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Arkansas at Mississippi St: Over/Under Analysis

Saturday Feb 7, 2026 12:00 pm - Starkville, MS
Odds: Arkansas by 6, Total Points: 164

Matchup Menu: ARK @ MSST

More Games From Feb 7, 2026

Over/Under Predictions

Pick	Model	Confidence
Over 163.5	Official TR Pick	52% odds to go over
Over 163.5	Similar Games	50% odds to go over
Over 163.5	Decision Tree	52% odds to go over

Over/Under Situational Trends

Record	ARK	MSST
Season	22-15-0	16-16-0
vs Division	0-0-0	0-0-0
vs Conference	12-9-0	9-10-0
Streak	Ov 3	Un 1
Last 5	4-1-0	2-3-0
Last 10	8-2-0	5-5-0
Home	12-5-0	5-11-0
Away	10-10-0	11-5-0

Records denote overs-unders-pushes

Arkansas Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date	H/A/N	Opponent	Total	Score	Result	+/-
11/03	Home	Southern	149.5	109-77	Over	+36.5
11/08	Away	Michigan St	155.5	66-69	Under	-20.5
11/11	Home	C Arkansas	158.5	93-56	Under	-9.5
11/14	Home	Samford	159.5	79-75	Under	-5.5
11/18	Home	Winthrop	168.5	84-83	Under	-1.5
11/21	Home	Jackson St	160.0	115-61	Over	+16.0
11/27	Neutral	Duke	160.0	71-80	Under	-9.0
12/03	Home	Louisville	166.5	89-80	Over	+2.5
12/06	Neutral	Fresno St	161.5	82-58	Under	-21.5
12/13	Neutral	Texas Tech	155.0	93-86	Over	+24.0
12/16	Home	Queens	169.5	108-80	Over	+18.5
12/20	Neutral	Houston	146.0	85-94	Over	+33.0
12/29	Home	J Madison	159.5	103-74	Over	+17.5
01/03	Home	Tennessee	158.5	86-75	Over	+2.5
01/07	Away	Mississippi	152.0	94-87	Over	+29.0
01/10	Away	Auburn	169.0	73-95	Under	-1.0
01/14	Home	South Carolina	155.0	108-74	Over	+27.0
01/17	Away	Georgia	181.5	76-90	Under	-15.5
01/20	Home	Vanderbilt	173.5	93-68	Under	-12.5
01/24	Home	LSU	164.5	85-81	Over	+1.5
01/27	Away	Oklahoma	167.5	83-79	Under	-5.5
01/31	Home	Kentucky	161.5	77-85	Over	+0.5
02/07	Away	Mississippi St	164.0	88-68	Under	-8.0
02/10	Away	LSU	159.0	91-62	Under	-6.0
02/14	Home	Auburn	165.0	88-75	Under	-2.0
02/18	Away	Alabama	184.0	115-117	Over	+48.0
02/21	Home	Missouri	159.5	94-86	Over	+20.5
02/25	Home	Texas A&M	170.5	99-84	Over	+12.5
02/28	Away	Florida	168.5	77-111	Over	+19.5
03/04	Home	Texas	163.5	105-85	Over	+26.5
03/07	Away	Missouri	163.5	88-84	Over	+8.5
03/13	Neutral	Oklahoma	167.5	82-79	Under	-6.5
03/14	Neutral	Mississippi	159.5	93-90	Over	+23.5
03/15	Neutral	Vanderbilt	165.5	86-75	Under	-4.5
03/19	Neutral	Hawai'i	158.5	97-78	Over	+16.5
03/21	Neutral	High Point	171.5	94-88	Over	+10.5
03/26	Neutral	Arizona	166.5	88-109	Over	+30.5

Mississippi St Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date	H/A/N	Opponent	Total	Score	Result	+/-
11/05	Home	N Alabama	151.0	86-62	Under	-3.0
11/10	Neutral	Iowa St	149.0	80-96	Over	+27.0
11/15	Home	SE Louisiana	150.5	75-68	Under	-7.5
11/20	Neutral	Kansas St	165.0	77-98	Over	+10.0
11/21	Neutral	New Mexico	150.5	78-80	Over	+7.5
11/24	Home	New Orleans	161.0	81-78	Under	-2.0
11/28	Home	SMU	162.5	81-87	Over	+5.5
12/03	Away	Georgia Tech	150.5	85-73	Over	+7.5
12/07	Neutral	San Francisco	151.0	62-65	Under	-24.0
12/13	Neutral	Utah	152.5	82-74	Over	+3.5
12/16	Home	LIU	152.5	87-83	Over	+17.5
12/20	Home	Memphis	153.5	71-66	Under	-16.5
12/29	Home	Alabama St	154.0	94-56	Under	-4.0
01/03	Away	Texas	157.5	101-98	Over	+41.5
01/07	Home	Oklahoma	159.0	72-53	Under	-34.0
01/10	Away	Kentucky	152.5	68-92	Over	+7.5
01/13	Home	Alabama	171.5	82-97	Over	+7.5
01/17	Home	Mississippi	148.0	67-68	Under	-13.0
01/21	Away	Texas A&M	163.5	68-88	Under	-7.5
01/24	Home	Vanderbilt	160.5	56-88	Under	-16.5
01/28	Away	LSU	154.5	80-66	Under	-8.5
01/31	Away	Missouri	149.5	79-84	Over	+13.5
02/07	Home	Arkansas	164.0	68-88	Under	-8.0
02/11	Home	Tennessee	147.5	64-73	Under	-10.5
02/14	Away	Mississippi	144.0	90-78	Over	+24.0
02/18	Home	Auburn	155.5	91-85	Over	+20.5
02/21	Away	South Carolina	151.5	89-97	Over	+34.5
02/25	Away	Alabama	176.5	75-100	Under	-1.5
02/28	Home	Missouri	155.5	64-88	Under	-3.5
03/03	Away	Florida	161.5	74-108	Over	+20.5
03/07	Home	Georgia	167.5	96-102	Over	+30.5
03/11	Neutral	Auburn	160.5	61-79	Under	-20.5