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Virginia Tech at North Carolina: Over/Under Analysis

Saturday Feb 28, 2026 8:30 pm - Chapel Hill, NC
Odds: North Carolina by 7.5, Total Points: 149.5

Matchup Menu: VT @ UNC

More Games From Feb 28, 2026

Over/Under Predictions

Pick	Model	Confidence
Under 149.5	Official TR Pick	52% odds to go under
Under 149.5	Decision Tree	52% odds to go under
Over 149.5	Similar Games	52% odds to go over

Over/Under Situational Trends

Record	VT	UNC
Season	17-15-0	14-19-0
vs Division	0-0-0	0-0-0
vs Conference	10-9-0	10-9-0
Streak	Ov 2	Ov 2
Last 5	3-2-0	3-2-0
Last 10	6-4-0	3-7-0
Home	8-9-0	6-12-0
Away	9-6-0	8-7-0

Records denote overs-unders-pushes

Virginia Tech Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date	H/A/N	Opponent	Total	Score	Result	+/-
11/03	Home	Charleston So	146.5	98-67	Over	+18.5
11/08	Neutral	Providence	157.0	107-101	Over	+51.0
11/12	Home	Saint Joseph's	158.0	94-59	Under	-5.0
11/16	Home	Charlotte	145.5	84-76	Over	+14.5
11/19	Home	Bryant	150.5	78-61	Under	-11.5
11/26	Neutral	Colorado St	153.5	66-64	Under	-23.5
11/27	Neutral	Saint Mary's	144.5	66-77	Under	-1.5
11/28	Neutral	VCU	153.5	68-86	Over	+0.5
12/02	Away	South Carolina	149.5	86-83	Over	+19.5
12/06	Home	George Mason	145.0	73-62	Under	-10.0
12/11	Home	W Carolina	152.5	96-74	Over	+17.5
12/14	Home	Maryland ES	140.0	82-53	Under	-5.0
12/20	Home	Elon	159.0	82-81	Over	+4.0
12/31	Home	Virginia	153.5	95-85	Over	+26.5
01/03	Away	Wake Forest	153.0	78-81	Over	+6.0
01/07	Home	Stanford	148.5	68-69	Under	-11.5
01/10	Home	California	148.0	78-75	Over	+5.0
01/14	Away	SMU	156.5	76-77	Under	-3.5
01/17	Home	Notre Dame	143.0	89-76	Over	+22.0
01/21	Away	Syracuse	150.5	76-74	Under	-0.5
01/24	Away	Louisville	160.5	71-85	Under	-4.5
01/27	Home	Georgia Tech	154.5	71-65	Under	-18.5
01/31	Home	Duke	148.0	58-72	Under	-18.0
02/07	Away	NC State	152.0	73-82	Over	+3.0
02/11	Away	Clemson	136.0	76-66	Over	+6.0
02/14	Home	Florida St	156.5	69-92	Over	+4.5
02/17	Away	Miami	148.5	66-67	Under	-15.5
02/21	Home	Wake Forest	148.5	82-63	Under	-3.5
02/28	Away	North Carolina	149.5	82-89	Over	+21.5
03/03	Home	Boston College	142.5	72-63	Under	-7.5
03/07	Away	Virginia	146.5	72-76	Over	+1.5
03/10	Neutral	Wake Forest	149.5	89-95	Over	+34.5

North Carolina Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date	H/A/N	Opponent	Total	Score	Result	+/-
11/03	Home	C Arkansas	157.5	94-54	Under	-9.5
11/07	Home	Kansas	158.0	87-74	Over	+3.0
11/11	Home	Radford	163.5	89-74	Under	-0.5
11/14	Home	NC Central	159.5	97-53	Under	-9.5
11/18	Home	Navy	161.0	73-61	Under	-27.0
11/25	Neutral	St Bonaventure	151.5	85-70	Over	+3.5
11/27	Neutral	Michigan St	152.5	58-74	Under	-20.5
12/02	Away	Kentucky	163.5	67-64	Under	-32.5
12/07	Home	Georgetown	149.5	81-61	Under	-7.5
12/13	Home	SC Upstate	152.5	80-62	Under	-10.5
12/16	Home	E Tennessee St	150.5	77-58	Under	-15.5
12/20	Neutral	Ohio St	157.5	71-70	Under	-16.5
12/22	Home	E Carolina	144.5	99-51	Over	+5.5
12/30	Home	Florida St	166.5	79-66	Under	-21.5
01/03	Away	SMU	155.5	83-97	Over	+24.5
01/10	Home	Wake Forest	155.0	87-84	Over	+16.0
01/14	Away	Stanford	148.0	90-95	Over	+37.0
01/17	Away	California	151.0	78-84	Over	+11.0
01/21	Home	Notre Dame	149.0	91-69	Over	+11.0
01/24	Away	Virginia	148.5	85-80	Over	+16.5
01/31	Away	Georgia Tech	159.5	91-75	Over	+6.5
02/02	Home	Syracuse	158.0	87-77	Over	+6.0
02/07	Home	Duke	151.5	71-68	Under	-12.5
02/10	Away	Miami	156.5	66-75	Under	-15.5
02/14	Home	Pittsburgh	144.5	79-65	Under	-0.5
02/17	Away	NC State	155.5	58-82	Under	-15.5
02/21	Away	Syracuse	154.0	77-64	Under	-13.0
02/23	Home	Louisville	162.5	77-74	Under	-11.5
02/28	Home	Virginia Tech	149.5	89-82	Over	+21.5
03/03	Home	Clemson	141.5	67-63	Under	-11.5
03/07	Away	Duke	147.5	61-76	Under	-10.5
03/12	Neutral	Clemson	140.5	79-80	Over	+18.5
03/19	Neutral	VCU	150.5	78-82	Over	+9.5