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Southern at Texas St: Money Line Analysis

Wednesday Dec 10, 2025 8:30 pm - San Marcos, TX
Odds: Texas State by 3.5, Total Points: 142

Money Line Predictions

Value Pick Model Confidence
Southern +140 Official TR Pick Model shows 2% value
Southern +140 Predictive Ratings Model shows 5% value
Texas St -166 Power Rating Model Model shows 1% value
Texas St -166 Similar Games Model shows 8% value
Texas St -166 Decision Tree Model shows 12% value

Money Line Situational Trends

Record SOU adv TXST
Season 15-16 19-12
vs Division 0-0 0-0
vs Conference 13-8 11-8
Streak L1 L1
Last 5 4-1 3-2
Last 10 6-4 8-2
Home 8-4 16-1
Away 9-13 3-12

Southern Detailed Win/Loss Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Score Result Margin
11/03 Away Arkansas 77-109 L -32.0
11/05 Away Marquette 82-100 L -18.0
11/10 Home Ecclesia College 115-51 W +64.0
11/15 Home Champion Baptist 129-64 W +65.0
11/18 Away Washington 93-99 L -6.0
11/21 Away San Jose St 66-80 L -14.0
11/29 Away NW State 75-73 W +2.0
12/01 Home Louisiana College 101-48 W +53.0
12/08 Away Texas 69-95 L -26.0
12/10 Away Texas St 83-86 L -3.0
12/16 Away Cal Baptist 67-75 L -8.0
12/21 Away Baylor 67-111 L -44.0
12/29 Away Illinois 55-90 L -35.0
01/03 Home Texas So 84-73 W +11.0
01/05 Home Prairie View 85-89 L -4.0
01/10 Away Florida A&M 59-67 L -8.0
01/12 Away Bethune 77-73 W +4.0
01/17 Away Grambling 71-53 W +18.0
01/24 Home AR-Pine Bluff 74-75 L -1.0
01/28 Home Miss Valley St 80-69 W +11.0
01/31 Away Alcorn St 73-78 L -5.0
02/02 Away Jackson St 96-91 W +5.0
02/07 Home Alabama A&M 81-68 W +13.0
02/09 Home Alabama St 69-68 W +1.0
02/14 Away Prairie View 87-82 W +5.0
02/16 Away Texas So 73-74 L -1.0
02/21 Home Grambling 87-73 W +14.0
02/26 Home Florida A&M 71-82 L -11.0
02/28 Home Bethune 79-82 L -3.0
03/03 Away Alabama St 71-64 W +7.0
03/05 Away Alabama A&M 88-85 W +3.0
03/12 Neutral AR-Pine Bluff 84-81 W +3.0
03/13 Neutral Florida A&M 73-70 W +3.0
03/14 Neutral Prairie View 66-72 L -6.0

Texas St Detailed Win/Loss Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Score Result Margin
11/03 Away Bowling Green 48-83 L -35.0
11/05 Home Texas A&M-San Antonio 114-55 W +59.0
11/08 Away Tulane 71-79 L -8.0
11/12 Home UTSA 80-69 W +11.0
11/15 Home Texas So 77-67 W +10.0
11/18 Home Abl Christian 63-49 W +14.0
11/21 Home Little Rock 65-56 W +9.0
11/24 Home Texas Lutheran 93-41 W +52.0
11/28 Neutral Seattle 52-66 L -14.0
11/29 Neutral Lehigh 74-78 L -4.0
12/03 Away Rice 72-77 L -5.0
12/10 Home Southern 86-83 W +3.0
12/17 Home Arkansas St 70-89 L -19.0
12/20 Home S Alabama 67-65 W +2.0
12/31 Away Troy 80-100 L -20.0
01/03 Away UL Monroe 84-79 W +5.0
01/08 Away Southern Miss 70-80 L -10.0
01/10 Away Arkansas St 82-83 L -1.0
01/14 Home Louisiana 59-54 W +5.0
01/17 Home Southern Miss 74-67 W +7.0
01/22 Away Coastal Car 70-72 L -2.0
01/24 Away J Madison 57-82 L -25.0
01/28 Home Marshall 72-68 W +4.0
01/31 Home Old Dominion 81-64 W +17.0
02/04 Away Georgia So 77-71 W +6.0
02/07 Home W Michigan 77-61 W +16.0
02/11 Home Troy 74-62 W +12.0
02/14 Home UL Monroe 95-84 W +11.0
02/19 Away S Alabama 90-82 W +8.0
02/21 Away Louisiana 54-67 L -13.0
02/27 Home App State 60-57 W +3.0
03/06 Neutral Southern Miss 77-81 L -4.0