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Alabama at Tennessee: Point Spread Analysis

Saturday Feb 28, 2026 6:00 pm - Knoxville, TN
Odds: Tennessee by 4.5, Total Points: 162.5

More Games From Feb 28, 2026

ATS Predictions

Pick Model Confidence
Tennessee -4.5 Official TR Pick Tennessee 54% odds to cover
Tennessee -4.5 Similar Games Tennessee 68% odds to cover
Tennessee -4.5 Decision Tree Tennessee 55% odds to cover
Alabama +4.5 Power Rating Model Alabama 64% odds to cover
Alabama +4.5 Predictive Ratings Alabama 56% odds to cover

ATS Situational Trends

Record ALA adv TENN
Season 15-19-0 17-19-1
vs Division 0-0-0 0-0-0
vs Conference 8-11-0 9-10-1
Streak L1 L1
Last 5 3-2-0 3-2-0
Last 10 5-5-0 5-5-0
Home 6-9-0 7-10-0
Away 9-10-0 10-9-1

Alabama Detailed ATS Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Line Result +/-
11/03 Home North Dakota -35.5 W by 29 -6.5
11/08 Away St John's -- W by 7 --
11/13 Home Purdue -3.0 L by 7 -10.0
11/19 Neutral Illinois +2.5 W by 4 +6.5
11/24 Neutral Gonzaga +4.5 L by 10 -5.5
11/25 Neutral UNLV -14.5 W by 39 +24.5
11/26 Neutral Maryland -14.5 W by 33 +18.5
12/03 Home Clemson -8.5 W by 6 -2.5
12/07 Home UTSA -33.5 W by 42 +8.5
12/13 Neutral Arizona +2.5 L by 21 -18.5
12/17 Home S Florida -14.5 W by 11 -3.5
12/21 Neutral Kennesaw St -20.0 W by 11 -9.0
12/29 Home Yale -15.0 W by 24 +9.0
01/03 Home Kentucky -5.5 W by 15 +9.5
01/07 Away Vanderbilt +3.0 L by 6 -3.0
01/10 Home Texas -11.5 L by 4 -15.5
01/13 Away Mississippi St -4.5 W by 15 +10.5
01/17 Away Oklahoma -6.0 W by 2 -4.0
01/24 Home Tennessee -4.0 L by 6 -10.0
01/27 Home Missouri -10.5 W by 26 +15.5
02/01 Away Florida +9.0 L by 23 -14.0
02/04 Home Texas A&M -8.0 W by 3 -5.0
02/07 Away Auburn +2.0 W by 4 +6.0
02/11 Away Mississippi -6.5 W by 19 +12.5
02/14 Home South Carolina -17.5 W by 14 -3.5
02/18 Home Arkansas -4.0 W by 2 -2.0
02/21 Away LSU -7.5 W by 7 -0.5
02/25 Home Mississippi St -12.5 W by 25 +12.5
02/28 Away Tennessee +4.5 W by 2 +6.5
03/03 Away Georgia -1.5 L by 10 -11.5
03/07 Home Auburn -5.5 W by 12 +6.5
03/13 Neutral Mississippi -12.5 L by 1 -13.5
03/20 Neutral Hofstra -12.5 W by 20 +7.5
03/22 Neutral Texas Tech -1.5 W by 25 +23.5
03/27 Neutral Michigan +9.5 L by 13 -3.5

Tennessee Detailed ATS Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Line Result +/-
11/03 Home Mercer -28.0 W by 15 -13.0
11/08 Home N Kentucky -27.0 W by 39 +12.0
11/12 Home N Florida -41.0 W by 33 -8.0
11/17 Home Rice -26.0 W by 25 -1.0
11/20 Home Tennessee St -32.0 W by 29 -3.0
11/24 Neutral Rutgers -15.0 W by 25 +10.0
11/25 Neutral Houston +3.0 W by 3 +6.0
11/26 Neutral Kansas -7.0 L by 5 -12.0
12/02 Away Syracuse -8.5 L by 2 -10.5
12/06 Neutral Illinois -1.5 L by 13 -14.5
12/16 Home Louisville -4.5 W by 21 +16.5
12/21 Home Gardner-Webb -42.5 W by 42 -0.5
12/30 Home S Carolina St -44.0 W by 51 +7.0
01/03 Away Arkansas -1.5 L by 11 -12.5
01/06 Home Texas -11.5 W by 14 +2.5
01/10 Away Florida +4.5 L by 24 -19.5
01/13 Home Texas A&M -11.0 W by 5 -6.0
01/17 Home Kentucky -6.0 L by 2 -8.0
01/24 Away Alabama +4.0 W by 6 +10.0
01/28 Away Georgia -1.0 W by 1 0.0
01/31 Home Auburn -5.5 W by 8 +2.5
02/03 Home Mississippi -13.0 W by 18 +5.0
02/07 Away Kentucky (Pick) L by 3 -3.0
02/11 Away Mississippi St -7.0 W by 9 +2.0
02/14 Home LSU -14.5 W by 10 -4.5
02/18 Home Oklahoma -11.5 W by 23 +11.5
02/21 Away Vanderbilt +3.5 W by 4 +7.5
02/24 Away Missouri -3.5 L by 4 -7.5
02/28 Home Alabama -4.5 L by 2 -6.5
03/03 Away South Carolina -10.5 W by 19 +8.5
03/07 Home Vanderbilt -3.5 L by 4 -7.5
03/12 Neutral Auburn -5.5 W by 10 +4.5
03/13 Neutral Vanderbilt -3.5 L by 7 -10.5
03/20 Neutral Miami OH -12.5 W by 22 +9.5
03/22 Neutral Virginia -1.5 W by 7 +5.5
03/27 Neutral Iowa St +2.5 W by 14 +16.5
03/29 Neutral Michigan +8.5 L by 33 -24.5