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Saturday Feb 14, 2026 4:00 pm -
Fort Worth, TX
(Neutral Site)
Odds:
Louisville by 7,
Total Points:
162.5
| Game Winner Pick | Confidence | Projection | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Louisville | LOU | 71.5% | ||
| BAY | 28.5% | |||
| ATS Pick | Confidence | Projection | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BAY +7.0 | LOU | 48.0% | ||
| BAY | 52.0% | |||
| Totals Pick | Confidence | Projection | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 162.5 | Over | 46.8% | ||
| Under | 53.2% | |||
| Money Line Value Pick | Confidence | Projection | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lay Off | LOU | -3.5% | ||
| BAY | -0.5% | |||
| Final Score Projection | Vegas Implied | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOU | 83.7 | 84.8 | 82 |
| BAY | 77.2 | 77.8 | 71 |
| Stat | LOU | BAY |
|---|---|---|
| Points/Game | 84.3 | 80.4 |
| Avg Score Margin | +11.7 | +3.5 |
| Assists/Game | 17.1 | 14.8 |
| Total Rebounds/Gm | 38.3 | 36.3 |
| Effective FG % | 56.5% | 53.4% |
| Off Rebound % | 31.6% | 34.8% |
| FTA/FGA | 0.331 | 0.341 |
| Turnover % | 14.5% | 13.8% |
| Stat | LOU | BAY |
|---|---|---|
| Opp Points/Game | 72.5 | 76.9 |
| Opp Effective FG % | 48.7% | 52.4% |
| Off Rebounds/Gm | 10.1 | 10.8 |
| Def Rebounds/Gm | 25.9 | 22.2 |
| Blocks/Game | 3.3 | 3.9 |
| Steals/Game | 6.8 | 6.3 |
| Personal Fouls/Gm | 18.5 | 16.3 |
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