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Virginia Tech at North Carolina: Point Spread Analysis

Saturday Feb 28, 2026 8:30 pm - Chapel Hill, NC
Odds: North Carolina by 7.5, Total Points: 149.5

Matchup Menu: VT @ UNC

More Games From Feb 28, 2026

ATS Predictions

Pick Model Confidence
Virginia Tech +7.5 Official TR Pick Virginia Tech 51% odds to cover
Virginia Tech +7.5 Power Rating Model Virginia Tech 57% odds to cover
Virginia Tech +7.5 Similar Games Virginia Tech 58% odds to cover
Virginia Tech +7.5 Decision Tree Virginia Tech 51% odds to cover
North Carolina -7.5 Predictive Ratings North Carolina 57% odds to cover

ATS Situational Trends

Record VT adv UNC
Season 17-14-1 19-14-0
vs Division 0-0-0 0-0-0
vs Conference 10-8-1 11-8-0
Streak L1 L1
Last 5 3-2-0 3-2-0
Last 10 5-4-1 6-4-0
Home 8-9-0 12-6-0
Away 9-5-1 7-8-0

Virginia Tech Detailed ATS Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Line Result +/-
11/03 Home Charleston So -18.5 W by 31 +12.5
11/08 Neutral Providence +2.0 W by 6 +8.0
11/12 Home Saint Joseph's -11.5 W by 35 +23.5
11/16 Home Charlotte -18.5 W by 8 -10.5
11/19 Home Bryant -24.0 W by 17 -7.0
11/26 Neutral Colorado St -4.5 W by 2 -2.5
11/27 Neutral Saint Mary's +5.5 L by 11 -5.5
11/28 Neutral VCU +2.5 L by 18 -15.5
12/02 Away South Carolina +3.0 W by 3 +6.0
12/06 Home George Mason -4.0 W by 11 +7.0
12/11 Home W Carolina -21.0 W by 22 +1.0
12/14 Home Maryland ES -28.5 W by 29 +0.5
12/20 Home Elon -12.5 W by 1 -11.5
12/31 Home Virginia +6.0 W by 10 +16.0
01/03 Away Wake Forest +6.0 L by 3 +3.0
01/07 Home Stanford -4.0 L by 1 -5.0
01/10 Home California -5.0 W by 3 -2.0
01/14 Away SMU +9.0 L by 1 +8.0
01/17 Home Notre Dame -6.5 W by 13 +6.5
01/21 Away Syracuse +3.5 W by 2 +5.5
01/24 Away Louisville +13.5 L by 14 -0.5
01/27 Home Georgia Tech -9.5 W by 6 -3.5
01/31 Home Duke +12.0 L by 14 -2.0
02/07 Away NC State +9.0 L by 9 0.0
02/11 Away Clemson +8.5 W by 10 +18.5
02/14 Home Florida St -5.0 L by 23 -28.0
02/17 Away Miami +8.0 L by 1 +7.0
02/21 Home Wake Forest -4.0 W by 19 +15.0
02/28 Away North Carolina +7.5 L by 7 +0.5
03/03 Home Boston College -11.5 W by 9 -2.5
03/07 Away Virginia +11.5 L by 4 +7.5
03/10 Neutral Wake Forest +1.5 L by 6 -4.5

North Carolina Detailed ATS Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Line Result +/-
11/03 Home C Arkansas -31.0 W by 40 +9.0
11/07 Home Kansas -3.0 W by 13 +10.0
11/11 Home Radford -20.0 W by 15 -5.0
11/14 Home NC Central -34.0 W by 44 +10.0
11/18 Home Navy -26.5 W by 12 -14.5
11/25 Neutral St Bonaventure -11.0 W by 15 +4.0
11/27 Neutral Michigan St +1.0 L by 16 -15.0
12/02 Away Kentucky +7.5 W by 3 +10.5
12/07 Home Georgetown -10.5 W by 20 +9.5
12/13 Home SC Upstate -29.5 W by 18 -11.5
12/16 Home E Tennessee St -17.5 W by 19 +1.5
12/20 Neutral Ohio St -2.5 W by 1 -1.5
12/22 Home E Carolina -25.5 W by 48 +22.5
12/30 Home Florida St -12.0 W by 13 +1.0
01/03 Away SMU +1.0 L by 14 -13.0
01/10 Home Wake Forest -10.0 W by 3 -7.0
01/14 Away Stanford -4.0 L by 5 -9.0
01/17 Away California -7.5 L by 6 -13.5
01/21 Home Notre Dame -13.5 W by 22 +8.5
01/24 Away Virginia +6.5 W by 5 +11.5
01/31 Away Georgia Tech -10.5 W by 16 +5.5
02/02 Home Syracuse -11.5 W by 10 -1.5
02/07 Home Duke +6.0 W by 3 +9.0
02/10 Away Miami -1.0 L by 9 -10.0
02/14 Home Pittsburgh -11.5 W by 14 +2.5
02/17 Away NC State +8.0 L by 24 -16.0
02/21 Away Syracuse +1.5 W by 13 +14.5
02/23 Home Louisville +3.5 W by 3 +6.5
02/28 Home Virginia Tech -7.5 W by 7 -0.5
03/03 Home Clemson -2.5 W by 4 +1.5
03/07 Away Duke +18.5 L by 15 +3.5
03/12 Neutral Clemson +1.5 L by 1 +0.5
03/19 Neutral VCU -2.5 L by 4 -6.5