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Arkansas at Mississippi St: Point Spread Analysis

Saturday Feb 7, 2026 12:00 pm - Starkville, MS
Odds: Arkansas by 6, Total Points: 164

Matchup Menu: ARK @ MSST

More Games From Feb 7, 2026

ATS Predictions

Pick Model Confidence
Arkansas -6.0 Official TR Pick Arkansas 50% odds to cover
Arkansas -6.0 Similar Games Arkansas 58% odds to cover
Arkansas -6.0 Decision Tree Arkansas 50% odds to cover
Arkansas -6.0 Predictive Ratings Arkansas 52% odds to cover
Mississippi St +6.0 Power Rating Model Mississippi St 53% odds to cover

ATS Situational Trends

Record ARK adv MSST
Season 23-14-0 10-22-0
vs Division 0-0-0 0-0-0
vs Conference 13-8-0 6-13-0
Streak L2 L6
Last 5 2-3-0 0-5-0
Last 10 5-5-0 2-8-0
Home 12-5-0 4-12-0
Away 11-9-0 6-10-0

Arkansas Detailed ATS Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Line Result +/-
11/03 Home Southern -27.0 W by 32 +5.0
11/08 Away Michigan St +2.5 L by 3 -0.5
11/11 Home C Arkansas -35.5 W by 37 +1.5
11/14 Home Samford -24.5 W by 4 -20.5
11/18 Home Winthrop -22.5 W by 1 -21.5
11/21 Home Jackson St -29.5 W by 54 +24.5
11/27 Neutral Duke +12.5 L by 9 +3.5
12/03 Home Louisville +2.0 W by 9 +11.0
12/06 Neutral Fresno St -19.5 W by 24 +4.5
12/13 Neutral Texas Tech +2.0 W by 7 +9.0
12/16 Home Queens -23.0 W by 28 +5.0
12/20 Neutral Houston +5.5 L by 9 -3.5
12/29 Home J Madison -23.5 W by 29 +5.5
01/03 Home Tennessee +1.5 W by 11 +12.5
01/07 Away Mississippi -4.0 W by 7 +3.0
01/10 Away Auburn +2.0 L by 22 -20.0
01/14 Home South Carolina -12.0 W by 34 +22.0
01/17 Away Georgia +2.5 L by 14 -11.5
01/20 Home Vanderbilt -1.5 W by 25 +23.5
01/24 Home LSU -10.5 W by 4 -6.5
01/27 Away Oklahoma -3.0 W by 4 +1.0
01/31 Home Kentucky -7.0 L by 8 -15.0
02/07 Away Mississippi St -6.0 W by 20 +14.0
02/10 Away LSU -4.5 W by 29 +24.5
02/14 Home Auburn -7.0 W by 13 +6.0
02/18 Away Alabama +4.0 L by 2 +2.0
02/21 Home Missouri -9.5 W by 8 -1.5
02/25 Home Texas A&M -7.5 W by 15 +7.5
02/28 Away Florida +9.5 L by 34 -24.5
03/04 Home Texas -6.5 W by 20 +13.5
03/07 Away Missouri +2.5 W by 4 +6.5
03/13 Neutral Oklahoma -6.5 W by 3 -3.5
03/14 Neutral Mississippi -8.5 W by 3 -5.5
03/15 Neutral Vanderbilt +1.5 W by 11 +12.5
03/19 Neutral Hawai'i -14.5 W by 19 +4.5
03/21 Neutral High Point -12.5 W by 6 -6.5
03/26 Neutral Arizona +8.5 L by 21 -12.5

Mississippi St Detailed ATS Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Line Result +/-
11/05 Home N Alabama -24.5 W by 24 -0.5
11/10 Neutral Iowa St +5.0 L by 16 -11.0
11/15 Home SE Louisiana -27.5 W by 7 -20.5
11/20 Neutral Kansas St -2.0 L by 21 -23.0
11/21 Neutral New Mexico -6.5 L by 2 -8.5
11/24 Home New Orleans -24.0 W by 3 -21.0
11/28 Home SMU -1.0 L by 6 -7.0
12/03 Away Georgia Tech -1.5 W by 12 +10.5
12/07 Neutral San Francisco -4.5 L by 3 -7.5
12/13 Neutral Utah -2.5 W by 8 +5.5
12/16 Home LIU -16.5 W by 4 -12.5
12/20 Home Memphis -3.5 W by 5 +1.5
12/29 Home Alabama St -17.5 W by 38 +20.5
01/03 Away Texas +10.0 W by 3 +13.0
01/07 Home Oklahoma -1.0 W by 19 +18.0
01/10 Away Kentucky +10.5 L by 24 -13.5
01/13 Home Alabama +4.5 L by 15 -10.5
01/17 Home Mississippi -4.0 L by 1 -5.0
01/21 Away Texas A&M +8.5 L by 20 -11.5
01/24 Home Vanderbilt +7.5 L by 32 -24.5
01/28 Away LSU +7.0 W by 14 +21.0
01/31 Away Missouri +6.5 L by 5 +1.5
02/07 Home Arkansas +6.0 L by 20 -14.0
02/11 Home Tennessee +7.0 L by 9 -2.0
02/14 Away Mississippi +3.5 W by 12 +15.5
02/18 Home Auburn +5.5 W by 6 +11.5
02/21 Away South Carolina +1.0 L by 8 -7.0
02/25 Away Alabama +12.5 L by 25 -12.5
02/28 Home Missouri +1.5 L by 24 -22.5
03/03 Away Florida +20.5 L by 34 -13.5
03/07 Home Georgia +5.5 L by 6 -0.5
03/11 Neutral Auburn +8.5 L by 18 -9.5