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Southern at Texas St: Over/Under Analysis

Wednesday Dec 10, 2025 8:30 pm - San Marcos, TX
Odds: Texas State by 3.5, Total Points: 142

Matchup Menu: SOU @ TXST

More Games From Dec 10, 2025

Over/Under Predictions

Pick	Model	Confidence
Under 142.5	Official TR Pick	50% odds to go under
Under 142.5	Decision Tree	50% odds to go under
Over 142.5	Similar Games	58% odds to go over

Over/Under Situational Trends

Record	SOU	TXST
Season	20-11-0	16-14-0
vs Division	0-0-0	0-0-0
vs Conference	13-8-0	11-8-0
Streak	Un 1	Ov 1
Last 5	3-2-0	3-2-0
Last 10	7-3-0	4-6-0
Home	7-2-0	6-9-0
Away	13-9-0	10-5-0

Records denote overs-unders-pushes

Southern Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date	H/A/N	Opponent	Total	Score	Result	+/-
11/03	Away	Arkansas	149.5	77-109	Over	+36.5
11/05	Away	Marquette	156.0	82-100	Over	+26.0
11/10	Home	Ecclesia College	--	115-51	Under	--
11/15	Home	Champion Baptist	--	129-64	Under	--
11/18	Away	Washington	157.5	93-99	Over	+34.5
11/21	Away	San Jose St	150.5	66-80	Under	-4.5
11/29	Away	NW State	144.5	75-73	Over	+3.5
12/01	Home	Louisiana College	--	101-48	Under	--
12/08	Away	Texas	158.5	69-95	Over	+5.5
12/10	Away	Texas St	142.0	83-86	Over	+27.0
12/16	Away	Cal Baptist	156.0	67-75	Under	-14.0
12/21	Away	Baylor	169.5	67-111	Over	+8.5
12/29	Away	Illinois	163.5	55-90	Under	-18.5
01/03	Home	Texas So	153.5	84-73	Over	+3.5
01/05	Home	Prairie View	160.5	85-89	Over	+13.5
01/10	Away	Florida A&M	153.5	59-67	Under	-27.5
01/12	Away	Bethune	151.5	77-73	Under	-1.5
01/17	Away	Grambling	153.5	71-53	Under	-29.5
01/24	Home	AR-Pine Bluff	153.5	74-75	Under	-4.5
01/28	Home	Miss Valley St	142.0	80-69	Over	+7.0
01/31	Away	Alcorn St	148.0	73-78	Over	+3.0
02/02	Away	Jackson St	152.5	96-91	Over	+34.5
02/07	Home	Alabama A&M	143.0	81-68	Over	+6.0
02/09	Home	Alabama St	149.0	69-68	Under	-12.0
02/14	Away	Prairie View	161.5	87-82	Over	+7.5
02/16	Away	Texas So	151.5	73-74	Under	-4.5
02/21	Home	Grambling	142.5	87-73	Over	+17.5
02/26	Home	Florida A&M	147.5	71-82	Over	+5.5
02/28	Home	Bethune	153.5	79-82	Over	+7.5
03/03	Away	Alabama St	154.5	71-64	Under	-19.5
03/05	Away	Alabama A&M	145.5	88-85	Over	+27.5
03/12	Neutral	AR-Pine Bluff	151.5	84-81	Over	+13.5
03/13	Neutral	Florida A&M	141.5	73-70	Over	+1.5
03/14	Neutral	Prairie View	146.5	66-72	Under	-8.5

Texas St Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date	H/A/N	Opponent	Total	Score	Result	+/-
11/03	Away	Bowling Green	146.0	48-83	Under	-15.0
11/05	Home	Texas A&M-San Antonio	--	114-55	Under	--
11/08	Away	Tulane	146.0	71-79	Over	+4.0
11/12	Home	UTSA	147.5	80-69	Over	+1.5
11/15	Home	Texas So	144.5	77-67	Under	-0.5
11/18	Home	Abl Christian	138.5	63-49	Under	-26.5
11/21	Home	Little Rock	130.5	65-56	Under	-9.5
11/24	Home	Texas Lutheran	--	93-41	Under	--
11/28	Neutral	Seattle	136.5	52-66	Under	-18.5
11/29	Neutral	Lehigh	135.0	74-78	Over	+17.0
12/03	Away	Rice	134.0	72-77	Over	+15.0
12/10	Home	Southern	142.0	86-83	Over	+27.0
12/17	Home	Arkansas St	151.5	70-89	Over	+7.5
12/20	Home	S Alabama	137.0	67-65	Under	-5.0
12/31	Away	Troy	145.5	80-100	Over	+34.5
01/03	Away	UL Monroe	150.5	84-79	Over	+12.5
01/08	Away	Southern Miss	144.5	70-80	Over	+5.5
01/10	Away	Arkansas St	156.0	82-83	Over	+9.0
01/14	Home	Louisiana	134.0	59-54	Under	-21.0
01/17	Home	Southern Miss	140.5	74-67	Over	+0.5
01/22	Away	Coastal Car	140.5	70-72	Over	+1.5
01/24	Away	J Madison	144.5	57-82	Under	-5.5
01/28	Home	Marshall	147.5	72-68	Under	-7.5
01/31	Home	Old Dominion	143.5	81-64	Over	+1.5
02/04	Away	Georgia So	151.0	77-71	Under	-3.0
02/07	Home	W Michigan	146.5	77-61	Under	-8.5
02/11	Home	Troy	141.0	74-62	Under	-5.0
02/14	Home	UL Monroe	149.5	95-84	Over	+29.5
02/19	Away	S Alabama	137.5	90-82	Over	+34.5
02/21	Away	Louisiana	134.5	54-67	Under	-13.5
02/27	Home	App State	135.5	60-57	Under	-18.5
03/06	Neutral	Southern Miss	140.5	77-81	Over	+17.5