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Xavier at Providence: Over/Under Analysis

Wednesday Feb 25, 2026 7:30 pm - Providence, RI
Odds: Providence by 4.5, Total Points: 170.5

Matchup Menu: XAV @ PROV

More Games From Feb 25, 2026

Over/Under Predictions

Pick	Model	Confidence
Under 170.5	Official TR Pick	53% odds to go under
Under 170.5	Similar Games	52% odds to go under
Under 170.5	Decision Tree	53% odds to go under

Over/Under Situational Trends

Record	XAV	PROV
Season	24-8-0	22-11-0
vs Division	0-0-0	0-0-0
vs Conference	19-3-0	14-8-0
Streak	Ov 6	Un 1
Last 5	5-0-0	2-3-0
Last 10	9-1-0	5-5-0
Home	14-4-0	11-5-0
Away	10-4-0	11-6-0

Records denote overs-unders-pushes

Xavier Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date	H/A/N	Opponent	Total	Score	Result	+/-
11/03	Home	Marist	139.5	66-62	Under	-11.5
11/06	Home	Le Moyne	157.0	74-69	Under	-14.0
11/10	Home	Santa Clara	154.5	68-87	Over	+0.5
11/14	Away	Iowa	143.5	62-81	Under	-0.5
11/18	Home	Old Dominion	151.0	99-69	Over	+17.0
11/21	Neutral	Georgia	165.0	77-78	Under	-10.0
11/23	Neutral	West Virginia	140.5	78-68	Over	+5.5
11/28	Home	Texas A&M-CC	146.5	88-67	Over	+8.5
12/01	Home	St Francis PA	152.5	96-74	Over	+17.5
12/05	Home	Cincinnati	148.0	79-74	Over	+5.0
12/12	Home	Missouri St	151.5	75-57	Under	-19.5
12/17	Home	Creighton	151.5	57-98	Over	+3.5
12/20	Away	Georgetown	149.5	80-77	Over	+7.5
12/31	Home	UConn	143.5	67-90	Over	+13.5
01/03	Away	DePaul	151.0	77-86	Over	+12.0
01/07	Away	Marquette	157.0	65-66	Under	-26.0
01/10	Home	Providence	165.0	97-84	Over	+16.0
01/14	Home	Butler	161.0	89-75	Over	+3.0
01/21	Away	Creighton	156.0	93-94	Over	+31.0
01/24	Home	St John's	162.5	83-88	Over	+8.5
01/28	Away	Seton Hall	144.5	68-86	Over	+9.5
01/31	Home	DePaul	150.5	68-66	Under	-16.5
02/03	Away	UConn	147.0	60-92	Over	+5.0
02/09	Away	St John's	160.5	82-87	Over	+8.5
02/14	Home	Marquette	157.0	96-88	Over	+27.0
02/17	Home	Villanova	152.0	89-92	Over	+29.0
02/21	Away	Butler	159.5	75-80	Under	-4.5
02/25	Away	Providence	170.5	84-94	Over	+7.5
02/28	Home	Georgetown	155.5	91-84	Over	+19.5
03/03	Home	Seton Hall	144.5	68-77	Over	+0.5
03/07	Away	Villanova	153.5	78-91	Over	+15.5
03/11	Neutral	Marquette	157.5	89-87	Over	+18.5
03/12	Neutral	UConn	150.5	68-93	Over	+10.5

Providence Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date	H/A/N	Opponent	Total	Score	Result	+/-
11/03	Home	Holy Cross	152.5	89-79	Over	+15.5
11/08	Neutral	Virginia Tech	157.0	101-107	Over	+51.0
11/11	Home	Penn	172.5	106-81	Over	+14.5
11/14	Away	Colorado	164.0	88-97	Over	+21.0
11/18	Home	New Hampshire	161.5	98-66	Over	+2.5
11/22	Neutral	Penn St	165.5	77-65	Under	-23.5
11/27	Neutral	Wisconsin	166.5	83-104	Over	+20.5
11/28	Neutral	Florida	168.5	78-90	Under	-0.5
12/02	Home	F Dickinson	162.0	94-64	Under	-4.0
12/06	Home	Rhode Island	159.5	90-71	Over	+1.5
12/09	Home	Brown	147.5	86-79	Over	+17.5
12/13	Away	Butler	165.5	110-113	Over	+57.5
12/19	Home	Seton Hall	152.5	67-72	Under	-13.5
01/03	Away	St John's	166.5	77-71	Under	-18.5
01/07	Home	UConn	152.0	98-103	Over	+49.0
01/10	Away	Xavier	165.0	84-97	Over	+16.0
01/13	Home	Villanova	156.5	82-88	Over	+13.5
01/16	Home	Creighton	161.5	93-88	Over	+19.5
01/19	Away	Marquette	167.0	104-105	Over	+42.0
01/24	Home	Georgetown	160.5	78-81	Under	-1.5
01/27	Away	UConn	152.0	81-87	Over	+16.0
01/30	Away	Villanova	157.5	73-87	Over	+2.5
02/04	Home	Butler	168.5	97-87	Over	+15.5
02/07	Home	DePaul	153.5	90-72	Over	+8.5
02/11	Away	Seton Hall	151.0	80-87	Over	+16.0
02/14	Home	St John's	168.5	69-79	Under	-20.5
02/21	Away	DePaul	152.5	71-68	Under	-13.5
02/25	Home	Xavier	170.5	94-84	Over	+7.5
02/28	Away	Creighton	166.5	79-76	Under	-11.5
03/04	Home	Marquette	161.5	56-78	Under	-27.5
03/07	Away	Georgetown	158.5	79-80	Over	+0.5
03/11	Neutral	Butler	162.5	91-81	Over	+9.5
03/12	Neutral	St John's	158.5	72-85	Under	-1.5