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E Michigan at Toledo: Over/Under Analysis

Saturday Feb 21, 2026 5:00 pm - Toledo, OH
Odds: Toledo by 8.5, Total Points: 146.5

Matchup Menu: EMU @ TOL

More Games From Feb 21, 2026

Over/Under Predictions

Pick	Model	Confidence
Under 145.5	Official TR Pick	50% odds to go under
Under 145.5	Decision Tree	50% odds to go under
Over 145.5	Similar Games	59% odds to go over

Over/Under Situational Trends

Record	EMU	TOL
Season	9-21-0	13-19-0
vs Division	0-0-0	0-0-0
vs Conference	7-11-0	9-12-0
Streak	Ov 1	Un 2
Last 5	2-3-0	2-3-0
Last 10	3-7-0	4-6-0
Home	3-10-0	6-7-0
Away	6-11-0	7-12-0

Records denote overs-unders-pushes

E Michigan Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date	H/A/N	Opponent	Total	Score	Result	+/-
11/03	Home	Georgia St	150.0	71-49	Under	-30.0
11/10	Away	Pittsburgh	141.0	66-78	Over	+3.0
11/14	Home	IU Indy	185.5	83-90	Under	-12.5
11/18	Away	Detroit Mercy	157.5	72-62	Under	-23.5
11/21	Home	Oakland	153.5	97-91	Over	+34.5
11/24	Away	Louisville	162.5	46-87	Under	-29.5
11/26	Away	Cincinnati	146.5	64-56	Under	-26.5
11/28	Home	NJIT	141.5	73-55	Under	-13.5
12/02	Away	Butler	153.5	68-84	Under	-1.5
12/05	Home	Cleary University	--	86-48	Under	--
12/10	Away	Purdue FW	146.5	65-80	Under	-1.5
12/19	Away	Akron	155.5	72-93	Over	+9.5
12/22	Away	Wright St	142.5	64-70	Under	-8.5
12/30	Home	UMass	148.5	80-74	Over	+5.5
01/03	Home	Ohio	150.5	67-68	Under	-15.5
01/06	Away	Ball St	137.5	74-52	Under	-11.5
01/10	Away	W Michigan	145.5	62-79	Under	-4.5
01/13	Home	N Illinois	141.5	77-59	Under	-5.5
01/17	Away	Bowling Green	141.5	79-85	Over	+22.5
01/24	Home	Kent St	154.5	75-76	Under	-3.5
01/27	Away	C Michigan	140.0	65-100	Over	+25.0
01/31	Away	UMass	148.5	67-70	Under	-11.5
02/03	Home	Akron	153.5	64-66	Under	-23.5
02/07	Away	App State	129.5	60-65	Under	-4.5
02/11	Away	Kent St	145.0	91-95	Over	+41.0
02/14	Home	W Michigan	145.5	62-76	Under	-7.5
02/17	Home	C Michigan	142.5	66-54	Under	-22.5
02/21	Away	Toledo	146.5	75-94	Over	+22.5
02/24	Home	Miami OH	151.5	64-74	Under	-13.5
03/03	Away	Buffalo	144.5	67-72	Under	-5.5
03/06	Home	Bowling Green	142.5	69-77	Over	+3.5

Toledo Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date	H/A/N	Opponent	Total	Score	Result	+/-
11/03	Home	S Alabama	151.0	74-76	Under	-1.0
11/08	Home	Marshall	161.0	73-85	Under	-3.0
11/11	Away	Wright St	159.0	81-71	Under	-7.0
11/15	Home	Detroit Mercy	158.5	90-83	Over	+14.5
11/19	Home	Youngstown St	160.5	92-75	Over	+6.5
11/24	Neutral	Troy	160.5	75-68	Under	-17.5
11/26	Neutral	Belmont	163.5	72-87	Under	-4.5
12/01	Home	Central State (OH)	--	102-58	Under	--
12/06	Away	Oakland	166.5	97-98	Over	+28.5
12/13	Away	Robert Morris	154.5	70-75	Under	-9.5
12/16	Away	Michigan St	150.5	69-92	Over	+10.5
12/20	Home	Lourdes	--	100-67	Under	--
12/30	Home	W Michigan	160.0	84-79	Over	+3.0
01/03	Away	C Michigan	158.0	78-75	Under	-5.0
01/06	Away	N Illinois	160.0	75-61	Under	-24.0
01/09	Home	Miami OH	166.0	73-87	Under	-6.0
01/13	Home	Ohio	161.5	101-85	Over	+24.5
01/16	Away	Kent St	168.0	84-87	Over	+3.0
01/20	Away	UMass	163.5	82-84	Over	+2.5
01/24	Home	Bowling Green	156.5	73-72	Under	-11.5
01/27	Away	Akron	169.5	81-91	Over	+2.5
01/31	Home	Ball St	146.5	73-55	Under	-18.5
02/03	Home	Kent St	161.5	72-75	Under	-14.5
02/07	Away	J Madison	153.0	71-73	Under	-9.0
02/11	Away	W Michigan	155.0	90-79	Over	+14.0
02/14	Away	Bowling Green	151.0	70-80	Under	-1.0
02/21	Home	E Michigan	146.5	94-75	Over	+22.5
02/24	Home	N Illinois	149.5	79-69	Under	-1.5
02/28	Away	Ohio	158.5	79-67	Under	-12.5
03/03	Away	Miami OH	162.5	72-74	Under	-16.5
03/06	Home	Buffalo	155.5	98-78	Over	+20.5
03/12	Neutral	Bowling Green	150.5	77-76	Over	+2.5
03/13	Neutral	UMass	158.5	77-67	Under	-14.5
03/14	Neutral	Akron	157.5	76-79	Under	-2.5