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Southern Miss at S Alabama: Over/Under Analysis

Friday Feb 27, 2026 8:30 pm - Mobile, AL
Odds: South Alabama by 4.5, Total Points: 141.5

Matchup Menu: USM @ USA

More Games From Feb 27, 2026

Over/Under Predictions

Pick	Model	Confidence
Over 141.5	Official TR Pick	53% odds to go over
Over 141.5	Similar Games	55% odds to go over
Over 141.5	Decision Tree	53% odds to go over

Over/Under Situational Trends

Record	USM	USA
Season	20-12-0	16-15-0
vs Division	0-0-0	0-0-0
vs Conference	15-7-0	9-10-0
Streak	Ov 4	Un 1
Last 5	4-1-0	1-4-0
Last 10	7-3-0	6-4-0
Home	4-7-0	5-7-0
Away	16-5-0	11-8-0

Records denote overs-unders-pushes

Southern Miss Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date	H/A/N	Opponent	Total	Score	Result	+/-
11/03	Away	Buffalo	154.0	79-85	Over	+10.0
11/06	Home	Tougaloo	--	93-57	Under	--
11/09	Away	South Carolina	147.5	79-83	Over	+14.5
11/13	Away	Grambling	147.5	70-75	Under	-2.5
11/18	Home	William Carey	--	82-59	Under	--
11/22	Neutral	N Florida	155.0	92-83	Over	+20.0
11/23	Neutral	UT Martin	150.0	70-60	Under	-20.0
12/03	Away	Radford	153.0	82-75	Over	+4.0
12/06	Away	Miami	145.5	64-88	Over	+6.5
12/08	Home	Grambling	142.5	68-60	Under	-14.5
12/13	Neutral	Mississippi	138.5	67-71	Under	-0.5
12/18	Home	Louisiana	132.5	62-54	Under	-16.5
12/20	Home	Arkansas St	155.5	86-93	Over	+23.5
12/29	Away	LSU	154.5	62-90	Under	-2.5
01/01	Away	UL Monroe	154.5	87-73	Over	+5.5
01/03	Away	Louisiana	129.5	74-67	Over	+11.5
01/08	Home	Texas St	144.5	80-70	Over	+5.5
01/10	Home	UL Monroe	155.5	70-60	Under	-25.5
01/14	Away	Troy	145.5	65-91	Over	+10.5
01/17	Away	Texas St	140.5	67-74	Over	+0.5
01/22	Away	Georgia St	144.5	62-69	Under	-13.5
01/24	Away	Coastal Car	143.5	67-85	Over	+8.5
01/29	Home	App State	134.5	63-70	Under	-1.5
01/31	Home	J Madison	143.0	73-65	Under	-5.0
02/04	Away	Marshall	147.5	77-81	Over	+10.5
02/07	Home	Kent St	150.5	66-65	Under	-19.5
02/12	Home	S Alabama	135.5	78-84	Over	+26.5
02/14	Home	Troy	144.5	69-65	Under	-10.5
02/21	Home	Old Dominion	147.5	86-81	Over	+19.5
02/24	Away	Arkansas St	158.5	84-89	Over	+14.5
02/27	Away	S Alabama	141.5	68-55	Under	-18.5
03/05	Neutral	J Madison	143.5	86-80	Over	+22.5
03/06	Neutral	Texas St	140.5	81-77	Over	+17.5
03/07	Neutral	App State	137.5	86-73	Over	+21.5
03/08	Neutral	Troy	143.5	70-78	Over	+4.5

S Alabama Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date	H/A/N	Opponent	Total	Score	Result	+/-
11/03	Away	Toledo	151.0	76-74	Under	-1.0
11/06	Home	Alcorn St	141.5	76-70	Over	+4.5
11/08	Home	Spring Hill	--	99-50	Under	--
11/13	Neutral	C Michigan	143.0	66-64	Under	-13.0
11/15	Neutral	Coppin St	133.5	72-62	Over	+0.5
11/19	Away	Jacksonville St	134.5	71-65	Over	+1.5
11/21	Away	UAB	147.5	72-80	Over	+4.5
11/30	Away	UTSA	141.0	82-58	Under	-1.0
12/02	Neutral	New Mexico St	135.5	77-75	Over	+16.5
12/05	Away	E Tennessee St	143.5	65-91	Over	+12.5
12/14	Home	N Texas	135.0	57-58	Under	-20.0
12/17	Away	UL Monroe	148.5	96-92	Over	+39.5
12/20	Away	Texas St	137.0	65-67	Under	-5.0
12/29	Home	Mobile	--	85-52	Under	--
12/31	Away	Louisiana	128.0	63-58	Under	-7.0
01/03	Away	Troy	148.5	49-59	Under	-40.5
01/10	Home	Georgia So	148.5	87-71	Over	+9.5
01/15	Home	Arkansas St	154.0	91-87	Over	+24.0
01/17	Home	Louisiana	130.5	56-59	Under	-15.5
01/22	Away	J Madison	138.5	90-83	Over	+34.5
01/29	Home	Coastal Car	140.5	53-48	Under	-39.5
01/31	Home	Georgia St	139.5	69-67	Under	-3.5
02/04	Away	App State	131.0	57-65	Under	-9.0
02/07	Home	Buffalo	144.0	81-69	Over	+6.0
02/12	Away	Southern Miss	135.5	84-78	Over	+26.5
02/14	Away	Arkansas St	149.5	92-88	Over	+30.5
02/16	Away	Marshall	150.5	80-84	Over	+13.5
02/19	Home	Texas St	137.5	82-90	Over	+34.5
02/21	Home	Troy	144.5	65-54	Under	-25.5
02/25	Home	UL Monroe	153.5	89-54	Under	-10.5
02/27	Home	Southern Miss	141.5	55-68	Under	-18.5
03/06	Neutral	Georgia So	149.5	85-94	Over	+29.5
03/17	Away	Auburn	151.5	67-78	Under	-6.5