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Purdue FW at Notre Dame: Over/Under Analysis

Sunday Dec 21, 2025 2:00 pm - South Bend, IN
Odds: Notre Dame by 11.5, Total Points: 149

Matchup Menu: PFW @ ND

More Games From Dec 21, 2025

Over/Under Predictions

Pick	Model	Confidence
Under 149.5	Official TR Pick	55% odds to go under
Under 149.5	Decision Tree	55% odds to go under
Over 149.5	Similar Games	60% odds to go over

Over/Under Situational Trends

Record	PFW	ND
Season	16-13-0	22-9-0
vs Division	0-0-0	0-0-0
vs Conference	12-9-0	15-3-0
Streak	Un 1	Ov 8
Last 5	3-2-0	5-0-0
Last 10	6-4-0	9-1-0
Home	7-5-0	14-3-0
Away	9-8-0	8-6-0

Records denote overs-unders-pushes

Purdue FW Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date	H/A/N	Opponent	Total	Score	Result	+/-
11/03	Away	Grand Canyon	155.0	71-90	Over	+6.0
11/07	Away	Ohio St	159.5	68-94	Over	+2.5
11/09	Home	Dominican (IL)	--	137-56	Under	--
11/12	Away	W Michigan	162.5	71-83	Under	-8.5
11/15	Home	Boyce	--	118-68	Under	--
11/18	Away	Utah	161.0	77-85	Over	+1.0
11/21	Away	Saint Louis	165.5	60-91	Under	-14.5
11/25	Home	Chicago St	148.5	90-77	Over	+18.5
11/28	Home	Holy Cross (IN)	--	92-59	Under	--
12/03	Away	Oakland	162.5	92-101	Over	+30.5
12/06	Home	N Kentucky	152.5	79-77	Over	+3.5
12/10	Home	E Michigan	146.5	80-65	Under	-1.5
12/14	Home	Detroit Mercy	153.5	81-77	Over	+4.5
12/21	Away	Notre Dame	149.0	72-69	Under	-8.0
12/29	Away	Milwaukee	157.0	55-77	Under	-25.0
01/01	Home	Green Bay	144.5	54-72	Under	-18.5
01/04	Home	Cleveland St	159.5	74-71	Under	-14.5
01/07	Away	Youngstown St	145.0	71-69	Under	-5.0
01/11	Away	Robert Morris	146.0	79-74	Over	+7.0
01/18	Home	Milwaukee	148.5	100-82	Over	+33.5
01/21	Away	Detroit Mercy	155.5	83-76	Over	+3.5
01/28	Home	Oakland	164.5	65-74	Under	-25.5
01/31	Home	Robert Morris	144.5	83-71	Over	+9.5
02/04	Home	Youngstown St	148.0	61-90	Over	+3.0
02/07	Away	Wright St	150.0	68-73	Under	-9.0
02/12	Away	Green Bay	144.5	59-76	Under	-9.5
02/15	Home	IU Indy	160.0	83-78	Over	+1.0
02/18	Away	N Kentucky	154.0	71-87	Over	+4.0
02/22	Away	Cleveland St	162.5	92-86	Over	+15.5
02/25	Home	Wright St	150.5	70-74	Under	-6.5
02/28	Away	IU Indy	161.5	87-81	Over	+6.5
03/03	Away	Green Bay	145.5	56-64	Under	-25.5

Notre Dame Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date	H/A/N	Opponent	Total	Score	Result	+/-
11/03	Home	LIU	137.0	89-67	Over	+19.0
11/07	Home	Detroit Mercy	148.0	102-70	Over	+24.0
11/11	Home	E Illinois	143.5	78-58	Under	-7.5
11/16	Away	Ohio St	156.5	63-64	Under	-29.5
11/19	Home	Bellarmine	151.5	86-79	Over	+13.5
11/24	Neutral	Kansas	142.5	61-71	Under	-10.5
11/25	Neutral	Rutgers	140.5	68-63	Under	-9.5
11/26	Neutral	Houston	133.0	56-66	Under	-11.0
12/02	Home	Missouri	146.5	76-71	Over	+0.5
12/05	Away	TCU	141.5	87-85	Over	+30.5
12/10	Home	Idaho	144.5	80-65	Over	+0.5
12/13	Home	Evansville	136.5	82-58	Over	+3.5
12/21	Home	Purdue FW	149.0	69-72	Under	-8.0
12/30	Away	Stanford	144.0	47-40	Under	-57.0
01/02	Away	California	138.5	71-72	Over	+4.5
01/10	Home	Clemson	133.5	61-76	Over	+3.5
01/13	Home	Miami	143.0	69-81	Over	+7.0
01/17	Away	Virginia Tech	143.0	76-89	Over	+22.0
01/21	Away	North Carolina	149.0	69-91	Over	+11.0
01/24	Home	Boston College	136.5	68-64	Under	-4.5
01/27	Home	Virginia	146.0	97-100	Over	+51.0
01/31	Away	Syracuse	147.5	72-86	Over	+10.5
02/04	Away	Louisville	156.5	65-76	Under	-15.5
02/07	Home	Florida St	153.0	79-82	Over	+8.0
02/10	Away	SMU	154.0	81-89	Over	+16.0
02/14	Home	Georgia Tech	150.0	89-74	Over	+13.0
02/21	Away	Pittsburgh	138.0	68-73	Over	+3.0
02/24	Home	Duke	142.5	56-100	Over	+13.5
02/28	Home	NC State	154.5	96-90	Over	+31.5
03/04	Home	Stanford	147.5	78-86	Over	+16.5
03/07	Away	Boston College	141.5	69-77	Over	+4.5