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UConn vs. Duke: Point Spread Analysis

Sunday Mar 29, 2026 5:05 pm - Washington, DC (Neutral Site)
Odds: Duke by 4.5, Total Points: 135.5

Matchup Menu: CONN vs. DUKE

More Games From Mar 29, 2026

ATS Predictions

Pick Model Confidence
Duke -4.5 Official TR Pick Duke 52% odds to cover
Duke -4.5 Decision Tree Duke 53% odds to cover
Duke -4.5 Predictive Ratings Duke 57% odds to cover
UConn +4.5 Power Rating Model UConn 52% odds to cover
UConn +4.5 Similar Games UConn 56% odds to cover

ATS Situational Trends

Record CONN adv DUKE
Season 18-22-0 20-18-0
vs Division 0-0-0 0-0-0
vs Conference 9-14-0 11-10-0
Streak W5 L2
Last 5 5-0-0 1-4-0
Last 10 7-3-0 4-6-0
Home 4-13-0 7-8-0
Away 14-9-0 13-10-0

UConn Detailed ATS Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Line Result +/-
11/03 Home New Haven -42.5 W by 24 -18.5
11/07 Home UMass Lowell -36.5 W by 63 +26.5
11/10 Home Columbia -33.0 W by 27 -6.0
11/15 Neutral BYU -6.0 W by 2 -4.0
11/19 Home Arizona -4.5 L by 4 -8.5
11/23 Home Bryant -37.0 W by 23 -14.0
11/28 Neutral Illinois -4.5 W by 13 +8.5
12/02 Away Kansas -3.0 W by 5 +2.0
12/05 Home E Texas A&M -36.5 W by 24 -12.5
12/09 Neutral Florida -3.5 W by 4 +0.5
12/12 Home Texas -11.5 W by 8 -3.5
12/16 Home Butler -15.5 W by 19 +3.5
12/21 Away DePaul -12.5 W by 18 +5.5
12/31 Away Xavier -11.5 W by 23 +11.5
01/04 Home Marquette -17.0 W by 16 -1.0
01/07 Away Providence -10.0 W by 5 -5.0
01/10 Home DePaul -19.5 W by 12 -7.5
01/13 Away Seton Hall -7.0 W by 5 -2.0
01/17 Away Georgetown -11.0 W by 2 -9.0
01/24 Home Villanova -11.0 W by 8 -3.0
01/27 Home Providence -15.5 W by 6 -9.5
01/31 Away Creighton -7.5 W by 27 +19.5
02/03 Home Xavier -17.0 W by 32 +15.0
02/06 Away St John's -1.0 L by 9 -10.0
02/11 Away Butler -11.0 W by 10 -1.0
02/14 Home Georgetown -16.5 W by 4 -12.5
02/18 Home Creighton -15.5 L by 7 -22.5
02/21 Away Villanova -3.5 W by 10 +6.5
02/25 Home St John's -5.5 W by 32 +26.5
02/28 Home Seton Hall -13.5 W by 4 -9.5
03/07 Away Marquette -9.5 L by 6 -15.5
03/12 Neutral Xavier -17.5 W by 25 +7.5
03/13 Neutral Georgetown -14.5 W by 16 +1.5
03/14 Away St John's -2.5 L by 20 -22.5
03/20 Neutral Furman -20.5 W by 11 -9.5
03/22 Neutral UCLA -5.5 W by 16 +10.5
03/27 Neutral Michigan St -2.5 W by 4 +1.5
03/29 Neutral Duke +4.5 W by 1 +5.5
04/04 Neutral Illinois +1.5 W by 9 +10.5
04/06 Neutral Michigan +6.5 L by 6 +0.5

Duke Detailed ATS Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Line Result +/-
11/04 Neutral Texas -10.5 W by 15 +4.5
11/08 Home W Carolina -37.0 W by 41 +4.0
11/11 Away Army -34.5 W by 55 +20.5
11/14 Home Indiana St -36.5 W by 38 +1.5
11/18 Neutral Kansas -11.0 W by 12 +1.0
11/21 Home Niagara -39.5 W by 58 +18.5
11/23 Home Howard -43.5 W by 37 -6.5
11/27 Neutral Arkansas -12.5 W by 9 -3.5
12/02 Home Florida -9.5 W by 1 -8.5
12/06 Away Michigan St -1.0 W by 6 +5.0
12/16 Home Lipscomb -32.0 W by 24 -8.0
12/20 Neutral Texas Tech -10.0 L by 1 -11.0
12/31 Home Georgia Tech -27.5 W by 6 -21.5
01/03 Away Florida St -16.5 W by 4 -12.5
01/06 Away Louisville (Pick) W by 11 +11.0
01/10 Home SMU -16.0 W by 7 -9.0
01/14 Away California -14.0 W by 15 +1.0
01/17 Away Stanford -11.0 W by 30 +19.0
01/24 Home Wake Forest -18.0 W by 21 +3.0
01/26 Home Louisville -8.5 W by 31 +22.5
01/31 Away Virginia Tech -12.0 W by 14 +2.0
02/03 Home Boston College -27.0 W by 18 -9.0
02/07 Away North Carolina -6.0 L by 3 -9.0
02/10 Away Pittsburgh -18.0 W by 16 -2.0
02/14 Home Clemson -13.5 W by 13 -0.5
02/16 Home Syracuse -20.5 W by 37 +16.5
02/21 Neutral Michigan +2.5 W by 5 +7.5
02/24 Away Notre Dame -16.5 W by 44 +27.5
02/28 Home Virginia -9.5 W by 26 +16.5
03/02 Away NC State -9.5 W by 29 +19.5
03/07 Home North Carolina -18.5 W by 15 -3.5
03/12 Neutral Florida St -16.5 W by 1 -15.5
03/13 Neutral Clemson -10.5 W by 12 +1.5
03/14 Neutral Virginia -6.5 W by 4 -2.5
03/19 Neutral Siena -28.5 W by 6 -22.5
03/21 Neutral TCU -12.5 W by 23 +10.5
03/27 Neutral St John's -6.5 W by 5 -1.5
03/29 Neutral UConn -4.5 L by 1 -5.5