
11/03	Away	Ohio	158.5	89-85	Over	+15.5
11/07	Away	SF Austin	155.5	65-90	Under	-0.5
11/11	Away	Missouri St	152.0	86-85	Over	+19.0
11/15	Home	Christian Brothers	--	95-67	Under	--
11/19	Away	Saint Mary's	149.5	72-85	Over	+7.5
11/21	Away	SMU	172.5	69-100	Under	-3.5
11/24	Home	Jacksonville St	156.0	74-63	Under	-19.0
11/28	Home	N Dakota St	160.5	85-80	Over	+4.5
12/02	Home	UT Arlington	151.5	83-63	Under	-5.5
12/06	Away	Little Rock	147.5	90-78	Over	+20.5
12/13	Away	Rice	156.5	76-77	Under	-3.5
12/17	Away	Texas St	151.5	89-70	Over	+7.5
12/20	Away	Southern Miss	155.5	93-86	Over	+23.5
12/30	Home	Arkansas Tech	--	107-63	Under	--
01/03	Home	J Madison	159.0	74-78	Under	-7.0
01/07	Home	Troy	160.0	86-74	Push	0.0
01/10	Home	Texas St	156.0	83-82	Over	+9.0
01/15	Away	S Alabama	154.0	87-91	Over	+24.0
01/17	Away	Troy	166.0	74-99	Over	+7.0
01/22	Away	Georgia So	175.0	85-68	Under	-22.0
01/24	Away	Georgia St	156.5	81-82	Over	+6.5
01/28	Home	Old Dominion	159.5	71-75	Under	-13.5
01/31	Home	Marshall	165.5	61-70	Under	-34.5
02/04	Away	Coastal Car	152.0	70-66	Under	-16.0
02/07	Home	Bowling Green	154.5	91-54	Under	-9.5
02/11	Home	UL Monroe	162.5	103-70	Over	+10.5
02/14	Home	S Alabama	149.5	88-92	Over	+30.5
02/19	Away	Louisiana	144.5	79-62	Under	-3.5
02/21	Away	UL Monroe	166.5	102-94	Over	+29.5
02/24	Home	Southern Miss	158.5	89-84	Over	+14.5
02/27	Home	Louisiana	146.5	81-58	Under	-7.5
03/05	Neutral	Georgia So	165.5	77-80	Under	-8.5

Troy Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date	H/A/N	Opponent	Total	Score	Result	+/-
11/03	Away	Kent St	142.5	103-97	Over	+57.5
11/07	Away	Furman	153.5	64-61	Under	-28.5
11/11	Home	Pensacola Christian College	--	121-56	Under	--
11/14	Away	Loyola Mymt	140.0	63-74	Under	-3.0
11/16	Away	CS Northridge	156.0	85-94	Over	+23.0
11/18	Away	San Diego St	137.5	108-107	Over	+77.5
11/20	Away	USC	159.0	106-107	Over	+54.0
11/24	Neutral	Toledo	160.5	68-75	Under	-17.5
11/26	Neutral	St Francis PA	151.0	74-64	Under	-13.0
12/01	Home	W Georgia	150.5	89-93	Over	+31.5
12/06	Home	La Grange	--	101-47	Under	--
12/14	Away	UAB	155.0	86-85	Over	+16.0
12/20	Home	Marshall	155.0	70-63	Under	-22.0
12/31	Home	Texas St	145.5	100-80	Over	+34.5
01/03	Home	S Alabama	148.5	59-49	Under	-40.5
01/07	Away	Arkansas St	160.0	74-86	Push	0.0
01/10	Away	Louisiana	136.5	90-70	Over	+23.5
01/14	Home	Southern Miss	145.5	91-65	Over	+10.5
01/17	Home	Arkansas St	166.0	99-74	Over	+7.0
01/21	Away	Old Dominion	152.5	83-77	Over	+7.5
01/24	Away	Georgia So	159.5	83-78	Over	+1.5
01/29	Home	J Madison	147.5	64-73	Under	-10.5
01/31	Home	App State	137.0	44-66	Under	-27.0
02/04	Away	Georgia St	144.0	74-63	Under	-7.0
02/07	Home	Akron	157.5	79-69	Under	-9.5
02/11	Away	Texas St	141.0	62-74	Under	-5.0
02/14	Away	Southern Miss	144.5	65-69	Under	-10.5
02/18	Away	UL Monroe	153.0	77-76	Push	0.0
02/21	Away	S Alabama	144.5	54-65	Under	-25.5
02/24	Home	Louisiana	134.5	78-59	Over	+2.5
02/27	Home	UL Monroe	154.5	80-65	Under	-9.5
03/08	Neutral	Southern Miss	143.5	78-70	Over	+4.5
03/09	Neutral	Georgia So	152.5	77-61	Under	-14.5
03/19	Neutral	Nebraska	139.5	47-76	Under	-16.5