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UConn vs. Duke: Over/Under Analysis

Sunday Mar 29, 2026 5:05 pm - Washington, DC (Neutral Site)
Odds: Duke by 4.5, Total Points: 135.5

Over/Under Predictions

Pick Model Confidence
Under 135.5 Official TR Pick 53% odds to go under
Under 135.5 Decision Tree 53% odds to go under
Over 135.5 Similar Games 52% odds to go over

Over/Under Situational Trends

Record CONN DUKE
Season 19-21-0 14-24-0
vs Division 0-0-0 0-0-0
vs Conference 13-10-0 9-12-0
Streak Un 2 Ov 2
Last 5 1-4-0 3-2-0
Last 10 3-7-0 5-5-0
Home 8-9-0 5-10-0
Away 11-12-0 9-14-0

Records denote overs-unders-pushes

UConn Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Total Score Result +/-
11/03 Home New Haven 145.5 79-55 Under -11.5
11/07 Home UMass Lowell 152.0 110-47 Over +5.0
11/10 Home Columbia 155.0 89-62 Under -4.0
11/15 Neutral BYU 155.5 86-84 Over +14.5
11/19 Home Arizona 156.5 67-71 Under -18.5
11/23 Home Bryant 148.5 72-49 Under -27.5
11/28 Neutral Illinois 150.5 74-61 Under -15.5
12/02 Away Kansas 141.5 61-56 Under -24.5
12/05 Home E Texas A&M 141.5 83-59 Over +0.5
12/09 Neutral Florida 145.5 77-73 Over +4.5
12/12 Home Texas 145.5 71-63 Under -11.5
12/16 Home Butler 144.5 79-60 Under -5.5
12/21 Away DePaul 134.5 72-54 Under -8.5
12/31 Away Xavier 143.5 90-67 Over +13.5
01/04 Home Marquette 144.5 73-57 Under -14.5
01/07 Away Providence 152.0 103-98 Over +49.0
01/10 Home DePaul 138.0 72-60 Under -6.0
01/13 Away Seton Hall 132.5 69-64 Over +0.5
01/17 Away Georgetown 141.5 64-62 Under -15.5
01/24 Home Villanova 136.5 75-67 Over +5.5
01/27 Home Providence 152.0 87-81 Over +16.0
01/31 Away Creighton 142.5 85-58 Over +0.5
02/03 Home Xavier 147.0 92-60 Over +5.0
02/06 Away St John's 143.0 72-81 Over +10.0
02/11 Away Butler 145.0 80-70 Over +5.0
02/14 Home Georgetown 138.5 79-75 Over +15.5
02/18 Home Creighton 143.5 84-91 Over +31.5
02/21 Away Villanova 141.5 73-63 Under -5.5
02/25 Home St John's 145.5 72-40 Under -33.5
02/28 Home Seton Hall 130.5 71-67 Over +7.5
03/07 Away Marquette 143.5 62-68 Under -13.5
03/12 Neutral Xavier 150.5 93-68 Over +10.5
03/13 Neutral Georgetown 138.5 67-51 Under -20.5
03/14 Away St John's 138.5 52-72 Under -14.5
03/20 Neutral Furman 134.5 82-71 Over +18.5
03/22 Neutral UCLA 135.5 73-57 Under -5.5
03/27 Neutral Michigan St 136.5 67-63 Under -6.5
03/29 Neutral Duke 135.5 73-72 Over +9.5
04/04 Neutral Illinois 139.5 71-62 Under -6.5
04/06 Neutral Michigan 146.5 63-69 Under -14.5

Duke Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Total Score Result +/-
11/04 Neutral Texas 154.0 75-60 Under -19.0
11/08 Home W Carolina 153.0 95-54 Under -4.0
11/11 Away Army 153.5 114-59 Over +19.5
11/14 Home Indiana St 163.5 100-62 Under -1.5
11/18 Neutral Kansas 148.5 78-66 Under -4.5
11/21 Home Niagara 145.0 100-42 Under -3.0
11/23 Home Howard 151.0 93-56 Under -2.0
11/27 Neutral Arkansas 160.0 80-71 Under -9.0
12/02 Home Florida 157.5 67-66 Under -24.5
12/06 Away Michigan St 141.5 66-60 Under -15.5
12/16 Home Lipscomb 152.0 97-73 Over +18.0
12/20 Neutral Texas Tech 152.5 81-82 Over +10.5
12/31 Home Georgia Tech 153.5 85-79 Over +10.5
01/03 Away Florida St 163.0 91-87 Over +15.0
01/06 Away Louisville 160.5 84-73 Under -3.5
01/10 Home SMU 156.0 82-75 Over +1.0
01/14 Away California 149.0 71-56 Under -22.0
01/17 Away Stanford 149.0 80-50 Under -19.0
01/24 Home Wake Forest 151.5 90-69 Over +7.5
01/26 Home Louisville 157.0 83-52 Under -22.0
01/31 Away Virginia Tech 148.0 72-58 Under -18.0
02/03 Home Boston College 141.5 67-49 Under -25.5
02/07 Away North Carolina 151.5 68-71 Under -12.5
02/10 Away Pittsburgh 136.5 70-54 Under -12.5
02/14 Home Clemson 134.0 67-54 Under -13.0
02/16 Home Syracuse 145.0 101-64 Over +20.0
02/21 Neutral Michigan 150.5 68-63 Under -19.5
02/24 Away Notre Dame 142.5 100-56 Over +13.5
02/28 Home Virginia 142.5 77-51 Under -14.5
03/02 Away NC State 150.5 93-64 Over +6.5
03/07 Home North Carolina 147.5 76-61 Under -10.5
03/12 Neutral Florida St 150.5 80-79 Over +8.5
03/13 Neutral Clemson 134.5 73-61 Under -0.5
03/14 Neutral Virginia 139.5 74-70 Over +4.5
03/19 Neutral Siena 137.5 71-65 Under -1.5
03/21 Neutral TCU 141.5 81-58 Under -2.5
03/27 Neutral St John's 140.5 80-75 Over +14.5
03/29 Neutral UConn 135.5 72-73 Over +9.5