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E Michigan at Toledo: Point Spread Analysis

Saturday Feb 21, 2026 5:00 pm - Toledo, OH
Odds: Toledo by 8.5, Total Points: 146.5

Matchup Menu: EMU @ TOL

More Games From Feb 21, 2026

ATS Predictions

Pick Model Confidence
E Michigan +8.5 Official TR Pick E Michigan 50% odds to cover
E Michigan +8.5 Power Rating Model E Michigan 68% odds to cover
E Michigan +8.5 Decision Tree E Michigan 50% odds to cover
E Michigan +8.5 Predictive Ratings E Michigan 54% odds to cover
Toledo -8.5 Similar Games Toledo 53% odds to cover

ATS Situational Trends

Record EMU adv TOL
Season 20-10-0 18-13-1
vs Division 0-0-0 0-0-0
vs Conference 11-7-0 14-7-0
Streak L1 W2
Last 5 2-3-0 4-1-0
Last 10 6-4-0 7-3-0
Home 9-4-0 6-7-0
Away 11-6-0 12-6-1

E Michigan Detailed ATS Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Line Result +/-
11/03 Home Georgia St -3.0 W by 22 +19.0
11/10 Away Pittsburgh +16.0 L by 12 +4.0
11/14 Home IU Indy -5.0 L by 7 -12.0
11/18 Away Detroit Mercy +1.5 W by 10 +11.5
11/21 Home Oakland -1.0 W by 6 +5.0
11/24 Away Louisville +33.5 L by 41 -7.5
11/26 Away Cincinnati +22.5 W by 8 +30.5
11/28 Home NJIT -14.5 W by 18 +3.5
12/02 Away Butler +17.5 L by 16 +1.5
12/05 Home Cleary University -- W by 38 --
12/10 Away Purdue FW +3.5 L by 15 -11.5
12/19 Away Akron +15.5 L by 21 -5.5
12/22 Away Wright St +10.5 L by 6 +4.5
12/30 Home UMass +2.5 W by 6 +8.5
01/03 Home Ohio +2.5 L by 1 +1.5
01/06 Away Ball St +1.0 W by 22 +23.0
01/10 Away W Michigan -1.5 L by 17 -18.5
01/13 Home N Illinois -7.5 W by 18 +10.5
01/17 Away Bowling Green +11.5 L by 6 +5.5
01/24 Home Kent St +4.5 L by 1 +3.5
01/27 Away C Michigan -3.0 L by 35 -38.0
01/31 Away UMass +8.0 L by 3 +5.0
02/03 Home Akron +12.5 L by 2 +10.5
02/07 Away App State +7.0 L by 5 +2.0
02/11 Away Kent St +9.5 L by 4 +5.5
02/14 Home W Michigan -6.5 L by 14 -20.5
02/17 Home C Michigan -6.0 W by 12 +6.0
02/21 Away Toledo +8.5 L by 19 -10.5
02/24 Home Miami OH +8.5 L by 10 -1.5
03/03 Away Buffalo +5.5 L by 5 +0.5
03/06 Home Bowling Green +5.5 L by 8 -2.5

Toledo Detailed ATS Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Line Result +/-
11/03 Home S Alabama -3.0 L by 2 -5.0
11/08 Home Marshall -2.5 L by 12 -14.5
11/11 Away Wright St +5.5 W by 10 +15.5
11/15 Home Detroit Mercy -10.0 W by 7 -3.0
11/19 Home Youngstown St -1.0 W by 17 +16.0
11/24 Neutral Troy +2.5 W by 7 +9.5
11/26 Neutral Belmont +4.5 L by 15 -10.5
12/01 Home Central State (OH) -- W by 44 --
12/06 Away Oakland +4.0 L by 1 +3.0
12/13 Away Robert Morris (Pick) L by 5 -5.0
12/16 Away Michigan St +23.0 L by 23 0.0
12/20 Home Lourdes -- W by 33 --
12/30 Home W Michigan -10.5 W by 5 -5.5
01/03 Away C Michigan -7.5 W by 3 -4.5
01/06 Away N Illinois -8.0 W by 14 +6.0
01/09 Home Miami OH -1.0 L by 14 -15.0
01/13 Home Ohio -2.0 W by 16 +14.0
01/16 Away Kent St +5.5 L by 3 +2.5
01/20 Away UMass +2.5 L by 2 +0.5
01/24 Home Bowling Green +1.5 W by 1 +2.5
01/27 Away Akron +12.5 L by 10 +2.5
01/31 Home Ball St -8.5 W by 18 +9.5
02/03 Home Kent St (Pick) L by 3 -3.0
02/07 Away J Madison -1.0 L by 2 -3.0
02/11 Away W Michigan -6.0 W by 11 +5.0
02/14 Away Bowling Green +4.0 L by 10 -6.0
02/21 Home E Michigan -8.5 W by 19 +10.5
02/24 Home N Illinois -12.5 W by 10 -2.5
02/28 Away Ohio +1.5 W by 12 +13.5
03/03 Away Miami OH +7.5 L by 2 +5.5
03/06 Home Buffalo -5.5 W by 20 +14.5
03/12 Neutral Bowling Green -1.5 W by 1 -0.5
03/13 Neutral UMass -2.5 W by 10 +7.5
03/14 Neutral Akron +7.5 L by 3 +4.5