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Southern at Texas St: Point Spread Analysis

Wednesday Dec 10, 2025 8:30 pm - San Marcos, TX
Odds: Texas State by 3.5, Total Points: 142

ATS Predictions

Pick Model Confidence
Southern +3.5 Official TR Pick Southern 55% odds to cover
Southern +3.5 Power Rating Model Southern 53% odds to cover
Southern +3.5 Decision Tree Southern 56% odds to cover
Southern +3.5 Predictive Ratings Southern 59% odds to cover
Texas St -3.5 Similar Games Texas St 63% odds to cover

ATS Situational Trends

Record SOU adv TXST
Season 13-18-0 14-15-1
vs Division 0-0-0 0-0-0
vs Conference 9-12-0 8-10-1
Streak L1 L1
Last 5 3-2-0 2-3-0
Last 10 5-5-0 7-3-0
Home 3-6-0 10-5-0
Away 10-12-0 4-10-1

Southern Detailed ATS Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Line Result +/-
11/03 Away Arkansas +27.0 L by 32 -5.0
11/05 Away Marquette +24.5 L by 18 +6.5
11/10 Home Ecclesia College -- W by 64 --
11/15 Home Champion Baptist -- W by 65 --
11/18 Away Washington +23.5 L by 6 +17.5
11/21 Away San Jose St +5.5 L by 14 -8.5
11/29 Away NW State -3.5 W by 2 -1.5
12/01 Home Louisiana College -- W by 53 --
12/08 Away Texas +22.0 L by 26 -4.0
12/10 Away Texas St +3.5 L by 3 +0.5
12/16 Away Cal Baptist +13.5 L by 8 +5.5
12/21 Away Baylor +26.0 L by 44 -18.0
12/29 Away Illinois +33.5 L by 35 -1.5
01/03 Home Texas So -6.5 W by 11 +4.5
01/05 Home Prairie View -7.5 L by 4 -11.5
01/10 Away Florida A&M -4.5 L by 8 -12.5
01/12 Away Bethune +3.5 W by 4 +7.5
01/17 Away Grambling +1.5 W by 18 +19.5
01/24 Home AR-Pine Bluff -9.5 L by 1 -10.5
01/28 Home Miss Valley St -20.5 W by 11 -9.5
01/31 Away Alcorn St -7.5 L by 5 -12.5
02/02 Away Jackson St -6.5 W by 5 -1.5
02/07 Home Alabama A&M -6.0 W by 13 +7.0
02/09 Home Alabama St -6.5 W by 1 -5.5
02/14 Away Prairie View -3.5 W by 5 +1.5
02/16 Away Texas So -3.5 L by 1 -4.5
02/21 Home Grambling -5.5 W by 14 +8.5
02/26 Home Florida A&M -8.5 L by 11 -19.5
02/28 Home Bethune -2.5 L by 3 -5.5
03/03 Away Alabama St +1.5 W by 7 +8.5
03/05 Away Alabama A&M +1.5 W by 3 +4.5
03/12 Neutral AR-Pine Bluff -4.5 W by 3 -1.5
03/13 Neutral Florida A&M -1.5 W by 3 +1.5
03/14 Neutral Prairie View -3.5 L by 6 -9.5

Texas St Detailed ATS Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Line Result +/-
11/03 Away Bowling Green +5.0 L by 35 -30.0
11/05 Home Texas A&M-San Antonio -- W by 59 --
11/08 Away Tulane +12.5 L by 8 +4.5
11/12 Home UTSA -3.5 W by 11 +7.5
11/15 Home Texas So -4.5 W by 10 +5.5
11/18 Home Abl Christian -1.5 W by 14 +12.5
11/21 Home Little Rock -5.5 W by 9 +3.5
11/24 Home Texas Lutheran -- W by 52 --
11/28 Neutral Seattle +7.5 L by 14 -6.5
11/29 Neutral Lehigh -6.0 L by 4 -10.0
12/03 Away Rice +3.5 L by 5 -1.5
12/10 Home Southern -3.5 W by 3 -0.5
12/17 Home Arkansas St +5.0 L by 19 -14.0
12/20 Home S Alabama -3.0 W by 2 -1.0
12/31 Away Troy +8.5 L by 20 -11.5
01/03 Away UL Monroe -10.5 W by 5 -5.5
01/08 Away Southern Miss +2.5 L by 10 -7.5
01/10 Away Arkansas St +11.5 L by 1 +10.5
01/14 Home Louisiana -8.5 W by 5 -3.5
01/17 Home Southern Miss -2.0 W by 7 +5.0
01/22 Away Coastal Car +2.0 L by 2 0.0
01/24 Away J Madison +5.5 L by 25 -19.5
01/28 Home Marshall +3.5 W by 4 +7.5
01/31 Home Old Dominion -1.0 W by 17 +16.0
02/04 Away Georgia So +4.0 W by 6 +10.0
02/07 Home W Michigan -6.0 W by 16 +10.0
02/11 Home Troy +5.0 W by 12 +17.0
02/14 Home UL Monroe -14.0 W by 11 -3.0
02/19 Away S Alabama +3.5 W by 8 +11.5
02/21 Away Louisiana -3.0 L by 13 -16.0
02/27 Home App State -1.5 W by 3 +1.5
03/06 Neutral Southern Miss -1.5 L by 4 -5.5