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Pittsburgh at North Carolina: Over/Under Analysis

Saturday Feb 14, 2026 2:00 pm - Chapel Hill, NC
Odds: North Carolina by 11.5, Total Points: 144.5

Matchup Menu: PITT @ UNC

More Games From Feb 14, 2026

Over/Under Predictions

Pick	Model	Confidence
Under 144.5	Official TR Pick	53% odds to go under
Under 144.5	Similar Games	54% odds to go under
Under 144.5	Decision Tree	53% odds to go under

Over/Under Situational Trends

Record	PITT	UNC
Season	17-15-1	14-19-0
vs Division	0-0-0	0-0-0
vs Conference	11-8-1	10-9-0
Streak	Ov 1	Ov 2
Last 5	2-3-0	3-2-0
Last 10	5-5-0	3-7-0
Home	13-5-0	6-12-0
Away	4-10-1	8-7-0

Records denote overs-unders-pushes

Pittsburgh Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date	H/A/N	Opponent	Total	Score	Result	+/-
11/03	Home	Youngstown St	145.5	74-59	Under	-12.5
11/07	Home	Longwood	146.5	78-60	Under	-8.5
11/10	Home	E Michigan	141.0	78-66	Over	+3.0
11/13	Away	West Virginia	134.0	49-71	Under	-14.0
11/17	Home	Bucknell	142.0	84-50	Under	-8.0
11/20	Neutral	UCF	149.5	67-77	Under	-5.5
11/23	Home	Quinnipiac	142.5	75-83	Over	+15.5
11/28	Home	Ohio St	148.5	67-66	Under	-15.5
12/02	Home	Texas A&M	152.5	73-81	Over	+1.5
12/07	Home	Hofstra	134.0	73-80	Over	+19.0
12/13	Away	Villanova	138.0	61-79	Over	+2.0
12/17	Home	Binghamton	135.0	103-63	Over	+31.0
12/21	Neutral	Penn St	146.5	80-46	Under	-20.5
12/30	Away	Miami	145.0	69-76	Push	0.0
01/03	Home	Clemson	135.5	68-73	Over	+5.5
01/10	Home	Syracuse	141.5	72-83	Over	+13.5
01/14	Away	Georgia Tech	146.0	89-66	Over	+9.0
01/17	Home	Louisville	152.5	59-100	Over	+6.5
01/21	Away	Boston College	136.5	62-65	Under	-9.5
01/24	Home	NC State	146.0	72-81	Over	+7.0
01/27	Home	Wake Forest	152.0	80-76	Over	+4.0
01/31	Away	Clemson	134.5	52-63	Under	-19.5
02/03	Away	Virginia	142.5	47-67	Under	-28.5
02/07	Home	SMU	147.5	67-86	Over	+5.5
02/10	Home	Duke	136.5	54-70	Under	-12.5
02/14	Away	North Carolina	144.5	65-79	Under	-0.5
02/21	Home	Notre Dame	138.0	73-68	Over	+3.0
02/25	Away	Stanford	138.5	67-75	Over	+3.5
02/28	Away	California	144.5	72-56	Under	-16.5
03/04	Home	Florida St	144.5	74-75	Over	+4.5
03/07	Away	Syracuse	141.5	71-69	Under	-1.5
03/10	Neutral	Stanford	136.5	64-63	Under	-9.5
03/11	Neutral	NC State	144.5	88-98	Over	+41.5

North Carolina Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date	H/A/N	Opponent	Total	Score	Result	+/-
11/03	Home	C Arkansas	157.5	94-54	Under	-9.5
11/07	Home	Kansas	158.0	87-74	Over	+3.0
11/11	Home	Radford	163.5	89-74	Under	-0.5
11/14	Home	NC Central	159.5	97-53	Under	-9.5
11/18	Home	Navy	161.0	73-61	Under	-27.0
11/25	Neutral	St Bonaventure	151.5	85-70	Over	+3.5
11/27	Neutral	Michigan St	152.5	58-74	Under	-20.5
12/02	Away	Kentucky	163.5	67-64	Under	-32.5
12/07	Home	Georgetown	149.5	81-61	Under	-7.5
12/13	Home	SC Upstate	152.5	80-62	Under	-10.5
12/16	Home	E Tennessee St	150.5	77-58	Under	-15.5
12/20	Neutral	Ohio St	157.5	71-70	Under	-16.5
12/22	Home	E Carolina	144.5	99-51	Over	+5.5
12/30	Home	Florida St	166.5	79-66	Under	-21.5
01/03	Away	SMU	155.5	83-97	Over	+24.5
01/10	Home	Wake Forest	155.0	87-84	Over	+16.0
01/14	Away	Stanford	148.0	90-95	Over	+37.0
01/17	Away	California	151.0	78-84	Over	+11.0
01/21	Home	Notre Dame	149.0	91-69	Over	+11.0
01/24	Away	Virginia	148.5	85-80	Over	+16.5
01/31	Away	Georgia Tech	159.5	91-75	Over	+6.5
02/02	Home	Syracuse	158.0	87-77	Over	+6.0
02/07	Home	Duke	151.5	71-68	Under	-12.5
02/10	Away	Miami	156.5	66-75	Under	-15.5
02/14	Home	Pittsburgh	144.5	79-65	Under	-0.5
02/17	Away	NC State	155.5	58-82	Under	-15.5
02/21	Away	Syracuse	154.0	77-64	Under	-13.0
02/23	Home	Louisville	162.5	77-74	Under	-11.5
02/28	Home	Virginia Tech	149.5	89-82	Over	+21.5
03/03	Home	Clemson	141.5	67-63	Under	-11.5
03/07	Away	Duke	147.5	61-76	Under	-10.5
03/12	Neutral	Clemson	140.5	79-80	Over	+18.5
03/19	Neutral	VCU	150.5	78-82	Over	+9.5