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Purdue FW at Notre Dame: Point Spread Analysis

Sunday Dec 21, 2025 2:00 pm - South Bend, IN
Odds: Notre Dame by 11.5, Total Points: 149

Matchup Menu: PFW @ ND

More Games From Dec 21, 2025

ATS Predictions

Pick Model Confidence
Purdue FW +11.5 Official TR Pick Purdue FW 51% odds to cover
Purdue FW +11.5 Decision Tree Purdue FW 51% odds to cover
Notre Dame -11.5 Power Rating Model Notre Dame 62% odds to cover
Notre Dame -11.5 Similar Games Notre Dame 55% odds to cover
Notre Dame -11.5 Predictive Ratings Notre Dame 69% odds to cover

ATS Situational Trends

Record PFW adv ND
Season 12-17-0 15-16-0
vs Division 0-0-0 0-0-0
vs Conference 9-12-0 7-11-0
Streak L1 L2
Last 5 2-3-0 1-4-0
Last 10 4-6-0 4-6-0
Home 4-8-0 8-9-0
Away 8-9-0 7-7-0

Purdue FW Detailed ATS Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Line Result +/-
11/03 Away Grand Canyon +14.5 L by 19 -4.5
11/07 Away Ohio St +24.0 L by 26 -2.0
11/09 Home Dominican (IL) -- W by 81 --
11/12 Away W Michigan -3.5 L by 12 -15.5
11/15 Home Boyce -- W by 50 --
11/18 Away Utah +12.5 L by 8 +4.5
11/21 Away Saint Louis +19.0 L by 31 -12.0
11/25 Home Chicago St -13.5 W by 13 -0.5
11/28 Home Holy Cross (IN) -- W by 33 --
12/03 Away Oakland +5.5 L by 9 -3.5
12/06 Home N Kentucky (Pick) W by 2 +2.0
12/10 Home E Michigan -3.5 W by 15 +11.5
12/14 Home Detroit Mercy -9.5 W by 4 -5.5
12/21 Away Notre Dame +11.5 W by 3 +14.5
12/29 Away Milwaukee +3.0 L by 22 -19.0
01/01 Home Green Bay -8.0 L by 18 -26.0
01/04 Home Cleveland St -11.5 W by 3 -8.5
01/07 Away Youngstown St +5.0 W by 2 +7.0
01/11 Away Robert Morris +3.5 W by 5 +8.5
01/18 Home Milwaukee -3.0 W by 18 +15.0
01/21 Away Detroit Mercy -3.5 W by 7 +3.5
01/28 Home Oakland +1.5 L by 9 -7.5
01/31 Home Robert Morris -2.5 W by 12 +9.5
02/04 Home Youngstown St -2.0 L by 29 -31.0
02/07 Away Wright St +7.0 L by 5 +2.0
02/12 Away Green Bay (Pick) L by 17 -17.0
02/15 Home IU Indy -7.0 W by 5 -2.0
02/18 Away N Kentucky +6.0 L by 16 -10.0
02/22 Away Cleveland St -3.5 W by 6 +2.5
02/25 Home Wright St +1.5 L by 4 -2.5
02/28 Away IU Indy -1.5 W by 6 +4.5
03/03 Away Green Bay +3.5 L by 8 -4.5

Notre Dame Detailed ATS Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Line Result +/-
11/03 Home LIU -15.0 W by 22 +7.0
11/07 Home Detroit Mercy -21.0 W by 32 +11.0
11/11 Home E Illinois -23.5 W by 20 -3.5
11/16 Away Ohio St +10.0 L by 1 +9.0
11/19 Home Bellarmine -23.0 W by 7 -16.0
11/24 Neutral Kansas +5.0 L by 10 -5.0
11/25 Neutral Rutgers -7.0 W by 5 -2.0
11/26 Neutral Houston +11.5 L by 10 +1.5
12/02 Home Missouri +1.5 W by 5 +6.5
12/05 Away TCU +7.0 W by 2 +9.0
12/10 Home Idaho -11.5 W by 15 +3.5
12/13 Home Evansville -14.5 W by 24 +9.5
12/21 Home Purdue FW -11.5 L by 3 -14.5
12/30 Away Stanford +6.5 W by 7 +13.5
01/02 Away California +3.5 L by 1 +2.5
01/10 Home Clemson +3.0 L by 15 -12.0
01/13 Home Miami +5.0 L by 12 -7.0
01/17 Away Virginia Tech +6.5 L by 13 -6.5
01/21 Away North Carolina +13.5 L by 22 -8.5
01/24 Home Boston College -7.5 W by 4 -3.5
01/27 Home Virginia +9.5 L by 3 +6.5
01/31 Away Syracuse +5.0 L by 14 -9.0
02/04 Away Louisville +18.0 L by 11 +7.0
02/07 Home Florida St -1.0 L by 3 -4.0
02/10 Away SMU +10.5 L by 8 +2.5
02/14 Home Georgia Tech -6.0 W by 15 +9.0
02/21 Away Pittsburgh +2.0 L by 5 -3.0
02/24 Home Duke +16.5 L by 44 -27.5
02/28 Home NC State +6.5 W by 6 +12.5
03/04 Home Stanford +1.5 L by 8 -6.5
03/07 Away Boston College -1.5 L by 8 -9.5