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Southern Miss at S Alabama: Point Spread Analysis

Friday Feb 27, 2026 8:30 pm - Mobile, AL
Odds: South Alabama by 4.5, Total Points: 141.5

Matchup Menu: USM @ USA

More Games From Feb 27, 2026

ATS Predictions

Pick Model Confidence
Southern Miss +4.5 Official TR Pick Southern Miss 50% odds to cover
Southern Miss +4.5 Power Rating Model Southern Miss 52% odds to cover
Southern Miss +4.5 Similar Games Southern Miss 58% odds to cover
Southern Miss +4.5 Decision Tree Southern Miss 50% odds to cover
S Alabama -4.5 Predictive Ratings S Alabama 60% odds to cover

ATS Situational Trends

Record USM adv USA
Season 16-16-0 17-14-0
vs Division 0-0-0 0-0-0
vs Conference 12-10-0 11-8-0
Streak L1 W1
Last 5 4-1-0 3-2-0
Last 10 8-2-0 7-3-0
Home 5-6-0 6-6-0
Away 11-10-0 11-8-0

Southern Miss Detailed ATS Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Line Result +/-
11/03 Away Buffalo +3.5 L by 6 -2.5
11/06 Home Tougaloo -- W by 36 --
11/09 Away South Carolina +17.0 L by 4 +13.0
11/13 Away Grambling +2.0 L by 5 -3.0
11/18 Home William Carey -- W by 23 --
11/22 Neutral N Florida -9.5 W by 9 -0.5
11/23 Neutral UT Martin -- W by 10 --
12/03 Away Radford +3.5 W by 7 +10.5
12/06 Away Miami +19.0 L by 24 -5.0
12/08 Home Grambling -8.5 W by 8 -0.5
12/13 Neutral Mississippi +13.0 L by 4 +9.0
12/18 Home Louisiana -11.5 W by 8 -3.5
12/20 Home Arkansas St +2.0 L by 7 -5.0
12/29 Away LSU +21.5 L by 28 -6.5
01/01 Away UL Monroe -7.5 W by 14 +6.5
01/03 Away Louisiana -3.5 W by 7 +3.5
01/08 Home Texas St -2.5 W by 10 +7.5
01/10 Home UL Monroe -14.5 W by 10 -4.5
01/14 Away Troy +9.0 L by 26 -17.0
01/17 Away Texas St +2.0 L by 7 -5.0
01/22 Away Georgia St +2.5 L by 7 -4.5
01/24 Away Coastal Car +2.5 L by 18 -15.5
01/29 Home App State +1.5 L by 7 -5.5
01/31 Home J Madison +1.5 W by 8 +9.5
02/04 Away Marshall +10.5 L by 4 +6.5
02/07 Home Kent St +4.5 W by 1 +5.5
02/12 Home S Alabama -1.5 L by 6 -7.5
02/14 Home Troy +5.0 W by 4 +9.0
02/21 Home Old Dominion -4.5 W by 5 +0.5
02/24 Away Arkansas St +9.5 L by 5 +4.5
02/27 Away S Alabama +4.5 W by 13 +17.5
03/05 Neutral J Madison +2.5 W by 6 +8.5
03/06 Neutral Texas St +1.5 W by 4 +5.5
03/07 Neutral App State +4.5 W by 13 +17.5
03/08 Neutral Troy +5.5 L by 8 -2.5

S Alabama Detailed ATS Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Line Result +/-
11/03 Away Toledo +3.0 W by 2 +5.0
11/06 Home Alcorn St -19.0 W by 6 -13.0
11/08 Home Spring Hill -- W by 49 --
11/13 Neutral C Michigan -5.5 W by 2 -3.5
11/15 Neutral Coppin St -19.5 W by 10 -9.5
11/19 Away Jacksonville St +2.5 W by 6 +8.5
11/21 Away UAB +7.5 L by 8 -0.5
11/30 Away UTSA -2.0 W by 24 +22.0
12/02 Neutral New Mexico St +4.0 W by 2 +6.0
12/05 Away E Tennessee St +6.5 L by 26 -19.5
12/14 Home N Texas -1.5 L by 1 -2.5
12/17 Away UL Monroe -9.5 W by 4 -5.5
12/20 Away Texas St +3.0 L by 2 +1.0
12/29 Home Mobile -- W by 33 --
12/31 Away Louisiana -3.5 W by 5 +1.5
01/03 Away Troy +9.5 L by 10 -0.5
01/10 Home Georgia So -1.5 W by 16 +14.5
01/15 Home Arkansas St +4.0 W by 4 +8.0
01/17 Home Louisiana -9.5 L by 3 -12.5
01/22 Away J Madison +4.0 W by 7 +11.0
01/29 Home Coastal Car -3.5 W by 5 +1.5
01/31 Home Georgia St -5.5 W by 2 -3.5
02/04 Away App State +5.5 L by 8 -2.5
02/07 Home Buffalo -1.5 W by 12 +10.5
02/12 Away Southern Miss +1.5 W by 6 +7.5
02/14 Away Arkansas St +7.5 W by 4 +11.5
02/16 Away Marshall +6.0 L by 4 +2.0
02/19 Home Texas St -3.5 L by 8 -11.5
02/21 Home Troy +1.5 W by 11 +12.5
02/25 Home UL Monroe -14.5 W by 35 +20.5
02/27 Home Southern Miss -4.5 L by 13 -17.5
03/06 Neutral Georgia So -4.5 L by 9 -13.5
03/17 Away Auburn +18.5 L by 11 +7.5